Rates fell for the third straight week. They hit the lowest point since May 21st and they reached the 6th lowest point in history. It will come as no shock to those that have been following rates that the 5 lower rates all occurred this year. Below are the 6 lowest rates of all time.

April 30th - 4.78
April 2nd - 4.78
April 23rd - 4.80
April 16th - 4.82
May 21st - 4.82
Nov 19th - 4.83

As we can see although it's the 6th lowest it's extremely close to the all time low of 4.78 reached in April. Falling below 4.78 at this point would be significant though. While it would not make a big difference in actual mortgage payments it would create headlines. And having a bunch of stories about historically low mortgage rates could push some buyers off the fence and help increase sales.

In addition to the 30 year rate falling the other major mortgage products fell as well this week. In fact the 15 year mortgage and the 5 year arm both hit all time lows this week. Below are rates from the weeks from Oct 22, 2009 to Nov 19, 2009. We also showed rates from April 30th, 2009 which was the all time low for the 30 year mortgage.

Nov 19, 2009
30-yr 4.83 15-yr 4.32 5-yr ARM 4.25 1-yr ARM 4.35

Nov 12, 2009
30-yr 4.91 15-yr 4.36 5-yr ARM 4.29 1-yr ARM 4.46

Nov 05, 2009
30-yr 4.98 15-yr 4.40 5-yr ARM 4.35 1-yr ARM 4.47

Oct 29, 2009
30-yr 5.03 15-yr 4.46 5-yr ARM 4.42 1-yr ARM 4.57

Oct 22, 2009
30-yr 5.00 15-yr 4.43 5-yr ARM 4.40 1-yr ARM 4.54

Apr 30, 2009
30-yr 4.78 15-yr 4.48 5-yr ARM 4.80 1-yr ARM 4.77

So now that we have locked at rates lets look at actual mortgage payments. We took current rates and translated them into a mortgage payment for a 200k mortgage. We also did the same thing with rates from November 19th (2 weeks ago) and from April 30, 2009 (the all time low for the 30 year rate.

Nov 19
30-yr $1052.96
15-yr $1511.65
5-yr ARM $983.87
1-yr ARM $995.62

Nov 05
30-yr $1071.19
15-yr $1519.78
5-yr ARM $995.62
1-yr ARM $1009.8

Apr 30
30-yr $1046.91
15-yr $1527.94
5-yr ARM $1049.33
1-yr ARM $1045.7

So based on current mortgage rates the payment on a 200k loan would be $1052.96. What's interesting is that the payment is 1.7% less than what it was two weeks ago. On the other hand the payment based on today's rates is only 0.5% higher than what it was on April 30th when the 30 year rate hit its all time low.

So what is advice to people looking for mortgage? Although the 5 year arm is at an all time low I would avoid ARM's at this point. Looking at historical mortgage rates it would seem that most likely rates will be significantly higher in 5 years than what we are seeing currently.

Now is probably a going time to lock in a mortgage rate. With rates just barely above all time lows the chances of rates falling drastically is pretty low. On the other hand rates have a lot more room to move up.


Ki works in Central Austin. His website distributes free information on Austin Tx real estate to potential buyers. His site also has a free mortgage calculator and a interest rate widget.

After rising steadily for the last 3 weeks mortgage rates fell back down this week. The 30 year rate fell from 5.03 to 4.98. The 15 year rate fell from 4.46 to 4.40. The 5 and 1 year arm fell from 4.42 to 4.35 and 4.57 to 4.47 respectively. This looks like more of a hiccup as mortgage rates steadily start there rise. At this point the overwhelming consensus is that mortgage rates are going to rise in the next six months. But the lowered rates do provide an opportunity for potential homeowners to lock in rates at sub 5.00 rates. Below are rates from the weeks from October 8, 2009 to November 5, 2009.

Nov 05, 2009
30-yr 4.98 15-yr 4.40 5-yr ARM 4.35 1-yr ARM 4.47

Oct 29, 2009
30-yr 5.03 15-yr 4.46 5-yr ARM 4.42 1-yr ARM 4.57

Oct 22, 2009
30-yr 5.00 15-yr 4.43 5-yr ARM 4.40 1-yr ARM 4.54

Oct 15, 2009
30-yr 4.92 15-yr 4.37 5-yr ARM 4.38 1-yr ARM 4.60

Oct 08, 2009
30-yr 4.87 15-yr 4.33 5-yr ARM 4.35 1-yr ARM 4.53

Apr 16, 2009
30-yr 4.54 15-yr 4.93 5-yr ARM 4.83 1-yr ARM 4.82


As has been the case for several months the interest rate to watch is the 30 year rate. When rates are low (and the expectation is that they are going to rise) there is no real reason to look at short term ARMS.

In addition to looking at rates we also calculated the mortgage payments for a 200k loan based on today's rates.

Nov 05
30-yr $1071.19
15-yr $1519.78
5-yr ARM $995.62
1-yr ARM $1009.8

Oct 22
30-yr $1073.64
15-yr $1522.84
5-yr ARM $1001.52
1-yr ARM $1018.12

Apr 09
30-yr $1015.74
15-yr $1573.26
5-yr ARM $1043.29
1-yr ARM $1057.8

This show how little rates have moved in the last two weeks. For a 30 year loan on a 200k mortgage the payment is $2.45 less a month for a decrease of about 1/5 of 1 percent

So what is our advice? First I would avoid anything but a 30 year mortgage. Their is simply too much of a chance of higher rates. Second I would start looking for a mortgage earlier in the process instead of later. Basically their are too many issues with lending right now and it's a good idea to find out any issues to get a loan earlier in the process. Second it's a good to check into the 7,500 tax credit. The new program has expanded the eligibility so if you didn't qualify for the 8,000 tax credit you might qualify for the new one.


Ki works, and lives, in Austin, Texas. His website arranges details on the Austin Tx real estate market. It also has graphs of mortgage rate trends and a few free mortgage widgets.

The 30 year rate rose again this week rising from 4.92 to 5.00. Now in the last two weeks 30 year mortgage rates have risen from 4.87 to 5.00. Most of the other major mortgage products rose as well. The 15 year rate rose from 4.37 to 4.43. Both the 5 year arm rising from 4.38 to 4.40 and the 1 year arm was the only product to fall moving from 4.60 to 4.54.

While this is not a huge jump the question is are we seeing the tip of the iceberg with rising rates? The expectation has been that rates would rise as the economy improves. While the economy is by no means doing well it seems to be improving from what we have seen in the last year. Additionally, the government has lowered its volume of buying mortgage backed securities. This has helped mortgage rates to rise in the last two weeks and led to speculation of further rises. Below are rates for the last few weeks.

Oct 22, 2009
30-yr 5.00 15-yr 4.43 5-yr ARM 4.40 1-yr ARM 4.54

Oct 15, 2009
30-yr 4.92 15-yr 4.37 5-yr ARM 4.38 1-yr ARM 4.60

Oct 08, 2009
30-yr 4.87 15-yr 4.33 5-yr ARM 4.35 1-yr ARM 4.53

Oct 01, 2009
30-yr 4.94 15-yr 4.36 5-yr ARM 4.42 1-yr ARM 4.49

Sep 24, 2009
30-yr 5.04 15-yr 4.46 5-yr ARM 4.51 1-yr ARM 4.52

Mar 26, 2009
30-yr 4.85 15-yr 4.58 5-yr ARM 4.96 1-yr ARM 4.85

In spite of the increases rates are still relatively low. They are lower than at any point before January 2009 and lower than they were just last month. In addition to looking at rates we also like to see mortgage payments. Using our mortgage calculator we translated rates from October 22, October 8 and March 26 into a mortgage payment for a 200k loan.

Oct 22
30-yr $1073.64
15-yr $1522.84
5-yr ARM $1001.52
1-yr ARM $1018.12

Oct 08
30-yr $1057.8
15-yr $1512.66
5-yr ARM $995.62
1-yr ARM $1016.93

Mar 26
30-yr $1055.38
15-yr $1538.17
5-yr ARM $1068.75
1-yr ARM $1055.38

As we can see again there is not a huge difference. Compared to 6 months ago a mortgage payment is only 1.73 percent higher ($18.26 more a month).

So what is going to happen moving forward? The fear of rates hitting 12 percent has probably lessoned. Basically if the economy quickly recovered the speculation was that inflation could spiral out of control. Since the economic recovery seems to be a somewhat slow process the expectation is that mortgage rates and inflation will rise but it's doubtful they will move above 10 percent.

That said if one is looking at buying its best to lock in rates now considering that rates are rising and the expectation is that they will probably be higher a month from now.


Ki has lived and worked in Austin, Texas for over 10 years. He has a comprehensive understanding of Austin Tx real estate. His site provides graphs of historical mortgage interest rates along with a free mortgage calculator.

Although we are not seeing too much movement it looks like mortgage rates are starting to trend upward. It's interesting to note that the stock market had its strongest July in several years. Once the economy has a full recovery there are some predictions that inflation will spike and mortgage rates will hit double digits. We are a ways from that but its interesting none the less to see rates slowly moving up and the economy slowly moves into recovery mode. All four of the major mortgage products moved up this week. The 30 year mortgage went from 5.20 to 5.25; the 15 year fixed went from 4.68 to 4.69. The 5 and 1 year arm went from 4.74 to 4.75 and 4.77 to 4.80 respectively. Below are rates from the last few weeks and from January 15, 2009 (6 months ago).

Jul 30, 2009
30-yr 5.25 15-yr 4.69 5-yr ARM 4.75 1-yr ARM 4.80

Jul 23, 2009
30-yr 5.20 15-yr 4.68 5-yr ARM 4.74 1-yr ARM 4.77

Jul 16, 2009
30-yr 5.14 15-yr 4.63 5-yr ARM 4.83 1-yr ARM 4.76

Jul 09, 2009
30-yr 5.20 15-yr 4.69 5-yr ARM 4.82 1-yr ARM 4.82

Jul 02, 2009
30-yr 5.32 15-yr 4.77 5-yr ARM 4.88 1-yr ARM 4.94

Jan 15, 2009
30-yr 4.96 15-yr 4.65 5-yr ARM 5.25 1-yr ARM 4.89

In addition to looking at rates it's always nice to translate them into actual mortgage payments. We used a mortgage calculator to translate a 200k loan into a mortgage payment based on current rates. We also did the same thing with rates from 2 weeks ago and rates from 6 months ago.

Jul 30
30-yr $1104.4
15-yr $1549.47
5-yr ARM $1043.29
1-yr ARM $1049.33

Jul 16
30-yr $1090.82
15-yr $1543.3
5-yr ARM $1052.96
1-yr ARM $1044.5

Jan 15
30-yr $1068.75
15-yr $1545.36
5-yr ARM $1104.4
1-yr ARM $1060.23

So while payments are higher (assuming one got a 30 year mortgage) they are not that much higher. Compared to 6 months ago a mortgage payment (on a 200k loan) would be $35.65 more a month or 3.33 percent higher. Enough for a fee extra coffee's a month but nothing substantial. But if rates spike up to 10 percent (as some predict) the payment would be 1755.14 which would be a 58.92 percent increase.

So what is our advice? As has been true for the last year I would avoid the arms like the plague. Although rates are up over the last few months historically speaking rates are still very low. There are very few cases where it makes sense to get an arm and risk refinancing in a few years at potentially a much higher rate. And if rates go down substantially (which is pretty unlikely) one can always refinance at the lower rate.

Also in the same vein if one is considering getting a mortgage in the next month or so I would suggest looking in early if one can do so without extra fees. Although rates could go either way there is a more of a risk of them moving up than down over the next month.


Ki writes frequently about mortgage rates. In addition to providing information about Austin Tx real estate his site provides a mortgage widget and a free mortgage calculator.

Mortgage rates continue to fall this week. The 30 year rate fell from 5.32 to 5.20. While this is not lower than the rates we saw a few months ago this is lower than any recorded rate before the start of 2009. The 15 year rate fell as well dropping from 4.69 to 4.63. In the last 5 weeks rates have fallen steadily each week going from 5.59 to 5.14. Below are rates from the last 5 weeks and rates from December 31, 2009 (6 months ago).

Jul 16, 2009
30-yr 5.14 15-yr 4.63 5-yr ARM 4.83 1-yr ARM 4.76

Jul 09, 2009
30-yr 5.20 15-yr 4.69 5-yr ARM 4.82 1-yr ARM 4.82

Jul 02, 2009
30-yr 5.32 15-yr 4.77 5-yr ARM 4.88 1-yr ARM 4.94

Jun 25, 2009
30-yr 5.42 15-yr 4.87 5-yr ARM 4.99 1-yr ARM 4.93

Jun 18, 2009
30-yr 5.38 15-yr 4.89 5-yr ARM 4.97 1-yr ARM 4.95

Jun 11, 2009
30-yr 5.59 15-yr 5.06 5-yr ARM 5.17 1-yr ARM 5.04

Dec 31, 2008
30-yr 5.10 15-yr 4.83 5-yr ARM 5.57 1-yr ARM 4.85

So the question remains after rising a few months ago why are rates suddenly falling. Part of it can be attributed to the negative economic news that has been coming out. While the economy is not necessarily getting worse the recovery seems to be moving slower than first thought. The slow recovery has put the breaks (for now) on inflation fears and has probably helped to push down interest rates as well. This is of course good news for the real estate market. The longer rates stay low the better the prospects for the real estate market to get rid of some of the excess inventory that has built up over the last few years.

In addition to rates we like to look at mortgage payments. Using our free mortgage calculator we looked at mortgage payments based on today's rates for a 200k mortgage.

Jul 16
30-yr $1090.82
15-yr $1543.3
5-yr ARM $1052.96
1-yr ARM $1044.5

We also did the same calculation on rates from 5 weeks ago (when rates first started to fall) and rates from the beginning of the year.

Jun 11
30-yr $1146.89
15-yr $1587.84
5-yr ARM $1094.51
1-yr ARM $1078.53

Dec 31
30-yr $1085.89
15-yr $1563.93
5-yr ARM $1144.37
1-yr ARM $1055.38

As we can see the drop in rates over the last few weeks is rather significant. A mortgage payment would be 4.88% less today than it was 5 weeks ago. For a 200k it would be $56.07 cheaper a month.

So what is going to happen in the future? It's hard to tell and I will be the first to admin I was pleasantly caught off guard by the recent drop in rates. While its hard to know what is going to happen in the next few weeks over the next 6 months I would expect rates to rise significantly as the economy starts to recover. Over the next few weeks I would expect there is more of a risk of rates rising than falling simply because rates are incredibly low now.


Ki works as an agent in the Austin market and enjoys spending his free time in the hill country. His site provides information on mortgage rates along with a free mortgage calculator. It also provides extensive information on Austin Tx real estate.

Curb appeal is the equivalent to your perceived first impression. If you were a salesman, would it be advisable to give a "dead fish" handshake to a brand new customer? Absolutely not- the same goes for your home. You want potential buyers to be ready to get out of the car and look inside your home. As beautiful as your home may be, if the outside is not appealing, it will be very difficult to sell the inside of your home. Even if your home is not on the market, you must be conscience of curb appeal. It can make your home feel welcoming and truly a place that you and your family members want to come home to. If you're looking to boost curb appeal, try focusing on the following things:

Siding and roof- Is it in need of repair or a power-washing? Consider renting a power washer for the weekend and giving the outside of your home a good cleaning. Make sure your temperatures are above freezing before embarking on this task to ensure you don't do more harm than good.

Landscaping- Does it match your home or is it outdated? Are your trees and shrubs overgrown and covering the beauty of your home? If you are unsure, it may be a good idea to see the advice of a professional landscaper to get ideas and an estimate of how to update and improve your landscaping.

Windows, Doors and Shutters- Are you windows, doors and shutters in good condition and free from cracks and damage? If they are in need of an upgrade, consider energy efficient windows and doors, especially if you are considering selling your home. These are important features to energy conscience home buyers.

Porch- Is your porch welcoming, clean and clutter free? Ensure your porch reflects the comfort and style of your home by not stacking or storing junk on the porch and making it a welcoming and beautiful retreat.

When it comes to your kitchen, this is generally one of the first rooms a prospective buyers looks at. Modern kitchens function as the life of the home, which is much different from the kitchens of the past. No longer are kitchens tucked away and isolated- they are now as much as an entertaining area and gathering place as they are an area for cooking. Even if your home layout does not promote this type of feeling, there are things you can do to make it feel welcoming and modern. Consider adding a fresh coat of paint to the room to revive and liven the environment. Ensure that the paint and décor selected complements the kitchen cabinets so as to not detract from the room. Also, do a little bit of clean up work and remove as much clutter and items from your countertops as possible. Finally, take a look at the floor. Is your flooring in good shape, free of marks and chips, or does it need a little TLC?

If you can only make one update to your kitchen, focus on the most important: your cabinets. The cabinetry sets the tone for your kitchen, so an update to these can instantly revitalize the entire room. If you can't afford cabinet replacement, consider re-staining, re-facing or repainting your cabinets, all of which are more cost friendly options to total replacement. And, don't forget to update the hardware on the cabinets to complete the look of your new kitchen.

Finally, your bathrooms, even in spite of their small size, pack a lot of punch. They are the most frequently used room in your home by guests, so it is important that it is a welcoming and clean environment. Fortunately, in light of its typically low square footage, bathrooms are quickly and readily updated. They are also very important to prospective buyers. Some things to consider in a bathroom update are storage space, lighting, cabinetry and fixtures. Ensure all of these items are updated, clean and not in need of repair. It is also important to ensure these elements do not reflect a dingy feeling. You want to make sure it does not feel old, worn out and dingy- focus on fresh and updated.


Ki lives in the Austin area and has worked in the Austin real estate market for almost 10 years. He created a website for future owners to research Austin TX real estate. His site also has information on mortgage rates and a graphical Austin MLS search.

30 Year Mortgage Rates dropped from 5.15 to 5.03. With the exception of the weeks of January 8th, 2009 and January 15th 2009 this is the lowest rates have been in over 40 years. The other 3 major mortgage products dropped as well with 15 year arms moving down from 4.72 to 4.64, 5 year arms going from 5.08 to 4.99 and 1 year arms moving from 4.86 to 4.80. Although the 5 year arm has moved below the 30 year fixed for the last few weeks there is still no real reason to get a 5 year arm at 4.99 when you can lock in for 30 years at 5.03 at historically low rates. Below are mortgage rates for the four major products for the last few weeks.

Mar 12, 2009
30-yr 5.03 15-yr 4.64 5-yr ARM 4.99 1-yr ARM 4.80

Mar 05, 2009
30-yr 5.15 15-yr 4.72 5-yr ARM 5.08 1-yr ARM 4.86

Feb 26, 2009
30-yr 5.07 15-yr 4.68 5-yr ARM 5.06 1-yr ARM 4.81

Feb 19, 2009
30-yr 5.04 15-yr 4.68 5-yr ARM 5.04 1-yr ARM 4.80

Feb 12, 2009
30-yr 5.16 15-yr 4.81 5-yr ARM 5.23 1-yr ARM 4.94

So we also wanted to look at mortgage payments. We took today's rates and translated them into the payment on a 200k loan. We also translated the rates from January 15th, which was the lowest rates we have seen, and from October 16th which is the highest rates we have seen in the last few months.

Mar 12
30-yr 1077.31
15-yr 1544.33
5-yr ARM 1072.42
1-yr ARM 1049.33

Jan 15
30-yr $1068.75
15-yr $1545.36
5-yr ARM $1104.4
1-yr ARM $1060.23

Oct 16
30-yr $1258.87
15-yr $1702.87
5-yr ARM $1217.16
1-yr ARM $1093.28

Looking above its obvious anyway getting a loan today didn't lose out all that much by not catching rates at their absolute lows on January 15th. Payments for a 200k 30 year mortgage today are less than $10 dollar more a month. But their are substantial savings compared to what we saw a few months ago. Payments would be $181.56 less today compared to getting a 200k loan on October 16th.

That relates to our next point of where mortgage rates are going. I can't say for certain what they are going to do over the next 2 months. I would guess as long as the economy stays weak they are not going to move around too much. Mostly likely they will hover between 4.5 and 5.5. Basically they can't fall too much considering they are already abnormally low. And as long as the economy stays down I don't see them rising too much.

But once the economy recovers most people expect that rates will rise. Some have speculated that rates could jump up to 12-15 percent. Basically so much money has been poured into the economy during the recession to stop things from getting worse. Normally that would cause inflation. But the weak economy has kept inflation in check. When the economy finally does recover the billions poured into the financial system by the government will lead to high inflation which will in turn lead to high mortgage rates.


Ki writes updates on mortgage rates. His site has information on Austin Tx real estate along with a tool that graphs mortgage interest rates.

Mortgage rates fell for the second week in a row. 30 year rates fell to a 40 year low to start the year dropping down to 4.96 on January 15th. After that rates rose up to 5.25. Now rates have fallen back to almost reach their previous lows. In fact this is the lowest rates have been in 40 year with the exception of the first two weeks of 2009. Below are rates for the last few weeks.

Feb 19, 2009
30-yr 5.04 15-yr 4.68 5-yr ARM 5.04 1-yr ARM 4.80

Feb 12, 2009
30-yr 5.16 15-yr 4.81 5-yr ARM 5.23 1-yr ARM 4.94

Feb 05, 2009
30-yr 5.25 15-yr 4.92 5-yr ARM 5.26 1-yr ARM 4.92

Jan 29, 2009
30-yr 5.10 15-yr 4.80 5-yr ARM 5.27 1-yr ARM 4.90

Jan 22, 2009
30-yr 5.12 15-yr 4.80 5-yr ARM 5.24 1-yr ARM 4.92

The 5 year Arm fell quite a bit this week and is now equal to the 30 year rate (This is the first time since November 20, 2008 that the 5 year arm is not above the 30 year arm). But it's still a pointless rate because why get a 5 year arm when you could get the same rate on a 30 year fixed mortgage. The same can be said of the 1 year arm since it does not offer that much savings over the 30 year rate.

The 15 year rate fell this week and is now also sitting at the lowest point in 40 years with the exception of the first two weeks of 2009. I always like to translate mortgage rates into actual mortgage payments. Below are mortgage payments for a 200k loan based on today's rates and rates from a week and a month ago.

Feb 19
30-yr 1078.53
15-yr 1548.44
5-yr ARM 1078.53
1-yr ARM 1049.33

Feb 12
30-yr 1093.28
15-yr 1561.86
5-yr ARM 1101.93
1-yr ARM 1066.32

Jan 22
30-yr 1088.35
15-yr 1560.82
5-yr ARM 1103.16
1-yr ARM 1063.88

Messing around with our mortgage calculator I found something kind of interesting that illustrates the importance of mortgage rates on payments. If you got a 200k loan with a 30 year mortgage in 1995 the rate would have been around 9 percent and the mortgage payment would have been around $1625. Assuming you never refinanced you would pay off the loan in 2025.

Now if you got a 200k mortgage today you could get a 15 year mortgage with a 4.68 percent rate and pay only $1548.44. In addition, you would actually pay off the mortgage a year earlier in 2024.

So what is my advice in the current market? First I would avoid the 5 and 1 year arm. The rates are relatively high and it makes more sense to lock in with a long term rate when rates are at historic lows. Second I would look into getting a mortgage before spending too much time looking for a house. Basically although rates are low lenders are still pretty picky these days about finances. In addition, if there is anything weird with your credit score finding out early will allow you to have time to fix any outstanding issues.

So as far as the mortgage market what do we expect to happen over the next few weeks? Basically with the stock market hitting 6 year lows recently and hovering near 12 year lows and the bailout getting passed it seems that the market is going to be pretty volatile over the next few weeks. So I could see rates going up or down by possibly as much as half a point. If you have found a house you like it might make sense to lock in now but watch rates and try to relock if they fall significantly over the next week or two.

Ki maintains a website with information about Austin Tx real estate. It also has a free mortgage calculator along with updated graphs on mortgage interest rates.

After falling for the last 2 months 30 year mortgage rates jumped up this week. The 30 year mortgage went from 5.10 to 5.25. This is the highest we have seen December 11, 2008. The 15 year mortgage moved up as well from 4.80 to 4.92. Below are rates for the last few weeks.

Feb 05, 2008
30-yr 5.25 15-yr 4.92 5-yr ARM 5.26 1-yr ARM 4.92

Jan 29, 2008
30-yr 5.10 15-yr 4.80 5-yr ARM 5.27 1-yr ARM 4.90

Jan 22, 2008
30-yr 5.12 15-yr 4.80 5-yr ARM 5.24 1-yr ARM 4.92

Jan 15, 2008
30-yr 4.96 15-yr 4.65 5-yr ARM 5.25 1-yr ARM 4.89

Jan 08, 2008
30-yr 5.01 15-yr 4.62 5-yr ARM 5.49 1-yr ARM 4.95

The 5 year arm and the 1 year arm for the most part held steady. The 5 year arm still remains a pointless mortgage option since it is above the 30 year rate. The 1 year rate is moving back to almost being a viable option. While the difference between the 1 year arm and the 30 year fixed is still not great enough to see many people choosing the 1 year arm, if the 30 year rate rises more next week I could see the 1 year arm starting to see more activity. In addition to looking at rates we wanted to also look at actual mortgage payments. We took today's rates and determined what the mortgage payment would be on a 200k mortgage. We also did the same thing with rates from a week ago and rates from January 15th when rates hit their lowest point so far.

Feb 05
30-yr 1104.4
15-yr 1573.26
5-yr ARM 1105.64
1-yr ARM 1063.88

Jan 29
30-yr 1085.89
15-yr 1560.82
5-yr ARM 1106.88
1-yr ARM 1061.45

Jan 15
30-yr 1068.75
15-yr 1545.36
5-yr ARM 1104.4
1-yr ARM 1060.23

Compared to January 15th ones potential mortgage payment has risen about 3.2 percent. This is a decent rise for this short of a period of time.

So if you were planning on purchasing and didn't lock in 3 weeks ago did you miss the boat? I would say yes and no. The rates 3 weeks ago were at 30 year lows and they have risen quite a bit since then. But looking over the last several decades today's rates are still very very low.

It's hard to know what is going to happen moving forward. Without direct government involvement I don't see rates falling back to what we saw a few weeks ago. So that begs the question, are we ever going to see the proposed 4.5 government sponsored loan become a reality? The difficulty of passing the recent economic stimulus package makes it look like passing additional programs might be tough as well. And if it does pass there are probably going to be some strings attached. Currently I would peg the chance of it passing at around 50%. But if the housing market weakens this month I would think the prospects of a 4.5% government mortgage would rise substantially.


Ki writes regularly about mortgage rates. His site has free mortgage calculator along with general information about Austin Tx real estate.