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Dec. 27, 2006 - Phoenix Real Estate Stats through 12/26

The supply of homes continued to fall over the past week, with sales for the past 30 days holding roughly steady if not slightly higher. I'm expecting to see the supply trend change within the first two weeks of the new year as owners prepare to put their homes on the market, either for the first time or after pulling them off the market for the holidays.

Phoenix Arizona Real Estate market stats through 12/26/06
CITY SOLD 11/26-12/26 ACTIVE 12/26 Absorption Rate
as of 12/26/06
Change Buyer/Seller
Ahwatukee 19 83 4.37 months -0.28 Seller
Anthem 38 567 14.92 -1.36 Buyer
Avondale 109 786 7.21 -0.04 Buyer
Buckeye 74 752 10.16 -1.89 Buyer
Carefree 3 94 31.33  -16.17 Buyer
Cave Creek 38 471 12.39  0.86 Buyer
Chandler 330 1,834 5.56 -0.48 Buyer/Neutral
Desert Hills 14 177 12.64  -1.20
Buyer
El Mirage 54 348 6.44 -0.20 Buyer
Fountain Hills 38 377 9.92 -0.43
Buyer
Gilbert 312 1,998 6.40 -0.37 Buyer
Glendale 251 1,773 7.06 -0.10 Buyer
Goodyear 110 948 8.62 -1.81 Buyer
Laveen 59 377 6.39 -0.29 Buyer
Litchfield Park 34 376 11.06 -1.61 Buyer
Maricopa 67 748 11.16 -1.84 Buyer
Mesa 432 2,689 6.22 -0.22 Buyer
Paradise Valley 24 255 10.63  -1.71 Buyer
Peoria 181 1,565 8.65 -0.23 Buyer
Phoenix 1,162 6,547 5.63 0.03 Buyer
Queen Creek 150 1,610 10.73 0.32 Buyer
Scottsdale 311 2,834 9.11 -0.49 Buyer
Sun City 74 595 8.04 -0.15 Buyer
Sun City West 46 509 11.07 -0.29 Buyer
Surprise 195 1,967 10.09 -0.04 Buyer
Tempe 97 375 3.87 -0.32 Seller
Tolleson 29 271 9.34 -0.69 Buyer
Waddell 14 100 7.14 0.77 Buyer
TOTAL 4,179 30,193 7.22 -0.26 Buyer


(c) Jonathan Dalton, 2006 / Jonathan Dalton's Arizona Homes

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Dec. 27, 2006 - re: Phoenix Real Estate Stats through 12/26

Posted by Brian Brady
This chart is really helpful.  I think it's interesting that Ahwatuke and Tempe, two desireable, built-out "towns" have turned "Seller".  Could this be the beginning of a trend?
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Dec. 28, 2006 - re: Phoenix Real Estate Stats through 12/26

Posted by Jonathan Dalton
As much as I would like to say that it was, I'm not so certain. In Tempe, the city isn't just built-out and landlocked but has been for the better part of 20 - 25 years. Very finite supply and relatively stable pricing given the age of the homes ... that will keep homes moving.

An eye-opener for me was taking a client through the Lakes and seeing how unimpressed they were with the area. Of course, lakeside living isn't new anymore, but when I moved here in '77 that was the place to be.
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