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Miami, Florida

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Miami, Brickell Key and Brickell Avenue Condos

Florida Real Estate

Jul. 15, 2008
Florida Realtors resume sales pitch to Britons

By
SHELLEY EMLING
Palm Beach Post-Cox News Service
Monday, July 14, 2008
 
LONDON — With Florida's property market in the doldrums, the state is casting about for buyers anywhere it can - and there's no better place than Britain.
Four representatives of the Florida Association of Realtors are in London this week with a message for property seekers: Come to Florida if you want to find a real steal.
 
"We're here to tell people that prices in Florida have never been lower and that there's a huge inventory to choose from," said John Sebree, the association's Tallahassee-based vice president of public policy.
"The British are extremely important to the Florida real estate market," he said.
Britons boast great buying power because the pound is so strong against the dollar.
This is the Realtors' second trade mission to London in the last four months.
In April a group of 14 Florida Realtors visited Britain. John Mike, chairman of the Realtors Association of the Palm Beaches, led the group.
Mike is here again this week, meeting with representatives of British media outlets to pitch stories on Florida real estate.

The Florida Realtors met Monday with editors at A Place in the Sun, a British magazine featuring overseas properties. The Realtors planned to meet Wednesday with Overseas Property Professional, a trade magazine and Web site.
The American market has piqued the interest of foreign buyers.
And Palm Beach, not surprisingly, has been a focal point. Donald Trump is reportedly selling the former Abe Gosman mansion at 515 N. County Road to Russian fertilizer billionaire Dmitry Rybolovlev for $100 million.

A 2007 survey by the National Association of Realtors found that nearly one-third of its members had worked with an international client in the past year.
One-third of such buyers were from Europe, with 12 percent of the total from Britain. Florida accounted for 26 percent of all international purchasers, leading the nation.
"There are still concerns (from Britons) about property taxes being too high in Florida, but they are actually pretty low compared to places like New Jersey and Connecticut," Sebree said.
 
"Insurance is higher than we want it to be, but it's stabilized from where it was a year or so ago."
Realtors also are focused on working with the U.S. government to loosen visa restrictions that prohibit foreigners from living in their properties for longer than six months of the year, he said.
Still, foreign buyers are free to rent out their Florida properties when they're not being used.
Sebree said: "We think buying in Florida is pretty much a no-brainer."
 
South Florida Real Estate Areas

Miami Real Estate

May. 21, 2008
Investor Report: Miami-Dade County

Every real estate investor knows the old saying: "Buy when there's blood in the streets."

 

Well that's what's going on right now in the Miami-Dade county condominium market, according to Jack McCabe, one of South Florida's most active consultants to hedge funds, "vulture funds" and other investors looking to pick up properties at 35 to 50 percent discounts off previous asking prices. It's no secret that Miami-Dade has the country's most crushing glut of unsold, unoccupied condo projects, with 25,000 sitting for sale -- a five year supply at current purchase rates -- plus another 19,000 units at some stage of approval or construction.

But McCabe, who is CEO of McCabe Research in Deerfield Beach, warns that getting great deals is not as easy as you might imagine. Many condominium projects are tied up in litigation, which can complicate the ability of unit owners or developers to close deals. Plus financing is getting very tough. Most banks have lists of local projects where they won't lend under any circumstances, and private mortgage insurers have bailed out of Miami-Dade like it's a toxic wasteland. So "cash is king," says McCabe. High leverage is out, because you can't find high-leverage loans. If you want to pick up units at half the previous price, he says, be prepared to belly up to the bar with 40 or 50 percent equity.

Better yet: Buy in bulk. Join forces with other investors to pool funds to pick up packages of distressed units from developers and banks who want to unload REO holdings quickly. "Due diligence" in all this is crucial. You've got to know the project, the developer, the unit owners and condo association situations in depth -- and the competition on the market -- to avoid costly mistakes. For example, McCabe has seen bargain-hunting investors pay $400,000 apiece for units and think they got a steal. Then a few weeks later they discover that the developer sold a big package of comparable units in the project for $250,000 apiece, putting the $400,000 buyers deep in a hole they never saw.

Buying real estate is not the only opportunity in hard-hit Miami, by the way. Some smart investors are focusing solely on what they call "distressed debt" -- they buy the underlying mortgages of condo units at deep discounts from banks. Then they try to work with unit owners to recast the loans into more affordable terms that keep the payments flowing, keep the owners in their units, and turn "nonperforming" mortgages into outstanding long-term investments.

It's all about seeing the opportunities, says McCabe. And playing the condo game with your eyes wide open.

Published: May 2, 2008

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Housing Crisis is Over

May. 7, 2008
Tagged with: miami real estate
The Housing Crisis is Over

Wall Street Journal Wall Street Journal,

By Cyril Moulle-Berteaux May 6, 2008

The dire headlines coming fast and furious in the financial and popular press suggest that the housing crisis is intensifying. Yet it is very likely that April 2008 will mark the bottom of the U.S. housing market. Yes, the housing market is bottoming right now.How can this be? For starters, a bottom does not mean that prices are about to return to the heady days of 2005. That probably won't happen for another 15 years. It just means that the trend is no longer getting worse, which is the critical factor.Most people forget that the current housing bust is nearly three years old. Home sales peaked in July 2005. New home sales are down a staggering 63% from peak levels of 1.4 million. Housing starts have fallen more than 50%, and, adjusted for population growth, are back to the trough levels of 1982.Furthermore, residential construction is close to 15-year lows at 3.8% of GDP; by the fourth quarter of this year, it will probably hit the lowest level ever. So what's going to stop the housing decline? Very simply, the same thing that caused the bust: affordability.The boom made housing unaffordable for many American families, especially first-time home buyers. During the 1990s and early 2000s, it took 19% of average monthly income to service a conforming mortgage on the average home purchased. By 2005 and 2006, it was absorbing 25% of monthly income. For first time buyers, it went from 29% of income to 37%. That just proved to be too much.Prices got so high that people who intended to actually live in the houses they purchased (as opposed to speculators) stopped buying. This caused the bubble to burst.Since then, house prices have fallen 10%-15%, while incomes have kept growing (albeit more slowly recently) and mortgage rates have come down 70 basis points from their highs. As a result, it now takes 19% of monthly income for the average home buyer, and 31% of monthly income for the first-time home buyer, to purchase a house. In other words, homes on average are back to being as affordable as during the best of times in the 1990s. Numerous households that had been priced out of the market can now afford to get in.The next question is: Even if home sales pick up, how can home prices stop falling with so many houses vacant and unsold? The flip but true answer: because they always do.In the past five major housing market corrections (and there were some big ones, such as in the early 1980s when home sales also fell by 50%-60% and prices fell 12%-15% in real terms), every time home sales bottomed, the pace of house-price declines halved within one or two months.The explanation is that by the time home sales stop declining, inventories of unsold homes have usually already started falling in absolute terms and begin to peak out in "months of supply" terms. That's the case right now: New home inventories peaked at 598,000 homes in July 2006, and stand at 482,000 homes as of the end of March. This inventory is equivalent to 11 months of supply, a 25-year high -- but it is similar to 1974, 1982 and 1991 levels, which saw a subsequent slowing in home-price declines within the next six months.Inventories are declining because construction activity has been falling for such a long time that home completions are now just about undershooting new home sales. In a few months, completions of new homes for sale could be undershooting new home sales by 50,000-100,000 annually.Inventories will drop even faster to 400,000 -- or seven months of supply -- by the end of 2008. This shift in inventories will have a significant impact on prices, although house prices won't stop falling entirely until inventories reach five months of supply sometime in 2009. A five-month supply has historically signaled tightness in the housing market.Many pundits claim that house prices need to fall another 30% to bring them back in line with where they've been historically. This is usually based on an analysis of house prices adjusted for inflation: Real house prices are 30% above their 40-year, inflation-adjusted average, so they must fall 30%. This simplistic analysis is appealing on the surface, but is flawed for a variety of reasons.Most importantly, it neglects the fact that a great majority of Americans buy their houses with mortgages. And if one buys a house with a mortgage, the most important factor in deciding what to pay for the house is how much of one's income is required to be able to make the mortgage payments on the house. Today the rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is 5.7%. Back in 1981, the rate hit 18.5%. Comparing today's house prices to the 1970s or 1980s, when mortgage rates were stratospheric, is misguided and misleading.This is all good news for the broader economy. The housing bust has been subtracting a full percentage point from GDP for almost two years now, which is very large for a sector that represents less than 5% of economic activity.When the rate of house-price declines halves, there will be a wholesale shift in markets' perceptions. All of a sudden, the expected value of the collateral (i.e. houses) for much of the lending that went on for the past decade will change. Right now, when valuing the collateral, market participants including banks are extrapolating the current pace of house price declines for another two to three years; this has a significant impact on the amount of delinquencies, foreclosures and credit losses that lenders are expected to face.More home sales and smaller price declines means fewer homeowners will be underwater on their mortgages. They will thus have less incentive to walk away and opt for foreclosure.A milder house-price decline scenario could lead to increases in the market value of a lot of the securitized mortgages that have been responsible for $300 billion of write-downs in the past year. Even if write-backs do not occur, stabilizing collateral values will have a huge impact on the markets' perception of risk related to housing, the financial system, and the economy.We are of course experiencing a serious housing bust, with serious economic consequences that are still unfolding. The odds are that the reverberations will lead to sub-trend growth for a couple of years. Nonetheless, housing led us into this credit crisis and this recession. It is likely to lead us out. And that process is underway, right now.Mr. Moulle-Berteaux is managing partner of Traxis Partners LP, a hedge fund firm based in New York.
 

Miami Real Estate

Apr. 30, 2008
Florida Real Estate Inventory: A 5-year Condo Glut
A great article in Builder highlights Jack McCabe’s research report which calculates that the Florida condo market has a whopping 5 years worth of inventory with cranes still hovering over new developments.
Talk about a real estate buyer's market in Florida - from now until whenever. Worried about missing the bottom? If you are in Florida you will only miss the bottom if you die - otherwise, don't worry about finding when the bottom of real estate market in Florida is.
From the article on the massive inventory of condo’s in the Florida market:
"According to the Florida Association of Realtors and market expert Jack McCabe of McCabe Research and Consulting (www.mccaberesearch.com), there is currently a five-year supply of condo and townhouse units on the market in Dade County, which represents an inventory of more than 24,000 units. Not surprisingly, prices have dropped accordingly. Median sales prices for existing condo units in Ft. Lauderdale, Miami, and West Palm Beach/Boca Raton fell 10 percent from 2006 to 2007 and now range between $171,000 and $263,500.
"Unfortunately for the housing market, McCabe believes the situation will only get worse in 2008 and 2009. More than 19,000 condos are scheduled for completion in Miami-Dade County this year, with 6,400 additional units expected in 2009. “There are over 15,000 more condos under construction in Miami-Dade right now than were built and absorbed in 1995-2004,” says McCabe, who estimates absorptions during that time at 1,000 units to 2,000 units per year."
Source: By Blown Mortgage
 

Brickell Miami Condos - BankUnited blacklists 191 condo projects

Feb. 14, 2008
Tagged with: miami real estate
BankUnited blacklists 191 condo projects
South Florida Business Journal - by
Brian Bandell and Oscar Pedro Musibay

Interested buyers looking for mortgages to buy units in Miami's Opera Tower, Everglades on the Bay or Four Ambassadors shouldn't bother approaching
BankUnited. The Miami-based bank has included them on a list of 191 condo projects it won't write loans for.
The Business Journal obtained a list of "non-permissible" projects used internally at BankUnited (NASDAQ: BKUNA) and updated as of Jan. 14. Most of the forbidden properties were in Miami and were added at the last update. It wasn't clear who at the bank wrote the list, but the author stated a reason for almost every project declared off-limits.
Declining market value was the biggest culprit, followed by high investor concentration -- as much as 70 percent in one case. BankUnited also cited numerous foreclosures, delinquent homeowners association dues, structural-based litigation and the bank's existing exposure in the buildings.
BankUnited spokeswoman Melissa Gracey said the list is based a similar guidelines used by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
"We look at it more from our level of risk, and we are extremely conservative on our lending guidelines," she said. "We scaled back on condo lending a few years ago. We don't have a lot of exposure in the condo market."
BankUnited had a $118 million provision for loan loses as of Dec. 31. Its non-accrual loans increased to $452.6 million as of Jan. 31, up 17.7 percent from $384.4 million a month before.
The bank plans to shrink its balance sheet, and it's starting by restricting loans to condo buyers, said Jefferson Harralson, a bank securities analyst with Atlanta-based Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. Banks worry that condo values could drop below the purchase price and buyers could walk away from the loan.
"The banks don't like to lend to the end buyers of a project they feel might not have significant occupancy," Harralson said. "Mainly, there is a fear that homeowners association dues would be very high on the few people who would be in there."
Many banks have lists of forbidden condo projects, but Harralson said he has never heard of one so long.
Even buyers with good credit can't get a mortgage for a condo that has an uncertain value, said Lewis Goodkin, president of Miami-based Goodkin Research. He said because sales have been so slow and 35 percent to 40 percent of buyers could pull out of contracts in some buildings, no one knows the real value of these condos. And, if lenders don't know the value, he said, they can't set a loan-to-value ratio with any certainty.

"The banks want to see what prices they are selling at," Goodkin said. "They want to see sales that adjust prices downward. Once they establish the price per square foot, then they'll start lending again at 80 percent of the value."
Jack McCabe, CEO of Deerfield Beach-based McCabe Research and Consulting, said that the bank list means all presales are out the window. Buyers who had been pre-approved for mortgages may not be able to get them in the current lending market.
The BankUnited list and those prepared by other banks will also prompt lenders to call into question the integrity of the construction loans made to developers. Construction loans were made based on presales of at least 60 percent. Such a list could also give buying groups a stronger hand because both lenders and developers will know their are no more choices left to get rid of inventory.
Seth Gordon, a spokesman for Cabi Developers, which is building Everglades on the Bay, said the developer isn't worried about being on the list because its buyers will get their mortgages from other banks.
BankUnited's non-permissible condo list:
50 Biscayne in Miami
600 Biscayne in Miami
1650 Biscayne in Miami
900 Biscayne Bay in Miami
500 Brickell in Miami
1390 Brickell Key in Miami
1001 Center in Miami
1600 Club in Miami
Allure in Las Vegas
Altas de Miami in Miami
Asia in Miami
Atlantis Condo in Miami
Avenue in Miami
Axis on Brickell in Miami
Bay Lofts in Miami
Bayshore Place in Miami
Beacon in Miami
Belle Plaza Efficiency in Miami
Biscayne Tower in Miami
Blue in Miami
Boulevard Condos in Miami
Brickell Bay Club in Miami
Brickell Bay Tower in Miami
Brickell Biscayne in Miami
Brickell City Center in Miami
Brickell Commons in Miami
Brickell East in Miami
Brickell Forest in Miami
Brickell Harbour in Miami
Brickell Key in Miami
Brickell Key I in Miami
Brickell Mar in Miami
Brickell on the River in Miami
Brickell Park in Miami
Brickell Place in Miami
Brickell Station in Miami
Brickell Tennis Club in Miami
Brickell Townhouse in Miami
Brickell View in Miami
Brickell Vista in Miami
Bristol Tower in Miami
Capital at Brickell in Miami
Captiva-F in Miami
Carboneil in Miami
Carriage Hills in Hollywood
Cima Condo in Miami
Cite in Miami
City 24 in Miami
Club at Brickell in Miami
Commodore Bay in Miami
Coral Station in Brickell in Miami
Costa Bella in Miami
Courts Brickell Key in Miami
Courvosier Courts in Miami
Cynergi in Miami
Delray Estate Condominium in Delray Beach
District in Green Valley in Las Vegas
Downtown Lofts 4 in Miami
Elliot House in Miami
Emerald at Brickell in Miami
Empire Towers in Miami
Epic-Dupont in Miami
Espirito Santo Plaza in Miami
Everglades on the Bay in Miami
Filling Station Lofts in Miami
Flagler First Condo in Miami
Fortune House in Miami
Four Ambassadors 1 in Miami
Four Ambassadors 2 in Miami
Four Ambassadors 3 in Miami
Four Ambassadors $ in Miami
Four Seasons Hotel & Tower in Miami
Golden Bay Club in Miami
Houses of Brickell in Miami
Ice in Miami
Ice 2 in Miami
Icon in Miami
Imperial in Miami
Infinity at Brickell in Miami
IOS on the Bay in Miami
Ivy in Miami
Jade Residences at Brickell in Miami
Kenland Bend south in Miami
Lake Beach Condo in Miami
Lakewood Village in Miami
Latitude on the River in Miami
Loft in Miami
Loft II in Miami
Lofts on Brickell 1 in Miami
Lofts on Brickell 2 in Miami
Los Suenos De Brickell in Miami
Lyghte Miami Condos in Miami
Lynx in Miami
Manhattan Condos in Las Vegas
Marina Blue in Miami
Mark in Miami
Marquis Miami in Miami
Mary Brickell Village in Miami
Mayfield in Miami
Meridan at Hughes Center Condo in Las Vegas
Met 1 in Miami
Met 2 in Miami
Met 3 in Miami
Metropolitan in Miami
Midtown Miami in Miami
Mint at Riverfront in Miami
Mirage Condominium in Las Vegas
Neo River Lofts in Miami
Neo Vertica in Miami
Newport Lofts in Las Vegas
New Wave in Miami
Nu River Landings in Fort Lauderdale
Oasis on the Bay in Miami
One Broadway in Miami
One Miami in Miami
One Miami West in Miami
One Plaza in Miami
One Queensridge Place in Las Vegas
One Riverview Square in Miami
One Tequesta Point in Miami
Onyz 2 in Miami
Opera Tower in Miami
Overtown Miami in Miami
Palace in Miami
Panorama Towers in Las Vegas
Paramount on the Bay in Miami
Paramount Park in Miami
Parc Lofts in Miami
Park Avenue Condo in Las Vegas
Park Place in Miami
Platinum in Miami
Plaza on Brickell in Miami
Point at Brickell in Miami
Point View in Miami
Pompeii in Miami
Premiere Towers in Miami
Provincial Gardens
Pyramids of Key Biscayne
Q Club Condo Hotel in Fort Lauderdale
Quantum on the Bay in Miami
Regency Towers in Las Vegas
River Breeze in Miami
River House Lofts in Miami
River Oaks in Miami
Riverfront in Miami
Riverfront Wind in Miami
Sail in Miami
Sail Boat Cay in Miami
Samari Lake East in Miami
Seacoast Towers in Miami
SIAN Ocean Residence Condo in Hollywood
Sky Las Vegas in Las Vegas
Skyline Mary Brickell Village in Miami
Skyline on Brickell in Miami
SMA in Miami
Soeil Miami in Miami
Soho Lofts in Las Vegas
Solaris Brickell Bay in Miami
South Miami Ave Condo in Miami
Summit Brickell in Miami
Star Lofts in Miami
Sunset Harbour
Ten Museum Park in Miami
The Carriage House
The Jade Condominium
The Mark on Brickell Bay
The Palace Condominium
The Resort at Singer Island in Riviera Beach
The Village of Kings Creek
Three Tequesta Point in Miami
Turnberry Place in Las Vegas
Turnberry Towers in Las Vegas
Two Tequesta Point in Miami
Uptown Lofts in Miami
Vanderbilt Gulfside
Venetian Bay Villages Condo in Kissimmee
Villa Brickell in Miami
Villa Magna in Miami
Villa Regina in Miami
Village at Hawk's Cay
Villagio Condo in Port Orange in Port Orange
Vue at Brickell in Miami
Wind by Neo in Miami
Yorker in Miami

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Related Group in Miami sues realty firms

Jan. 31, 2008
Tagged with: miami real estate

Related Group sues realty firms

Condo builder Related Group has filed at least 15 lawsuits against realty companies to recoup more than $460,000 in commissions on deals where buyers defaulted.
 
With numerous condo buyers walking away from sales contracts, developer Related Group has begun suing real estate brokerages to get back commissions on those busted deals. Related has filed at least 15 lawsuits in Miami-Dade Circuit Court since last month to recover more than $460,000 in commissions on at least 19 sales contracts in the 389-unit Hallandale Beach Club Tower III property at 1800 Ocean Dr.

In suing, Related risks alienating realty firms that bring prospective buyers to its developments, some brokers said. ''If somebody is suing you, do you do business with them?'' asked Edward Roberts, owner of Beachfront Realty in Miami Beach, which is being sued for the return of about $53,000 in commissions. ``We're furious that they are doing this. We have made them billions of dollars in the last five or six years.''

Related has sued the brokerages for breach of contract, demanding they return commissions -- typically 3 percent of the purchase price -- because buyers failed to close on contracts. The lawsuits mark the latest legal spats in the fallout from the overheated real estate market. Up until now, most of the litigation has been spawned by dozens of buyers trying to escape contracts with their deposits.

Matthew Allen, a Related vice president, referred inquiries to a company attorney who couldn't be reached. Calls to the law firm representing Related in the suits weren't returned.

It's Related's practice to pay commissions after buyers put down deposits, rather than when sales close. By law, the commission is paid to the broker, who then pays the agent. An agent's share of the commission can range from 70 percent to 90 percent.

Broker registration agreements Related filed with the lawsuits state that a commission is ''to be earned only upon the close of title for the unit.'' But Miami lawyer Alex Kurkin, who represents Beachfront Realty, said there is nothing in the agreement that says a commission must be refunded if the buyer fails to close.

WHAT ABOUT DEPOSITS?

''Buyers put up 20 percent deposits. Where did that money go?'' said Roderick Coleman, a Boca Raton lawyer representing three brokerages being sued by Related. The developer ``didn't give it back to the buyer. It shows Related must have some business difficulties if they are trying to get back commissions on deposits they have kept.''

Coleman said it's customary in the real estate business not to refund commissions even if a closing doesn't happen.

''They are now shooting themselves in the foot by telling brokers and Realtors you can longer trust us to do business with'' you, Coleman added.

Miami's BAP Realty, which Related is suing for the return of a $16,200 commission, responded by filing a claim against the sales agent on the deal in an attempt to recoup most of the money Related wants, said Alfred Andreu, a lawyer for the brokerage.

Jami Agins, a broker for Re/Max Ultra Realty Group in Aventura, which is being sued for a $23,250 commission, said she can't bar agents from bringing buyers to Related's properties. But she said she's considering having any commissions held in escrow until closing to ensure she's not sued again.

`BEST INTEREST?'

``I question if [the lawsuit is] in the best interest of the developer, because if they're trying to induce agents to sell their product by advancing the money [before closing] and the broker won't advance the money, where is the inducement?''

Kurkin said Related deserves the blame for the busted sales because they encouraged buyers to become real estate speculators and flip units at higher prices.

''They created this feeding frenzy,'' Kurkin said.

Posted on Thu, Jan. 31, 2008
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BY PATRICK DANNER

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Great Time to Buy Florida - Miami Condos

Jan. 29, 2008
Tagged with: miami real estate
FAR promotes why it's a ‘Great Time to Buy Florida'

Miami Condos Website

ORLANDO, Fla. - Jan. 28, 2008 - To help spread the word that now is the time to buy Florida real estate, the Florida Association of Realtors (FAR) last week released a series of five articles focusing on the advantages the state's residential real estate market currently offers to buyers. The releases were distributed to media outlets throughout the Sunshine State, along with national and international media as well.

What are some of the reasons why now is the time to buy? Florida Realtors know that large inventories offer buyers options; realistic pricing translates into bargains for buyers; low mortgage rates reduce loan payments; homeownership builds wealth and trumps renting in the current market; and the Sunshine State offers an appealing lifestyle plus great value.

Housing industry economists note that lower sales prices, seller incentives and affordable mortgage rates make early 2008 a buyer's market. Research, including studies from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) shows that homeownership is an excellent financial investment for most renters. In addition, an owned house is the single largest investment that many families ever make. As such, it is an asset that can help provide financial security. Studies show that:

· Home equity still accounts for the largest single source of household wealth, both for the individual homeowner and for homeowners as a group, despite the increase in the percent of households holding stock in recent years.
· Housing has historically provided both a reliable and a profitable return to homeowners.

· Most homebuyers use a mortgage combined with a downpayment of 20 percent or less to finance their purchase: It is this leveraging of borrowed funds that gives housing a return far in excess of the stock market's appreciation.

· The financial return on housing also includes unique tax benefits, which apply only to housing.

In the latest housing outlook from NAR, analysts predict that the housing downturn may have hit bottom and is starting to turn around. Existing-home sales should hold fairly steady over the next few months, then rise later in the year and continue to improve in 2009, according to NAR. "A meaningful recovery in existing-home sales could occur as early as this spring, or it may be further delayed toward late 2008," says NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. To put last year's housing market in perspective, Yun points out that 2007 was the fifth highest year on record for existing-home sales.
So, what can you do, to help tell Florida's story and continue to give people the facts about why it's a great time to buy Florida? Check out FAR's new "Great Time To Buy" Florida Web site at: http://buynow.floridarealtors.org. You can mine the site for content for marketing campaigns, media releases, blogs, speeches and e-mail correspondence. The site is a reservoir for Florida Realtors that can be tapped daily for success strategies and the latest good news about our state's real estate market.

Miami Condos a Bargain?

Jan. 29, 2008
Tagged with: miami real estate

Posted on Thu, Jan. 24, 2008
Miami developer bets on condos' future
BY MATTHEW HAGGMAN
 
The condominium developer who led South Florida's high-rise building boom is making a $1 billion bet that the region's real estate market is a bargain.

Amid a slumping condo market, developer Jorge Perez is joining with a Wall Street firm to create an investor fund that will buy troubled mortgages and distressed property that ranges from raw land to finished condominium units in the southeastern United States. He will look at properties built by other developers as well as by his own Miami-based Related Group.

For months, investors have been pooling money and waiting to pounce on bargains prompted by overdevelopment, a tight credit market and overzealous investing in housing. This year is expected to be the time when opportunities arise, in part, because so many condo projects will start closings -- and many jittery buyers are expected to walk away rather than close.

With $1 billion, Perez and his investors will rank among the most well-capitalized funds trolling for deals in the region, said real estate analyst Lew Goodkin, who is advising bargain hunters, though not Perez.
The moves of Perez, the biggest high-rise condo builder in Florida and among the biggest in the country, are closely watched in the industry because he has demonstrated a knack for spotting trends and quickly taking advantage of them. While his projects span from Argentina to Atlanta, he has built -- or is building -- 12 towers in Miami's downtown and Brickell areas and several in Broward County, including Trump Hollywood in Hollywood and ICON Las Olas in Fort Lauderdale.

He said his decision to launch a vulture fund -- or an ''opportunity fund'' as he calls it -- should be interpreted as a sign of confidence in South Florida's condo market, not a reason for worry.
''I strongly believe that Miami real estate is undervalued,'' Perez said. ``Three years from now, people will look back and be amazed. Nevertheless, right now there are some people stuck in the middle of a loan who don't have any cash and need to get rid of some inventory.

''We are going to try and take advantage of that situation,'' Perez said.
He said the money is in place and contract details for the investor fund are being finalized this week. He declined to name his partner until the deal closes.

Perez, chairman and CEO of privately held Related Group, said his plan is premised on the long-term growth and success of the region's real estate market: He's buying when the market dips, using his financial strength to carry him through the downturn, and then riding it back up.
The plan, he said, is to focus primarily on properties in the Southeast, from Atlanta and Jacksonville to Miami, though he said there may be opportunities elsewhere in the country. Big chunks of unsold condos will be targeted.

Perez said the investor group intends to hold units for two to five years at a loss and then sell at a profit when, he bets, the market will have improved.
That means Perez would become a much bigger renter of apartments across the region, at least in the short-term. Perez, who was an apartment developer before building luxury condo units, said his company currently leases and manages 7,000 rental units and could handle renting many more.
The builder said the fund could also buy raw land or mortgages. ''Anything we think has value,'' he said.
Creation of the fund also positions Perez with a ready source of capital to be used in purchasing his own units, if he chooses to do so, Goodkin said.

A big challenge for many builders is what to do with excess property in the down market. Typically, builders want to avoid hasty or high-profile sell-offs that undercut previous buyers or give the appearance of a fire sale. A highly capitalized fund with a joint venture partner can be an inviting alternative.
In November, Lennar, the Miami-based home builder that's among the country's biggest, announced it was joint-venturing with Morgan Stanley to buy, develop and sell real estate. Its first deal: buying Lennar-owned properties valued at $1.3 billion for $525 million.

Perez said he has not decided to use the investor fund to buy units that his company built -- though he said he anticipates as many as 20 percent of his buyers may default on some of his projects. Perez has a host of large condo projects that will close in the next 12 months, including Brickell Avenue projects in Miami such as The Plaza and 500 Brickell.

The developer said he plans to rent unsold units in those projects himself, without the investor fund.
Still, ''[the fund] gives him a lot of flexibility in addressing inventory issues that he may have, as well as picking up distressed properties on the cheap,'' Goodkin said.

Since the downturn, Perez has responded by launching more than 10 projects in Latin America in an attempt to diversify geographically. He also has been careful about starting new projects in South Florida; he recently canceled the proposed Loft 4 condo high-rise in downtown Miami and is still deciding whether to build another downtown project, Loft 3.

Miami condos        Brickell key

 

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