Los Angeles Real Estate Market Report: Beverly Center-Miracle Mile, Hancock Park-Wilshire |
According to the MLS, there were 15 SFR sales in October in the Beverly Center-Miracle Mile area at an average of $466/sq. ft., which is 21% below the 2006 market peak. With 61 active listings, and an average of 11.6 sales per month YTD, this indicates an inventory of 5.5 months. There are also 99 REO, or bank-owned properties in the area at the moment. Although it is common to have a 1-2 month pipeline for REO property that is not yet listed with a broker, another 99 houses represents an additional 8.5 months of unlisted, or “shadow inventory.”
In the Beverly Center-Miracle Mile condo market there were 4 sales in October at an average of $442/sq. ft. which is 16% below the 2006 market peak. With 37 active listings, and an average of 6.5 sales per month YTD, this puts the condo inventory at 5.7 months. With 30 REOs, there is 4.6 months of unlisted inventory.
In the Hancock Park-Wilshire area, there were 20 SFR sales in October at an average of $453/sq. ft., which is 19% below the 2006 market peak. With 82 active listings, and an average of 14.6 sales per month YTD, that leaves us with an inventory of 5.6 months supply. There are 44 REOs presently, which gives us 3 months of unlisted SFR inventory.
In the Hancock Park-Wilshire condo market, there were 4 sales in October at an average of $324/sq.ft. which is 26% below the 2006 market peak. With 72 active listings and an average of 12.8 sales/month YTD, that gives us an inventory of 5.6 months. At the moment there are 45 REOs which is equal to 3.5 months of unlisted inventory.
In sum, it would appear that inventory has contracted in both areas , and to some market observers, may even appear to be a “seller’s market.” What is unclear however, is the amount of unlisted REOs and to what extent more property coming on the market will put downward pressure on prices in the near future, especially with 2 years worth of Option ARM /Interest-Only resets on the horizon. While there has been some improvement in these areas, my feeling is that we are going to have quite a bit of inventory to go through before we can describe current market condtions as a”seller’s market.”
If you have any questions, comments, or need more information specific to your neighborhood, please do not hesitate to contact me.
