Welcome to the New RealTown! Submit Feedback
Member Login | Join RealTown
The Real Estate Network

Piedmont Real Estate Blog

Blog by Julie Emery
Amissville, Virginia

An ongoing dialog on real estate news, opinion and trends in Northern Virginia and the greater Piedmont area. Julie is an Associate Broker at Century 21 New Millennium, 5451 Old Alexandria Turnpike, Warrenton, VA 20187

Subscribe

Your E-mail Address:
Subscribe to:

Recent Comments

RE: Foreclosures Frozen
Going out and learning the inventory is key. Even...
RE: Let it Expire
 Please dont hope for this to expire. My fian...
RE: What if That's All There Is?
Never walk away from equity...
RE: Finding a Good Contractor
Finding the best contractor is always a big proble...
RE: Why Mortgages Aren't Being Modified
Well, they're also using the implementation of the...

Site Feed

RSS Feed

Piedmont Real Estate Blog

How Low Will They Go?

Dec. 17, 2008
Categorized in: Buyers

Mortgage rates are way, way down today. The lowest I've seen is 4.875% for a 30 year fixed with 0 points. That's truly incredible and probably the lowest mortgage interest rate I've seen in my lifetime.

The rates did not drop because of the Fed's drop of the Fed funds rate, but because of what else Fed Chair Bernanke had to say yesterday. He basically said he's going to do whatever it takes to get this economy moving again. And, he specifically said that can include buying mortgage backed securities. That's the big deal.

Because those mortgage backed securities are still sitting on the banks books. And regardless of what the federal government has tried banks still are not lending money as freely as the economy needs. The mortgage backed securities, which may, in fact, be worthless are a big part of why they still aren't lending. What the Fed did was signal that they will buy these possibly worthless assets and allow the banks to get them off their balance sheets. That should, finally, convince the banks to lend money again.

But, if you've been contemplating buying a home right now, your biggest question is probably, should I buy now or will rates go lower?

No one can answer that question for you definitively. But here's what I think. There's a fair chance that rates may go even lower. There are proposals floating around that would have the government subsidizing mortgage rates to lower them even more. No one knows whether any of these proposals will ever actually be implemented. But given the current environment and government's determination to get the economy fixed, it certainly could happen.

But, if you've found a home you love and the price is right and you can afford a mortgage with rates where they are, I'd suggest you move forward now. The risk of losing a home you want is higher than the risk of losing out on a slightly lower mortgage rate. Buy now, build a little equity and, if rates stay low you can refinance down the road.

If you're out there looking, I'd say keep looking. Inventory is lower than it has been in several years. These lower rates may actually make that worse as more buyers begin to make their move. Your selection isn't likely to improve in the short term and if you find something you'd like, jump on it.

If you haven't started looking yet, I definitely think you ought to at least be very closely monitoring inventory. You should know what's out there and what you get for your money in your price range. I can't tell you whether or not to wait for rates a little lower. But I can tell you that great rates now and a reasonable amount of inventory might be a better situation than even lower rates and buyers fighting over inventory. This is especially true in the lower price ranges where inventory has gotten very picked over.

I think it's shaping up to be a very interesting 2009!

What a Day!

Jan. 22, 2008
Categorized in: Mortgages

It's certainly been a dramatic day. It started by waking up to the news of Asian markets showing dramatic downturns over fears of a US recession. Then, before our markets opened, the Fed cut both the Fed funds rate and the discount rate by 3/4 of a point. That's dramatic for two reasons. First of all the size of the cut is larger than anything seen in about two decades. Secondly, it's highly unusual for the Fed to cut rates outside of a scheduled meeting. That's especially true when the meeting is only a week away!

It was nice to see the Fed mentioning concern about the housing market as one of the reasons behind today's cut. Having the Fed continue to focus on this industry can only be a good thing for homeowners.

Now, the question is how will it impact our current market. The place you're likely to see an impact first is on home equity lines of credit. Those rates will probably move down pretty quickly. Mortgage interest rates in general, as I've mentioned before here, aren't directly linked to either the Fed funds or discount rates. So we'll have to watch and see what happens to mortgage rates. But the size and timing of this cut do have the potential to have some impact.

One thing to keep your eye on is Wall Street's reactions. Since inflation worries can and do impact mortgage interest rates that will play into the equation. The fact that oil prices continue to fall today is good news there.

There are some hopeful signs here. And I suspect there will be some buyers influenced to make a move now. I've certainly seen increased activity on my attractively priced listings. There seems good reason now to expect that to continue.

Where Are My Lower Rates?

Oct. 1, 2007
Categorized in: Mortgages

So, I know you're all wondering what happened to that half point interest rate cut!

About two weeks ago now the Fed lowered the Federal Funds rate half a point. And the "Happy Days are Here Again" music immediately rang out from the real estate industry. Well, at least in some quarters you heard a lot of happy talk!

And, I thought we'd see more impact than we have. Instead what we've got are mortgage interest rates trending up. The financial markets clearly believe there's some reason to fear inflation and that fear is carrying more weight than the interest rate cuts by the Fed.

Granted, much of the Fed's cut had been factored in by the markets in advance. It's part of why the rates are still so low.

And we may yet see additional reductions as the impact of more money available to lend filters through the system.

But for now, I wouldn't hold my breath waiting for any significant impact on mortgage interest rates from Fed rate cuts. If you've been afraid to lock in a rate, I'd go ahead. I believe there's a greater risk now of interest rates going up due to inflationary pressures than that you'll miss out on a great deal on interest rates.

Half a Percentage Point

Sep. 19, 2007
Categorized in: Mortgages

I do know that the correct phrasing for yesterday's rate cuts is "50 basis points" but let's face it, all us lay people are thinking about it as half a percentage point!

Whatever you want to call it, it's good news for buyers and sellers!

Let me explain that this is NOT a half percentage point cut in mortgage interest rates. While the Fed rate does impact mortgage interest rates it's not a direct one to one correlation. And, some of the Fed rate cut has been gradually factored in already.

That said, this will put downwards pressure on mortgage interest rates. Today's release of CPI numbers showing almost no inflationary pressure will help that as well.

So...now what do you do? If you're a potential buyer it's a great time to think about buying a house. You probably qualify for a little more than you did a week or two ago. There are unlikely to be much in the way of additional rate cuts in my opinion. If you're even semi serious it's time to talk to a mortgage lender and find out what you can afford to buy. Then go looking! But read my advice to sellers as well!

Sellers, good news at last! But...don't blow this! This is not the time to raise your price. In fact, I'd argue just the opposite is true. You're likely to get a brief uptick in buyers. Lower the price now and get the place sold. This new, small surge of buyers isn't likely to last long and the spring market is a very long time away! I believe pricing pressure will continue to push home prices down. The bulk of foreclosures haven't begun to hit the market here locally yet. And, as always, make sure your home is in tip top showing condition and is easy to show! Always!