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• Jul. 2, 2008 - Home Size Trending Down

 

With the declining housing market, home builders across the country are faced with a problem. The homes they have been building are no longer selling. Buyers’ tastes in homes have changed and home builders have to adjust their plans to meet the new needs of the consumer. 
 
First, builders have to reduce their current inventory of homes they have already built. This usually means price cuts. New developments are often seeing a base price decline between phases. Many people who purchased homes in the first phase of a development are now seeing their exact same model selling for thousands less in later phases.
 
After the builders have reduced their inventory, they are focusing on building smaller homes. With tougher financing requirements, buyers are looking for smaller, lower priced homes. 
 
According to Kelly Evans of the Wall Street Journal, “over the past three decades, prosperity and a demand for space to accommodate home theaters, offices, gyms, and palatial kitchens has pushed up the average size of newly constructed single-family homes by nearly 45 percent even as the size of the average family has declined.” The US Census Bureau reported that the median square footage of a single-family home in 2007 was 2,248, up from 1974’s median of 1,560.
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• May. 18, 2008 - Home Buyers Moving Away From the McMansion

The Baby Boomer generation are increasingly becoming empty nesters, and despite the amount of wealth they hold, they are trending towards smaller homes. The reasons? They no longer need the space that a family requires and, with rising energy costs, the monthly expense of a large home is not worth all the extra space. A move towards smaller homes in existing neighborhoods has been seen by many who study housing trends.
 
Although an empty nest is often the catalyst for downsizing, the US Census Bureau has data showing the number of households without children is steadily climbing and estimates that they will account for nearly three quarters of all US homes by 2025. 
 
Despite the trends the National Association of Home Builders expects the average size of newly constructed single-family homes to level off around it’s current figure, about 2,500 square feet. Although 2,500 square feet is certainly not a “McMansion,” it is larger than the median home size in 2007 of 2,248 square feet. 
 
Kira McCarron, the chief marketing officer of Toll Brothers Inc, a US home builder, says “it’s not that people don’t want or can’t afford (big houses). It’s that they’re afraid of them now - it’s a confidence issue more than an affordability issue.”
 
No matter what the reason, you can’t deny the trends are veering away from the colossal McMansions that have been popping up across the country. Buyers are looking for smaller more affordable housing.
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• Apr. 11, 2008 - Buy a Home, Hope the Seller Dies

In today’s real estate market, it is becoming increasingly difficult to sell homes. While many builders are no longer offering incentives such as flat screen televisions to entice buyers, individual home sellers are still trying to lure potential buyers with creative offers. 
 
One such unorthodox idea is from a seller in western Wisconsin. According to the Minneapolis Star Tribune, Bob Fanning will name whoever purchases his home as the beneficiary of a $500,000 ten year term life insurance policy. Fanning’s home, listed at $498,900, could end up paying for itself if Fanning, 69 years old, doesn’t make it to see 2018.
 
Certainly this is a gamble for any home buyer and may not ultimately be the reason the home is purchased, but it is certainly an interesting idea that is causing the home to get some media coverage.
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• Apr. 7, 2008 - Metro Area Growth

According to the US Census Bureau, the Dallas metro area had the largest population gain from ’06 to ’07. Texas came in with four cities in the top ten with the southwest region of the US having a total of seven cities. While the growth in the southwest is attributed to individuals and families moving into region, Chicago actually had a larger number of people move out than in. Chicago’s population increase is from a low death rate and an even higher birth rate. The rankings are:
 
Dallas               162,250                                   Charlotte           66,724
Atlanta             151,063                                   Chicago             66,231
Phoenix            132,513                                   Austin                65,880
Houston            120,544                                  Las Vegas            59,165
Riverside, CA      86,660                                   San Antonio         53,925
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• Apr. 4, 2008 - Candidate's Housing Positions

I came across this article in the Chicago Tribune today and I though it was good information in this election year. I posted it below…
 
Where They Stand on Housing
 
Hillary Clinton: Calls for immediate government action to deal with the home-loan crisis. Supports plan by Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.) and Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) to allow homeowners to restructure at-risk mortgages, backed by Federal Housing Administration guarantees. Proposes $30 billion “second stimulus” package to help states and localities fight foreclosure moratorium on subprime owner-occupied homes. Favors increased regulation of mortgage originators.
 
Barack Obama: Supports immediate government intervention in housing crisis. Like Clinton, favors Frank-Dodd plan to provide federal loan guarantees to allow refinancing of troubled of troubled mortgages and keep people in their homes. Wants “second stimulus” of $30 billion that would include $10 billion to help people avoid foreclosure. Wants to require more transparency by financial institutions and reform the system so that federal regulatory agencies don’t overlap and compete with each other.
 
John McCain: Calls for more accountability and transparency in financial markets. Says it’s not the duty of the government to bail out banks or barrowers who acted irresponsibly, but does not rule out temporary aid for people to help them stay in their homes. Says the down payment requirement for FHA mortgages should be raised. Calls for overall reform of the system as part of any aid effort.
 
Sources: Candidate web sites, Tribune News Services and Politico.com
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• Apr. 4, 2008 - Homeowner Outreach Day

The Illinois Housing Development Authority is sponsoring a Homeowner Outreach day on Saturday at the DuPage Township Levy Center. The outreach day is part of a statewide initiative to help homeowners learn their options and possibly help them refinance their homes. The state’s homeowner assistance pool has funds to help homeowners with rising mortgage costs and offers refinancing loans guaranteed by the Federal Housing Administration with favorable rates. 
 
The Homeowner Outreach Day will be held from 9am to 1pm this Saturday, April 5th at the DuPage Township Levy Center located at 251 Canterbury, Bolingbrook. For more information call 800-532-8785 or visit www.illinois.gov.
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• Apr. 2, 2008 - Naperville Featured in Fortune Small Business magazine

Naperville has been named to yet another “best of list.” In its April 2008 issue, Fortune Small Business magazine named Naperville number 29 on its “100 Best Places to Live and Launch” list. The magazine examined metro areas across the country using US Census data looking for family friendly areas that also had strong small business growth. From there, they narrowed the search down to the city level.
 
Naperville was the only Illinois city to be named to the list. Our school systems were tops on our pros list and our heavy traffic was our largest negative. The magazine considered other lifestyle factors, such as parks and other public infrastructure. Business factors such as tax rates and job growth were also considered. According to their web site, Naperville “boasts the lowest municipal property tax rates in the Chicago metropolitan area, and Naperville entrepreneurs benefit from a number of state tax incentives targeting small business.” They go onto say that “in 2007, the city fielded 116 start-ups.”
 
Naperville has been recognized many times over as a wonderful place for people of all ages to live. Now it is being recognized on a national level for its small business development as well. 
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• Mar. 29, 2008 - New Home Sales Decline

Earlier this week the National Association of Realtors released their numbers for existing home sales for February and to most people’s surprise, they were up. Unfortunately, that’s not the case for new home sales.
 
According to the Commerce Department, new home sales dropped 1.8% from January and were down nearly 30% from February 2007. This is the lowest level of sales for new homes in 13 years. 
 
Now in the third year of declining sales, the building industry is slowing construction of new homes and trying to concentrate on what home buyers are really looking for in today’s market. Many builders, both small and large, have had to close their doors altogether. In the end, the builders who are able to meet the current market’s needs will come out on top.
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• Mar. 26, 2008 - February Home Values in Naperville

I have lived in Naperville my entire life and I could not begin to count how many awards this city has received, even over the recent years. Money magazine has named Naperville in the top 10 cities in the country to raise a family at least 3 times, we have the number one public library system in the country, and two amazing school districts, 203 & 204Naperville has great shopping & restaurants giving you few reasons to need to leave but if you want to get out it’s only a short ride into Chicago. There a hundreds of reasons to live in Naperville.
 
Well an article in today’s Sun gives us a few more. Real estate values have traditionally been strong in Naperville and even in a weak market the city’s strong points have helped to keep our values up, at least in comparison to our neighboring cities and towns. The nine county Chicago area had February sales down 26.9% from the same month in 2007, while Naperville was only down 18%. 
 
Remember that the 18% decrease is sale volume, not value. According to the Sun, Naperville prices are on the rise, reporting that “compared to February 2007, median sale prices grew by 12.2% for single-family homes and 21.9% for condominiums.” So even though fewer homes are selling, home values don’t seem to be dropping off. 
 
Naperville is fortunate because many of the things that draw its residents to move, and stay here, are the same things that are helping the property values.
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• Mar. 26, 2008 - NAR Releases February Sales Numbers

Tuesday the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released sales numbers for February and nearly everyone was surprised. Expectations were for another reported loss in sales, but nationwide sales rose 2.9% from January to February, the first rise in sales in seven months! 
 
The downside to this good news was that, although volume increased, prices decreased. The NAR also reported national real estate prices declined 8.2%, the largest drop on record.
 
Although some people are saying that the market has bottomed, it seems the general feeling is one of cautious optimism. These numbers show that seller’s are finally accepting that the market has changed and their house may not be worth what it was a year or two ago. The low interest rates are still attractive to buyers and the tighter lending restrictions aren’t necessarily a bad thing for sellers. Yes the tighter restrictions will keep some buyers out of the market but the ones that are able to get a loan are able to because they have good credit and money to put down. Translated, that’s a strong buyer.
 
Locally, the nine county Chicago area had an increase in sales volume of about 10% and Illinois as a whole, about 15%.  Let’s hope that March can continue the up tick.
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• Mar. 24, 2008 - Naperville Adds New Online Services

The City of Naperville decided in last week's council meeting to contract with Virchow, Krause & Company to put city meeting minutes online.  This will streamline the process for residents to find information from various city departments.  It is estimated that the city will save around $3,000 a year in printing costs and they were able to eliminate a salaried position saving an additional $68,000 annually.  The site is expected to be up and running by year's end.  For more information read the article in today's Naperville Sun.
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• Mar. 19, 2008 - Avoid Frozen Pipes This Winter

With the cold, winter weather comes the danger and inconvenience of frozen pipes.  According to State Farm Insurance, over a quarter of a million homes experience a frozen pipe each year, and that is only the homeowners who file a claim.  There are several things that  can be done to avoid unwanted water spilling across your floor. 

  • Insulate your pipes.  This applies to pipes in any exterior walls.  Any hardware or home improvement store sells foam wraps for water pipes.  If you are in the process of building a home of redoing a room, take this opportunity to move water pipes from exterior walls. 
  • Turn water off to exterior faucets.  If your home has a separate valve, turn the water off to any outside faucets and drain them.  If your home does not have separate valves, consider having a plumber install them or install anti-freeze exterior faucets.
  • Let your faucet drip.  This has been a simple solution for years because it generally works.  It will waste water which doesn't fit into today's trend of conservation but if the pipe freezes and bursts, much more water will be wasted and damage to your home could occur.
  • Open doors.  Many kitchen and bathroom cabinets that house water pipes and are located on an exterior wall or even above a cold garage, basement, or crawl space can trap cold air.  By opening the cabinet doors it allows the warm air in the house to circulate around the water pipes.

Hopefully these tips will help you avoid damage to your home this winter from unwanted and preventable water.

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• Jan. 24, 2008 - Rates Drop!

Tuesday, the Fed had an emergency meeting and dropped the rate 3/4 of a point!  That is a huge, unexpected drop in an effort to try to avoid an upcoming recession. 

Will it work?  It is hard to say at this point.  Some economists say it was the right thing to do but others disagree.  Only time will tell.

Well, only one day later, Wednesday, mortgage rates dropped to a new four year low.  According to Bloomberg News, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage declined to 5.31 percent.  This drop could encourage the millions of homeowners across the country who are faced with high rate ARMs to refinance and save money on a monthly basis.  The money that these homeowners would be saving could be used on other items, encouraging consumer spending.  This monthly savings could also be squirreled away for a rainy day, reinvested in the property through improvements, or used to pay down their mortgage loan at a more rapid rate.

If you are thinking of refinancing, I work with several of the area's leading lenders and can offer referrals to banks and brokers who have a proven track record. 

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• Jan. 21, 2008 - Builders & Investers Choosing Foreclosure

There are many builders and real estate investors who are finding themselves in a difficult place.  The property that they were looking to make money on is in fact costing them money.  With higher than recent market times, some local builders and small time investors/flippers are choosing foreclosure as their best option.  The monthly carrying costs of a mortgage, interest, taxes, utilities, and maintenance are adding up and many are finding that even a break-even sale is going to be impossible.  Now their choices are to lose money or let the bank take over the property. 

Nobody wants to be foreclosed on, but for builders and investors it is a business decision and many are cutting their loses.  There is certainly an opportunity for home owners to strike a deal on these properties before foreclosure occurs.  They are difficult to locate but an experienced Realtor who knows the local market can certainly locate these gems.  The next hurdle is negotiating a price where the buyer gets a great deal and the builder or investor takes a minimal loss but is able to avoid foreclosure and keep a positive reputation.

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• Jan. 21, 2008 - Option ARMs Add to Subprime Fallout

Lenders are now starting to report a larger number of loans going into default from borrowers with high credit scores and even equity in their property.  The loans causing this new alarm are Option ARMs.  These are loans designed to give the borrower three different options with their monthly payments:

  1. Borrower pays the full monthly amount due covering the interest expense with the remainder going to pay down the principal.
  2. Borrower pays only the interest expense of the loan with the principal remaining unchanged.
  3. Borrower pays only a portion of the interest owed with the principal increasing

After a predetermined time period these options end and a regular payment schedule is put in place. 

Option ARMs have been around for years, but just like the sub-prime lending, they have been used more prevalently for borrowers who could not qualify on any other terms.  Option ARMs are generally stated income/stated asset loans.  This means that in exchange for a slightly higher interest rate borrowers just have to tell the lender what their income & assets are and not necessarily provide proof.  The self employed or individuals with a complex financial situation are prime candidates for this type of loan.

For borrowers who were unable to qualify for a traditional mortgage, the Option ARM was given as an alternative.  The stated income could be slightly inflated in order to get the borrower into a higher priced home.  The borrower would then bank on the appreciation of their newly acquired asset and refinance before the payment schedule removed the payment options.  These borrowers are not seeing the appreciation they had hoped for and are now being forced to either sell or be foreclosed on.

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• Jan. 18, 2008 - Rental Prices Forced Down

With the growing foclosure rates across the country the market has certainly become flooded with listings in some areas.  With homeowners having trouble selling their current home many sellers are opting to rent outtheir homes in hopes of riding out the market's down turn.  Unfortunatly, this is not an original idea and with more sellers going down this road a new problem is occuring in the market; rental prices are falling!

It comes down to the simplicity of suppy and demand.  The more rental properties in the market, the lower the rental prices will be.  Fortunatly, the Chicagoland area is not being hit very hard.  It is not difficult to find foreclosures in our neighborhoods' but our area has not had the value losses of many other areas across the nation.

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• Sep. 11, 2007 - Opportunities in Today's Market

Anyone who has turned on the news or picked up a newspaper lately is aware of the current disaster that is the real estate market. Or at least that is what the media is reporting to us. The truth is, although many markets across the country are in terrible shape, the Chicagoland area is not truly one of them. Sure our market has slowed, but our homes are not losing money at any significant rate. Prices have mostly leveled off in our area, but some suburbs are still experiencing reasonable appreciation.
 
In fact, this is a great market for first time home buyers as well as home owners who are looking to make a move up. Individuals looking to purchase their first home don’t have anything to sell. This strengthens their negotiating position and they are able to take advantage of the buyers market we are currently seeing.
 
Current home owner’s who are looking to make a move up, sell their home and purchase a larger one, can also turn the market in their favor. They may have to give up a small amount of their current home’s equity by pricing their home competitively, but they make more than that up by purchasing a larger, more expensive home in today’s market. As an example, by giving up $15,000 (5% of a $300,000 home) and getting their home sold, they were able to negotiate a $30,000 (5% of a $600,000 home) savings on their new home. And since real estate generally appreciates on a percentage basis, a $600,000 home will have gained more value over a few years than a $300,000 home.
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• Sep. 5, 2007 - Buyer's vs. Stagged Homes

Most Sundays, I have every intention to sit down and read the paper, but rarely the follow through.  This past Sunday, because of the holiday weekend, I was able to at least take in the Real Estate section of the Chicago Tribune while I sipped my coffee.  Through Mary Umberger's weekly column, I learned of an association I was not familiar with; the National Association of Exclusive Buyer Agents (NAEBA).  The NAEBA does not seem to have any affiliation with the National Association of Realtors and I had trouble gaining information about them from their site.  It turns out, members of the NAEBA only work with buyers, they never represent sellers.  They had recently conducted a survey of it's members in regards to staged homes that I found interesting.

I recommend giving this study a read.  As a Realtor who has earned both the ABR (Accredited Buyer Representative) and the ASP (Accredited Staging Professional) I could make an argument to support either the positives or the negatives of staging.  The study by the NAEBA sites examples of how staging covers up flaws in the property and distracts from what should be the main focal point, the house.  As a buyer's agent, I have shown many staged homes and seen my clients become excited about the property.  I have never had a client become angry with me because I would point out issues with the house, because as I have instructed them, that is my job.  The study claims that that staggers intentionally arrange furniture and hang paintings to hide holes in walls and put up window treatments to hide broken windows. 

Overall the study was self serving for the NAEBA, as it continually urged buyers to use a member of their association when purchasing a home.  I'll take that advice a step further and recommend that home buyers use a Realtor to assist them with their new home purchase.  The study is not entirely wrong in it's intention.  The point of staging a home before putting it on the market is to cause the home to look it's very best and appeal to the broadest audience of buyers.  Sellers stage homes to get them sold.  A buyer should understand that they are buying the physical structure, not the contents, and the buyer's agent should be there to drive home this point.

Before I take a client out to view homes I have a buyer's consultation meeting.  It is at this time that I outline the various steps in the home buying process and I let them know what to expect in the upcoming days, weeks, and many times, months.  I remind my clients that for most people, their home is their largest investment and that they need to buy it smart.

 

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Information on the real estate market in Naperville and the surrounding areas as well as information on current market conditions, forecasts, and ideas for getting homes sold.

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