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September 2008
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Buyer clients of mine were advised this week by their lender that they did not need to do a pre-offer home inspection on a foreclosure listing because, since they are getting a VA loan, the inspection is automatically part of what they get. Voila! Save money!
Bad lender!! Unfortunately, he doesn't quite have the whole picture.
When you get either a VA or FHA mortgage, as part of the appraisal, there is something of an inspection done. What these entities are doing is making sure there are no significant issues with the home that will cause the buyer to have to come up with money for repairs in the first year or two of home ownership. It's a worthy goal. But the inspection has gotten increasingly cursory over the years. And, things that the VA or FHA consider to be a problem, may in fact be things that are not a problem at all. (I've seen deals fall apart over these things!)
A real home inspection takes around 3 hours, sometimes longer, depending on the home. Each system will be tested. The home will be evaluated for water issues. The inspector will go into the attic to look for leaks. Better yet, the potential buyer gets a better understanding of what they're buying, how the systems work and what they'll need to do to maintain their home in good condition.
The VA or FHA appraisal doesn't come close to performing any of these functions.
But there's an even bigger problem here. The lender assured my clients that if they find anything significant, they'll simply increase the size of the loan so they can immediately have it fixed. So, no worries about having to walk away from the contract and lose their earnest money deposit to the bank.
So, even if the appraisal says the home is worth only the contract price and the place needs a brand new roof, no problem loaning them the extra money? A lending institution, given our current situation is willing to loan over 100% of the value of the property to first time home buyers? (Yes, this is going to be a no money down transaction.) And, they'll say this up front without even limiting the amount? If the required repairs bring that number to 110% of the value of the home, are they still going to approve the loan?
I think the answer is "no" and I think they've badly mislead my clients. Lending institutions should do what they do best, make lending decision. (OK, that may not be what most of them do best any more but we're giving them the benefit of the doubt!)
Lending institutions should not be offering advice that puts my clients at risk for losing their earnest money.
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A long, long time ago in what surely must have been an alternative universe, a government official told us that the mortgage crisis was self-contained. At the time it struck me as odd. It seemed to indicate a belief that the housing market was its own little corner of the economy, without much impact on the rest of our economy or our lives.
I haven't heard anyone use that phrase in awhile.
Now that we're facing a $700 billion bail out of the financial industry, here's the real problem with those earlier statements. First of all, they show a shocking lack of understanding of the importance of real estate in our economy. (By people who are paid a lot to know better!)
Second, the phrase, and the accompanying blather, was used to justify why there was no need to help out struggling home owners who were losing their homes to foreclosure.
And, so the hole got bigger, more people lost their homes. And, what do you know, it turns out that when enough people lose their homes, banks lose money! If enough homes get lost and enough banks get hurt, then there is reason for the government to step in and help.
I'm going to suggest that if the government had been willing to back stop struggling homeowners two years ago, we'd never been looking at this absurd $700 billion price tag now.
If I sound disgusted today, I am. The people who should have known better sat on their hands and watched this unfold. And, even now, as the bail out is being debated, there's a huge amount of push back about helping homeowners. Mind you this is the case even though I've heard several interviews with financial efforts admitting that foreclosures are really the root of the whole problem. So, we're going to put up $700 billion without addressing the root cause. Does this make sense to anyone?
Someone's going to have to help me make sense of this one! Feel free to share your wisdom!
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I kicked this off in the real estate community last week. And, today I'm announcing it publicly here.
Piedmont Property Management is now open for business! The business initially serves Fauquier, Culpeper and Rappahannock Counties.
I started my own property management firm for the same reason many entrepreneurs start a business. There was clearly a need. I heard so many complaints about the existing options that I became convinced there was an opportunity to do it better.
And, you, my client will be the ones who decide whether I manage to pull that off!
So for those of you who have decided it might be smarter to rent the house out and wait for a better market to sell, let me know! I'll be happy to tell you all about what I do and how I do it!
Don't look for a lot of posts here regarding property management. This will still be devoted to the buying and selling of real estate. And, in case you're wondering, yes, I still do that! In fact, it's time to go write an offer!
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I know you've been hearing nothing but doom and gloom from the financial markets for the last week. And, it does feel like the sky is falling some days.
But the August numbers actually show lots of reasons for optimism. Almost across the board, by any measure of activity, the numbers look much, much better than they did a year ago.
In Culpeper, the inventory is at 676, down from 814 homes for sale at this time a year ago. Meanwhile, closed sales jumped from 32 to 64. Even new listings coming on the market has fallen from 154 to 121.
In Fauquier the story is much the same. Inventory is at 730 now vs. 823 a year ago. While the sales are still relatively flat, they have increased from 57 to 60.
Prince William has seen dramatic improvements, year over year. Inventory levels right now are at 4835. A year ago there were 5654 homes for sale. Sales have doubled from 419 to 838. The only negative indicator here is that new listings continue to come on the market at a fast clip. There were 1300 new listings in August. But a year ago there were 1530.
Rappahannock even showed some dramatic results with 5 sales last month compared to 2 a year ago. Inventory, however, remains close to it's highest point (August of last year) at 82 homes for sale.
While activity is very good, prices show no signs of recovery right now. And, I believe you'll continue to see prices flat or falling for at least the next six months. But banks are getting their listings sold. They're not doing it by getting them in great shape. They're doing it by dramatically discounting price.
If you're a seller, that's your dilemna. Do you drop your price to compete with the banks? Can you afford to wait until all the foreclosures work their way through the system, potentially at least another year? Do you rent it out and hope for a better market at the end of the lease?
Whatever you decide, whatever your situation, it's good to hear a little good news this week!
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Clients I'm working with who are trying to buy a home settled on the one they want this week. It's a foreclosure and, as with most foreclosure properties, it's sold as is. That means we can't make the offer contingent on a home inspection or a radon inspection.
Normally, what I advise clients to do in this situation is to have a home inspection done before writing an offer. But in this case the bank already had several offers and gave us a deadline if we wanted to submit an offer. We had less than 20 hours to do so.
It's impossible to get a radon inspection in that time. And, it's practically impossible to get a home inspection done that quickly. In the end, my clients decided to pass on writing an offer on this home.
Here's my dilemna. I advised them that it's certainly not prudent to buy a home without an inspection. And, that's true. But the deeper truth is that I'd have put an offer on this home without a home inspection. It's a pretty new home, built in 2005. I see nothing that worries me, nothing to suggest water or pest issues, my two biggest worries. I am, by nature, less risk averse than your average individual. And, so, I'd have jumped in and made that offer.
But, it seems like the wrong advice to give to clients. First of all, let's all admit that we live in a litigious society. God forbid something seriously wrong shows up after they've moved in. These are very, very nice people. But that doesn't mean they wouldn't sue me for giving them bad advice and costing them a lot of money. And, that does impact what I say.
I also try very, very hard to never push my own personal likes, dislikes and personal biases on my clients. So, just because I'm willing to take that risk doesn't mean I assume that my clients have that same willingness to take risks with what may be their largest investment.
I'll admit that I remain a little torn about this. It's possible this would have been a good home for them. And I'll never know whether my advice was right or wrong. Don't you hate that?!
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I've waited a few days to talk about the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailout. There are two reasons for that. First of all, I don't think we yet know what the effects are really going to be. Secondly, I'd posted when the legislation was passed in July that I was uncomfortable with the idea but didn't have a better one. Clearly the markets told us yesterday that they think this is a swell idea. And, from their perspective you can certainly see why. Risks for investors have been reduced. Instead, risks for taxpayers have increased. (Hmmm, aren't investors also taxpayers?) As a taxpayer, I remain skeptical about this use of my money. As someone who makes a living in the real estate industry, it gladdened my heart to see mortgage interest rates drop a full half percent yesterday. Long term, the model of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac doesn't seem to have served us well. Whether some tinkering with the mechanisms can fix it or whether it needs to be scrapped completely will be debated over the next year. The other debate will be over whether we, as a society, want to make home ownership a high priority. I suspect most are still in favor of this, even given our current difficulties. But I think a lively debate over how we allocate resources and what we believe in, is always a good thing!
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A client asked a question this week that I've heard before. And, I thought it made for a good blog post. She asked:
How many homes do most people look at before they find the right one?
The answer, as in so many things, is that everyone is different. I've shown someone 1 house and that's the one they bought. I've also show someone over 30 houses before they decided not to move after all! And, I've even had someone buy a home without seeing it until the walk through on the day of settlement.
Nationally, people are physically looking at fewer houses these days before they buy one. The last statistics I saw said the average is 6 homes. The technology available today allows buyers to weed out a lot of homes online without ever stepping foot in them.
Usually it comes down to a couple of houses. And, often there's some dissension in a family over which house to choose. Here's a little guidance that may help.
First of all, if I've done my job, you're not going to go wrong buying either of your top choices.
And, I've never seen anyone unhappy because of that choice.
They may be unhappy over the commute, they may not like the neighbors, they may have over estimated their willingness to work on home improvements on weekends. If they were crazy enough to skip a home inspection, they may be unhappy about what they found! And, if your marriage is already in trouble, the fight over the right house definitely isn't going to improve the situation!
Most people, if they are happy, well-adjusted people, will continue to be happy, well-adjusted people, whichever home they move into.
I'll admit to a bias here. We lived in Miami, Florida when Hurricane Andrew hit in 1992. Being less than half a mile from the water we got pretty much wiped out. Most of us give lip service about knowing that our "stuff" isn't really all that important. I got the chance to test that theory!
So, do your homework. Research the home and the neighborhood. Make absolutely sure you're comfortable with how much you're spending on the house. Then, listen to your gut, work with your family to get buy in and move confidently forward.
A year from now, whichever house you chose, your chances of living happily ever after are pretty good!
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I'm always interested in highlighting local businesses that are doing good things on the green front. And recently I had the opportunity to sit down with two staff members from Poplar Springs Inn & Spa.
Anita Carshult, Director of Special Events and Sarah Stanton, Inn & Spa Manager, were kind enough to take some time to tell me about some of the exciting initiatives under way at Poplar Springs.
First of all, I'm very excited by their efforts to incorporate more local food into their menus. Local farms are providing seasonal produce, beef, poultry, cheese and eggs. Lavendar froma local farm is being used in both the restaurant and spa. Local game is served in the restaurant during the fall and winter. Work is under way on an herb garden on the property. The herbs would be used in both the restaurant and spa. And plans are in the works for a vineyard on the property!
The restaurant currently features many local Virginia wines. And they have recently added biodynamic wines as well as some organic vodkas.
The spa is also incorporating local grape skins in some of their products. And their signature treatments are all handmade on site.
On the energy front, they've installed a geothermal system for heating and cooling. LED candles are beiong used in the spa and restaurant.
They are working on reducing water usage by reducing the amount of linens used in the spa.
And I'm also happy to report that they're working to encourage local people to spend more time with them. They've added a new light fare menu available in the lounge Thursday through Sunday from 3:30 to closing. No jackets are required, no 5 course meals, just a menu of light, delicious foods a great selection of adult beverages and the chance to unwind in beautiful surroundings.
They're also added dinner on Sundays from 5:30 to 8:30. Many of you may already have tried their wonderful Sunday brunch from 11 a.m. to 2:30 p.m.
And, they've been doing Date Nights this summer. For a discounted price you get a three course dinner, bottle of wine and an outdoor movie projected on the barn. The cost is $55 on Friday nights and $65 on Saturdays.
I'm looking forward to hearing more about their plans for green initiatives and hope to see many of you in the lounge one evening, relaxing after work!
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I promised a sneak peak at the August numbers. And, overall, they're looking good. The number of closed sales looks like it stayed pretty close to July numbers. But those were good numbers overall. Inventory seems to have dropped significantly in most markets. Final numbers will be out next week and I'll have a more detailed analysis then. And, while I'm giving you impressions, here are a few things that hit me after showing dozens of homes over the weekend. - The showing instructions provided for many of the real estate agents were often wrong. There were a lot of people in homes where the listing agent had said they were vacant or out of town. Surprises are never a good thing!
- Overall, foreclosures are priced significantly below the rest of the market. There are a few banks who still aren't getting it. But most have priced these homes to move! However, most foreclosures will require, at a minimum new paint and carpet throughout the house.
- Short sale pricing is all over the map. And, many of the properties where the bank has already approved the short sale price are going to actually sell for much less. Or, the banks will not accept the offers and it will end up in foreclosure (at a much lower price).
- There were a substantial number of short sales where it was clear an offer had disappeared after buyers gave in to frustration when the bank took too long to make a decision. I suspect the real surprise is that there weren't more of those!
- For the first time in a very long time, we ran into other agents with clients showing the same homes at about the same time. That's got to be a good sign!
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