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Piedmont Real Estate Blog

Blog by Julie Emery
Amissville, Virginia

An ongoing dialog on real estate news, opinion and trends in Northern Virginia and the greater Piedmont area.

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Piedmont Real Estate Blog

Housing Bill

Jul. 25, 2008
Categorized in: Real Estate Legislation

Next week the President is likely to sign into law the most far-reaching housing bill any of us have seen in at least a generation. Now that the details seem to have been worked out, it's time to talk about what this means.

First, you should know that almost no one really likes this bill. But even those who don't will generally admit they think it's a necessary evil.

Strangely enough the piece of the bill likely to have the biggest long term impact is the last minute addition thrown in to address what's happened at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In the short term, this is a good thing. If you think the local real estate market is tough now, a Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac collapse would have put us into a tailspin with very dire broad economic consequences. In the long term, this is probably not a good thing. It's a band-aid and doesn't ensure there's any reason for either of these institutions to behave more responsibly in the future. And, there's certainly no sign anyone will be held accountable!

The pieces of this bill that are designed to immediately impact the housing market seem unlikely, in my mind to have much real impact.

The first piece I'll focus on is the provision that is supposed to encourage lenders to renegotiate mortgages for troubled homeowners. So, let's say you bought one of those new homes in Culpeper a couple of years ago. You paid $400,000 (with 100% financing) and now the thing is worth $200,000. This bill suggests that the bank provide you a new mortgage at 90% of the current value of the home. In this case, it would be $180,000. The rest of the debt would be forgiven. The bank has just eaten a $220,000 loss. In addition, they will pay an additional 3% fee to FHA which will then guarantee the mortgage.

The supposed payoff for the lender is twofold. First of all, they don't end up with a foreclosed home on their hands. Foreclosed homes are a money drain for any institution. They're expensive to maintain and the cost of selling them is something banks hate. The other payoff for the lender is that the mortgage is now guaranteed and they know they won't lose their shirt on what's left.

Since this program is entirely voluntary, is that enough incentive given the size of some of these losses? Obviously, I don't know. But I wonder if we'll see the most impact on those communities that weren't that badly hit, where the losses that the banks eat will be smaller. If your a bank, maybe this program makes sense where the original home price was $400K and the current value is $370K. So, help may go to those places that need it least!

The other piece I'll talk about today is the $8000 7500 credit for the first time home buyers who buy foreclosed homes any primary residence. Overall, this is a good thing. It's certainly a nice bonus if you're a first time home buyer! And, we certainly need to move those foreclosed homes out of inventory faster.

But if you're Joe Seller, trying to sell your home and the home next door is a foreclosure, buyers have an awfully big incentive to buy that home rather than yours.

If you've got opinions on these parts of this bill, or on other provisions, chime in. Is this, on balance, good or bad? Will it do any good for our local markets?

Seller's Guarantee

Jul. 12, 2007
Categorized in: Sellers

We've talked about a buyer's guarantee. Beginning today I'm going to offer a seller's guarantee as well.

First, you should know that this is not a product that will appeal to every seller! This is only designed for someone who really, truly, must sell their home.

The basic guarantee is that if I can not sell your home in 120 days, I will then waive my commission for the next 120 days to get your home sold.

As with any offer, there are details!

  • The home must be listed at a price I believe is competitive in our current market.
  • The seller must agree to consultation with a home staging professional and make whatever changes/upgrades are necessary to make the home ready to sell!
  • Listing agreement must be for a minimum of 240 days.
  • Seller must agree to 5% price reductions every 20 days until home is under contract.
  • Home must be available to show 7 days a week, between 9 a.m. and 9 p.m.
  • The compensation to the buyer's agent will not be waived and will be a minimum of 3%.
  • Home will be listed in MLS with sign in yard and lockbox for agent access.
  • Failure to keep home in same condition as in virtual tour photos voids this agreement.

I believe this offer is the most aggressive offer available from any listing agent in our market today!

If you know someone who really does need to sell their home, please pass along this information! Whether the situation is truly desperate or simply urgent, I believe this will be helpful to a great many sellers.

I'm anxious to hear your feedback!

Builder's Deal

Apr. 9, 2007
Categorized in: Local Market Conditions

Late last week a national builder who has quite a few developments in this area took out a full page ad in a local paper. They were advertising no mortgage payments for the remainder of 2007 if you put a contract on existing inventory now.

There are several things we know from reading this ad. First of all, the builder has no confidence in a quick rebound for the local housing market. Like all of us, a homebuilder does not easily give up profit potential. Unlike your average homeowner, however, a builder is not at all emotionally involved. He sees the unsold homes simply as a product, as inventory. He'll do what it takes to get rid of them.

Secondly, the builder undoubtedly believes prices will continue to drop or at the very least stay very, very soft for the peak selling season.

And, given this offer, the builder is right. If you're selling a resale home in the same price range, you've got a very tough job competing with this. That's especially true if you're unlucky enough to be selling a home in one of these very developments! But even if you're home is elsewhere and is a comparable home in terms of size and features, you had better be prepared to lower your prices considerably. If you're the buyer comparing a brand new home and no mortgage payments for 7 months or looking at your home, nice but already lived in and mortgage payments beginning immediately, what would you choose?! There aren't many of us that would choose the lived in house.

So, sellers should be prepared for another round of price cuts. If they can find a way to swing it they might think about a marketing campaign offering to make the new owner's house payments for the rest of 2007 in order to compete with the builder.

And, in some cases, sellers should be prepared to take their homes off the market and wait it out. Inventory is still very high and clearly the builders don't think it's getting better any time soon! Recovery in our local housing market is probably now not on the agenda until at least 2008. Of course, the Fed could elect to drop interest rates and surprise me! A girl can dream!

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