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Piedmont Real Estate Blog

Blog by Julie Emery
Amissville, Virginia

An ongoing dialog on real estate news, opinion and trends in Northern Virginia and the greater Piedmont area. Julie is an Associate Broker at Century 21 New Millennium, 5451 Old Alexandria Turnpike, Warrenton, VA 20187

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Piedmont Real Estate Blog

A Guide to CMAs

Mar. 7, 2007
Categorized in: Sellers

A CMA is a Comparable Market Analysis. I've also seen it called Competitive Market Analysis. Regardless of how you define it, it's purpose is to give a potential seller an idea about what their home will sell for.

Many real estate agents routinely offer to do a free CMA as a way of getting their foot in the door with a potential client. And, a CMA can be a very valuable tool for the seller. But I don't believe most sellers have enough information to accurately determine if what they're looking at makes sense.

You've probably heard the quote about "lies, damned lies, and statistics".  Well, then there are CMAs.

I can get a CMA to say just about anything I want it to. But a proper CMA, while not an actual appraisal, should take into account the methods an appraiser will use when choosing which homes to use as comparisons for yours.

First of all, if you live in a good sized subdivision and there have been recent sales, that's what will be used. It doesn't matter if you think the people down the road don't have as nice a house. The rules that appraisers follow will almost guarantee that the most important comparables he or she will look at will be in the subdivision where you live.

And, they're only going to look at recent sales. In this market, if it sold more than six months ago it's insane to consider it as a guide to pricing your home. No appraiser worth their salt will use it. Prices in this market may have stabilized. But there's also a pretty good chance they're still dropping.  The more current comparables you have, the better.

The comparables used should be as close to your home as possible in terms of age, style, number of rooms, garage, lot size, etc. Think apples to apples!

And the comparables should be focused on what has sold, not what's active. It doesn't matter what someone asks for their house. It only matters what they can actually sell it for!

CMAs can be manipulated to pull the data that supports the price a seller wants. And there are plenty of agents who want or need business badly enough to tell a seller what they want to hear. That's a disservice to everyone in the long run!

So push back and ask the hard questions when you look at the numbers. If you think those numbers look too good to be true, you're probably right!

NAHB Estimator

Jan. 31, 2007
Categorized in: Sellers
Tagged with: estimate, home, sellers, value

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) has recently come out with a tool that is supposed to estimate the value of your home. There are starting to be quite a few of these tools, none of which I've found to be all that accurate so far. But this is clearly a technology in its infancy and I believe, given enough time, they will get more accurate. Although it's hard to see how they'll ever account for things like the functional obsolescence of an avocado green bathroom! And, if you build in a questionnaire about the overall condition of their home, everyone's instinct is to rate their home a little higher than the average unbiased observer would!

But I'm straying from my subject. While the NAHB estimator is not necessarily a good place to find out what your home is worth, it has value in helping determine what adds and detracts from the value of your home. It asks questions like is there an abandoned building within half a block of your home and whether there's bothersome trash nearby. It's good to get a feel for how these can potentially impact the price of your home.

Now the only problem is you've got to go talk to your neighbor about that trash!

Just a note that I had to modify the macro security settings in Excel to get this to work.  Medium or low will work, it just won't function on high.

The site, if you'd like to check it out for yourself is http://www.nahb.org/estimator

Have fun!