In March of this year, the Obama Administration authorized a new federal program to help stabilize the housing industry. The feds poured a mere $75 billion into the Making Home Affordable (MHA) mortgage program intended to avert further foreclosures, assist responsible home owners in retaining their homes and stabilize the nation's communities.

Home Affordable Refinancing Program (HARP) and Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) are the two initiatives under the umbrella of the MHA that are being used to distribute the funding for the program. The programs fall under the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) secondary mortgage market lenders, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Through the MHA programs, certain homeowners are provided assistance whose loans are either owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Over the following three years, the program is on target to assist three to four million homeowners. Currently, over 230,000 trial modifications have been started; although, over 500,000 is the goal to have in process by November 1, 2009. What's interesting is that more than 85 percent of mortgage loans out there today are covered by participating service providers.

HARP assists homeowners who are current on their mortgage payments, but are not able to refinance their loans due to a decrease in their home's market value. Homeowners may be afforded the opportunity to refinance their mortgage to a lower interest rate and to a lower-risk loan solution, both of which are part of the program.

General requirements to be eligible for HARP are as follows:

* Must be the owner of a one- to four-unit home
* Mortgage must be owned or guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac
* Must be current on mortgage payments throughout the previous 12 months, which means that you've not been more than 30 days late on any mortgage payment within the previous year
* Amount due on your first mortgage is not more than 125 percent of the current market value of your home

HAMP offers options for homeowners that may potentially reduce their monthly mortgage payments, or provide other alternatives that can assist them in keeping their homes. The program helps homeowners who are in the following situations with their mortgage:

* Current, but have experienced recent significant hardship, including hardship that will inhibit their ability to pay mortgage payments going forward
* Delinquent on their mortgage payments
* Currently in the foreclosure process

For full details regarding the MHA, visit the MHA website.

Both sites offer a self-service lookup tool that tells you whether your home loan is owned by either. To find out more about the Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac MHA programs, or to see if your home loan is owned by either, see the information below:

* Fannie Mae
* Phone - (800) 7FANNIE (Hours - 8am to 8pm EST)
* Freddie Mac
* Phone - (800) FREDDIE (Hours - 8am to 8pm EST)

Ki's website includes a searchable map of homes in the Austin MLS. His site is focused on helping Austin real estate buyers. In addition to information on the Austin market, his site also provides a mortgage widget that shows current interest rates.

Maybe it was the stern talking to they took from Congress this past week that put the big banks into a charitable mood. J.P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Bank of America have all agreed to freeze foreclosures while the Obama administration works out plans to help bolster the floundering housing market.

As noted in a recent article in The Wall Street Journal, "We will not add to the foreclosure process any new owner-occupied residential loans that are owned and serviced by J.P. Morgan Chase," the company's chief executive, Jamie Dimon, said in a letter Thursday to Rep. Barney Frank (D., Mass.), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee.

The moratorium on new foreclosure proceedings will last until early March, with the hope that this will give adequate time for Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to put his 50 billion foreclosure prevention plan in place. Geithner hinted at plans last week to stem the flow of home losses that has washed over the whole country. President Obama has also said he will outline the actions his administration plans to take on the foreclosure mess next week.

All three banks' plans apply to primary residences and they seemed willing only to do this in the short term. According to The Wall Street Journal, some lawmakers have suggested Treasury Secretary Geithner "strongly encourage" banks receiving government bailout funds to temporarily stop foreclosures. "TARP-assisted financial institutions should allow struggling homeowners more time to qualify for any systematic loan modification plan," Frank and Rep. Doris Matsui (D., Calif.), wrote in a letter to Mr. Geithner Wednesday. J.P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup and Bank of America have each received billions in TARP funds.

Government controlled mortgage finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have also agreed to immediately suspend foreclosure sales on owner-occupied homes. While these freezes in the foreclosure action may give some homeowners a little breathing room, it probably does not offer any long term help.

The real problem is the "underwater mortgages," or the mortgages on homes that are worth less than an owner owes. Even with banks offering lower interest rates or assistance with payment plans, there seems little incentive for some homeowners to keep paying on a home that is not accruing any equity. The stigma of a foreclosed home does not hold the same sting it once did and families are finding it easier to hand in the keys and walk away.

The root of the problem isn't the foreclosures; that's just the unpleasant side effect. The real problem was the over-valuation of homes that swept the country for the first part of this decade. This was particularly true in places like California and Florida where building booms have led to an unprecedented housing bust. The ripple effect is that all houses have lower value as sellers compete in a housing market along side foreclosed properties.

Foreclosure freezes are helpful, as are lower interest rates and bank assistance with payment plans. However, until home values stop plummeting, the housing market and the economy are not going to recover anytime soon.


Ki created a way to search Austin real estate based on user-defined preferences. They have a free graphical Austin MLS search. His site has detailed statistics on Austin real estate and Allandale real estate

The general arguments concerning the bailout have gone something along the lines of

"The taxpayers should not have to foot a 700 billion dollar bill to bail out Wall Street"

"But if taxpayers do not bail out Wall Street the economy will fall apart and those same taxpayers will be hurt"

If we could be sure the bailout would work the second argument has some merit. While the bailout will certainly help the banks, the problem is we have almost no guarantee the bailout will help the real estate market and the general economy.

First let's look at some recent history of how the Fed has tried to help the troubled real estate market. The Fed usually attempts to lower mortgage interest rates to help the real estate market. By lower mortgage rates houses become more attractive. In addition, with lower mortgage rates home buyers can buy more expensive houses with the same monthly payment. Therefore lower rates can help stop falling prices. So it was not surprising in early 2008 the Fed cut the Fed rate. In normal markets lowering the Fed rate helps banks and causes them to lower mortgage interest rates. And after the fed cuts mortgage rates for a period of time dropped to 5.50. If they had stayed down there we might have averted some of the problems with the current housing crisis. But instead a few weeks later rates had jumped backed up to 6.2. Basically banks said thanks for the lower fed rates but we are not going to alter our rates. In fact, over the next few months mortgage rates rose all the way to 6.6. The next big move was acquiring Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. This was one of the largest government takeovers in US history. The move was risky because the government was providing insurance for trillions in loans. And it initially had a positive effect on the housing market. But a few weeks later AIG ran into financial problems. It was almost as if the government takeover of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae never happened.

So the previous moves the federal government has made to stop the financial crisis have not worked. Should the 700 billion dollar bailout be different? It could certainly help the markets. But it might not. Lets look at why.

One of the benefits of the 700 billion dollar bailout has nothing to do with banks. It has more to do with perception on Main Street. The hope is that the bailout will restore confidence in the real estate market on Main Street.

In politics people often talk about news cycles covering up the last news cycle. Basically the last piece of news stays in people's minds until the next piece of news comes along. The Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac news cycle (and the billions the government will spend on it) only lasted until the next piece of news, which was about a week. While the 700 billion dollar bailout should restore some confidence into the real estate market, that confidence might only last until the next piece of news. And with things happening so quickly that news cycle might not last very long and given the current market the next piece of new is likely to be negative.

The other benefit of the 700 billion dollar bailout is that the government is hoping to influence banks to start lending again. The idea is that by taking billions in toxic loans off the books for banks they will start lending again. The problem is that their is no guarantee this will happen. In fact when the fed lowered rates banks said thanks but decided that prospects for the housing market looked negative and continued to add restrictions to lending. In a similar fashion banks could say thanks for the 700 billion but we continue to see negative prospects in the housing market and therefore we will continue to have strict lending practices. But thanks for the 700 billion taxpayers.

Escapeso real estate is a small brokerage in Austin Texas. Their realtors works with clients looking for Austin real estate. Their site offers a free search of the Austin MLS along with current mortgage interest rates.

Mortgage Interest Rates Mortgage Rates Widget

If you have been hoping interest rates would drop your prayers have been answered. Interest rates plummeted over half a point last week falling from 6.35 to 5.78. The last time mortgage interest rates fell this fast this quickly was the beginning of 1995 when rates fell from 8.32 to 7.57. Rates have basically fallen following the government takeover of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Below are the rates for the major mortgage products for the last few weeks.

September 18, 2008
30-yr 5.78 15-yr 5.35 5-yr ARM 5.67 1-yr ARM 5.03

September 11, 2008
30-yr 5.93 15-yr 5.54 5-yr ARM 5.87 1-yr ARM 5.21

September 4, 2008
30-yr 6.35 15-yr 5.90 5-yr ARM 5.97 1-yr ARM 5.15

30 Year mortgage rates fell less this week (.15 points) compared to last week (.42 points). 15 year and 5 year arms both fell about .2 points this week. 1 Year arms which was the only major product to not fall last week fell .18 points this week. The other interesting point is that because interest rates were falling before the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac takeover (based on rumors of the takeover) rates have fallen an incredible amount (.74 points for 30 year rates) over the last month and a half.

Ok so let's see what these drops mean as far as a mortgage payment. Using our mortgage calculator widget lets look at a payment based on a 200k loan. We will run the numbers based on today's mortgage rates and rates on September 11, September 4th and July 24th.

September 18th
30-yr $1170.96
15-yr $1618.29
5-yr ARM $1157
1-yr ARM $1077.31


September 11th
30-yr $1190.11
15-yr $1638.41
5-yr ARM $1182.43
1-yr ARM $1099.45

September 4th
30-yr $1244.47
15-yr $1676.92
5-yr ARM $1195.24
1-yr ARM $1092.05

July 24th
30-yr $1281.28
15-yr $1707.22
5-yr ARM $1219.75
1-yr ARM $1134.32

So the obvious thing to see here is that the now lower interest rates have had a large effect on mortgage payments. A mortgage with a 30 year interest rate dropped from 1281.28 to 1170.96 (9.1 percent) in the last month and a half. So that brings up the point that it's probably a good point to start looking at refinancing your mortgage even if you received a mortgage somewhat recently.

So what is in store for the market in the next few weeks? It's hard to tell but the market is very volatile. One day the stock market drops 400 points because Lehman Brothers goes bankrupt. Then the government proposes to takeover the bad mortgage debt and the market rises. Because of this volatility if you are thinking of refinancing I might lock in to an interest rate now because its hard to know what rates are going to be like in a few weeks.

Ki is a realtor down in Austin Texas. His website provides a search of the Austin MLS along with information on Austin Commercial Real Estate.

So it has been a week since the feds came in and took over Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. While it will obviously take some time to know the long term repercussions I wanted to look at some of the immediate reactions to the move.

First let's look at the reaction from the media and the general public. One would expect there to be some political fallout from the largest takeover in government history. But because of the election and Hurricane Ike the reactions have largely been muted. There have been of course the expected positive reactions that this was a shrewd move to help the real estate market and negative reactions that the government should limit its involvement. But for the most part their has not been a big reaction one way or another. I have actually seen more stories about the reactions on the takeover from the presidential candidates than stories simply about the takeover.

While the media reaction has been muted the reactions in the financial markets have not been. Not surprisingly, the stocks of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac plummeted after the announcement. The government said before hand that the common shares of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae would lose most of their value in the event of a government takeover. So following the news of the takeover the share promptly lost 80% of their value.

The mortgage markets have reacted very favorably to the news. Considering the Fed has cut interest rates multiple times this year mortgage interest rates have remained relatively high. The reason for this was that banks were unsure about the financial stability of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae which provides insurance for about half of the residential loans issued in the United States. This risk has now been lowered since the government takeover. Consequently mortgage rates have plummeted in the last week. 30 Year mortgages have dropped from 6.35 to 5.93. This is after rates have moved down from 6.63 to 6.35 partially on expectations that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were going to be taken over. I have seen some reports that this is lowest rates have been in the last 4 months. I think this understates how low rates have come down. Besides two brief drops at the beginning of 2008 this is the lowest rates have been since 2005.

The lower interest rates should have a positive effect on the real estate market. Lower rates pull down the mortgage on a house and tend to have a positive effect on real estate values and market activity. In another positive sign although their has not been too much media coverage the coverage that has come out has been mostly positive. To be honest I was a little surprised by this. I would have expected the coverage to be a little more mixed. But regardless the favorable media reaction combined with lower interest rates should help the real estate market. And based on what I have heard from different realtors their does seem to be an upswing in activity. But we won't have any hard data on this for a month or so.

So, at least in the short term, it seems the Feds have accomplished their goals of helping the real estate market with the Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae takeover. We will of course have to wait over the next few years to see if this move turns out to be wise. But for now the Fed has finally been able to push down mortgage rates.

Ki is a real estate broker working in the Austin real estate market. He maintains a website with a Austin MLS search and a frequently updated Austin real estate blog.

So on Friday it was leaked that the government is taking over Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. On Sunday it was official. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have now been taken over by the federal government. But what does it mean for the real estate market, mortgage interest rates, and the US economy.

First let's look at what it means for mortgage rates. I would expect that the government takeover will result in lower mortgage rates, possibly a full point lower. Why? Basically the Fed has been struggling to lower mortgage rates for the last year in an attempt to assist the troubled real estate market. The Fed has lowered prime rates several times in an attempt to pull down mortgage interest rates, with mixed success. Now with full control of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (which provides insurance for most mortgages in the US) they will have much more control over the mortgage market and mortgage rates. As long as their objective stays the same, we can expect lower rates.

What does the takeover say about the current situation in the real estate market? This should have been obvious from all the events that preceded this but the takeover shows that the real estate market is in serious serious trouble. The federal government doesn't just take over large companies on a whim, especially an administration with a Republican president that believes strongly in free markets. This is not simply a government takeover. This is the largest takeover in US history. Basically the takeover happened because it was believed if nothing was done we were headed for economic catastrophe.

How is this going to effect the real estate market? Although the takeover is a bad sign about our current situation it should have a positive effect on the real estate markets moving forward. First lowering mortgage interest rates should be quite a boon for the real estate market. Lowering rates lowers the effective cost of a house. And historically lowering rates has a positive effect on real estate values.

Additionally, if the Fed is smart they will reduce some of the mortgage restrictions Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae have created in the last year. While I would not like to see the mortgage market return to the free-wheeling lending of a few years ago, some of the current rules are bizarrely restrictive. The lending environment typically works like a pendulum moving from one extreme to another. Currently lending restrictions are not just stricter than what we saw during the real estate boom a few years ago but they are more restrictive than anything we have seen in the last 15 - 20 years. Hopefully a federally controlled Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac can help return us to normal as far as lending restrictions.

Lastly the government takeover could put taxpayers in the lurch for billions in loan losses. In the short term the government is going to have to infuse money into Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. They have been losing money for quite some time and that is not going to change overnight. If the market improves over the next year or two, which was likely before, and the takeover improves the outlook for the real estate market, the government will have to infuse maybe a total of 20 to 30 billion into Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to get them back to financial solvency. That sounds like a lot but to put the number in context, the cost of the Iraq War has been running at about 100 billion a year for the last 7 years. So a 20 billion dollar expense is an unpleasant but manageable expense. But if real estate market gets a lot worse over the next two years, I can't think of the adjective to describe how expensive things could get.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac provide insurance for 5 trillion in loans or about half of the residential loans in the United States. Because of the takeover, the federal government now provides insurance for 5 trillion in loans. If we are just on the cusp of severe real estate problem that means that the federal government is on the hook for 5 trillion in loans. That's more than double the entire federal budget for 2007 and 10 times what the US has spent on the Iraq War. So as taxpayers we should hope things improve soon because if the rate of foreclosures skyrockets over the next 2 or 3 years, we are basically going to be paying for it.

Does this mean the federal government is insane? It depends on how you look at the issue. This was certainly a risky move. But on the other hand allowing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to fail would have devastated the US economy and likely lead to a severe depression. So doing nothing was equally risky. And while taking over Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae was a risky move for taxpayers, in a depression those that keep their jobs have to make up for all the lost tax revenues for the large number of people that lose their jobs. So in summary the federal government found itself in a tight spot and decided to bet the farm they can fix the real estate market and for our sakes, let's hope they are right.

Ki lives and works in central Texas. He provides a search of the Austin MLS on his site along with current information on the Austin real estate market. His site also provides a tool that show current trends for mortgage interest rates.