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Bernards San Ramon Valley Real Estate Blog

Danville, California

Observations and information of interest to home buyers and sellers in San Ramon, Danville and surrounding areas in Contra Costa's San Ramon Valley. Real estate market updates, happening's and reviews of local area restaurants.

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Bernards San Ramon Valley Real Estate Blog

February 2009

The Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan

Feb. 18, 2009
Categorized in: General Observations

President Obama today unveiled the Homeowner Affordability and Stability Plan, which is expected tp provide assistance to as many as 9 million homeowners, with a focus on significantly reducing the volume of foreclosures that is dragging down real estate values virtualy everywhere.

Their are three main parts to the Plan, and it only applies to primary residences. Also note that the loans that are referred to cannot exceed Freddie Mac/Fannie Mae conforming loan limits. This could be a problem in many parts of California, in particular. 

The first part of the Plan addresses homeowners who still have equity in their homes, but because of reduced values, don't have sufficient equity (20 percent) needed to refinance.  Under the new proposals, homeowners who have conforming loans owned or guaranteed by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae will be allowed to refinance their homes, even if they do not have 20 percent equity left in the house. The U.S. Treasury Dept. estimates that this may help up to 5 million homeowners.

The second part of the Plan targets homeowners who are “upside down” on their mortgages, including those who are current with their mortgages. At a cost of $75 billion, their mortgages will be reduced to monthly payments that do not exceed a 38 percent debt-to-income ratio, with the costs of doing so borne by the lender. The government and lender then would split the costs of further reducing the monthly payments until they were at a 31 percent debt-to income ratio. It is unclear how this will be enforced or if it will be voluntary on the part of lenders/servicers but they will receive up to $1,500 for every eligible modification meeting the initiative’s guidelines that are yet to be published, but scheduled to be released by March 4. The Administration will also work with federal agencies and banking regulators to develop loan modification guidelines that can be implemented across the entire mortgage market. All financial institutions receiving Financial Stability Plan assistance will be required to implement these guidelines. The government estimates that this will benefit up to 4 million homeowners.

The final part of the Plan is designed to support low mortgage rates by the Treasury doubling its investment in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to $200 billion in each. It will also continue to purchase Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities with the aim of promoting stability and liquidity in the marketplace.  The Obama Administration will also work closely with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to support state housing finance agencies, such as CalHFA

Most of these provisions should be able to be implemented fairly quickly although there are still many details to be clarified and questions that will be asked and answered. Regardless of that, this is obviously a major step in the right direction towards stemming the rising tide of foreclosures across the nation.
 

San Ramon Valley Real Estate - Should You Buy, Sell Or Hold?

Feb. 6, 2009

 Gloom, doom and despondency, are all you seem to hear about on TV and radio or read about in the press regarding the real estate market. Yet is all the news really so bad? Sure, the economy is in a bad way but at least the powers that be seem to recognize that fact and they are working to correct it. As far as the real estate market goes, we always have to remember that real estate is local and what is happening to the market in Cleveland is probably very different from what is happening to the market in Danville or San Ramon.

I thought it would be interesting to compare some statistics about our local market in the boom year of 2005 compared with today. As the common belief is that, even here, the market has tanked, I was really not prepared for what I found.
It’s Not As Bad As I Thought!
In order to get as representative a picture as possible, I looked at sales of all types of homes in Alamo, Danville and San Ramon in January 2005 compared to January 2009. The results are shown below.
 
  No. of Sales Median Sales Price Median Days on Market
January 08 96   $777,000 8
January 09 46   $720,000 70
 
Transaction volume is down by almost 50% which will probably surprise nobody. People are very hesitant to sell their homes when they are losing value and this change would be even more dramatic if it wasn’t for the considerable number of bank owned foreclosures and short sales, but look at the other two columns. The median sale price has fallen by just over 7% in 4 years. I would wager that many people, if asked for an opinion, would tell you that they thought home prices had fallen by that much last year alone!
What is also interesting is the time on the market. 8 days on market in 2005 is indicative of a wild sellers market and we all know what happened to prices shortly after that. 70 days on market is more than we are accustomed to seeing in our area but this is not anywhere near some of the figures we see in other parts of the country.
What Happens Next?
That’s the $64,000 question of course. Will this year be better than last year or will it be worse? Personally, I am encouraged by the fact that the new Administration appear to be focused on fixing the economy and hopefully they realize that housing is what drives the economy in the USA. Fix housing first and everything else will fall into place.
A Good Time To Buy?
Do you need a larger home than your present one? If so, now could be a great time for you to buy. Get your own home sold first of course, because then you know exactly how much you can afford to spend on your next one. I know you won’t get anything like the price you may have got a few years ago but those days are gone. The good news is that the home you will be buying will cost you a lot less than it would have a few years ago. Focus on the difference. You are really benefitting from the current market. And don’t discount today’s great interest rates and the fact that your property taxes will be less.
Are You Down-Sizing?
If you are moving to a smaller home or moving out of the area, it could also make sense for you to move now. You probably have a reasonable amount of equity in your home and you want to get on with your life. If you delay your move, there is a real possibility that your home could be worth less in a few months time. At best, it will keep its current value for a year or two. Home values are not very likely to increase significantly any time soon.
Good News For First-Time Home Buyers
Now more than ever, more first-time buyers can legitimately qualify to buy a home than for many years. Condominiums can be found under $200,000 in the San Ramon Valley and even detached single family homes are available at reasonable prices. The availability of FHA financing means that you can buy a home with 3.5% down and a 30 year fixed rate mortgage. And interest rates are still low. Also note that the government will give you a $7,500 tax credit if you are a first-time buyer and although this is effectively an interest free loan, repayable over 15 years, there is talk of making this non-reclaimable. There will be more information on this available shortly so send me an email if you want the latest updates on this. Some restrictions apply.
The Broader Picture
In the past, people often moved because they wanted to, rather than because they needed to. I am pretty sure that those days are over. People are realizing that Bigger does not necessarily mean Better any more. A smaller home can meet many of our needs and we should choose the right-sized home rather than the biggest we can buy. Times are changing and I would never advise anybody to over-stretch themselves but if the time is right for you, you will find a greater selection of homes for sale at affordable prices than at any time in the last 10 years.
 

Restaurant Review- Kopitiam Restaurant, Lafayette

Feb. 6, 2009
Categorized in: Restaurant Reviews

 

Equally, even if you noticed it, you could be forgiven for glancing at the menu and thinking “Oh yes, another Chinese restaurant of some kind” before moving on. And yet you would be so wrong!
Kopitiam is not a Chinese restaurant. Their web site says that that Kopitiam is a “traditional breakfast and coffee shop found in Singapore and Malaysia” yet this Kopitiam seems nothing like a coffee shop. Certainly it does open for breakfast and also for lunch and dinner and when Sylvia and I visited on a recent Friday evening it was apparent that Kopitiam has gained a dinner-time following from Lafayette residents. It was by no means full but it was certainly popular.
Although fairly small, this restaurant (and it really is a restaurant, not a coffee shop) is very tastefully decorated and well laid-out. The black and white checkerboard tile floor contrasts nicely with the wood paneled walls and the white marble topped tables are a nice additional touch and a central wooden half-wall provides some separation between the tables.
Not having a clue about Singaporean cuisine, much on the menu was unfamiliar to us although everything is very well described.
The service here is first-class. This is a friendly family-run restaurant where the owners appear to enjoy what they are doing. Everything tasted like it was cooked to order, yet our food arrived quickly and we were made to feel that we could stay as long as we wanted.
For a starter we shared a dish of Vegetarian Popiah, deep-fried vegetable spring rolls served with a special sauce. Now I have had a lot of spring rolls but these were possibly the lightest, freshest I have ever tasted. The portion size comprised five small spring rolls - which would have been more than enough for one person. The sauce reminded me of a Thai sweet and sour dipping sauce.
As regular readers know, we are both curry enthusiasts and Sylvia ordered the Nanyang Kari Kay for a main course. This is described on the menu as “Chef Thian’s creation of mouth-watering Nanyang Curry Chicken with the right hint of spiciness”. This superb preparation is very different from an Indian curry and is really closer to a Thai curry yet the flavors were quite different. Again the freshness of the ingredients were noteworthy and Syvia was impressed when asked if she would like Jasmine rice or brown rice as an accompaniment (she chose brown rice of course).
I had the Kopitiam Mee Goreng for my entrée. This is Chef Thian’s interpretation of a Chinese egg noodle based dish and uses a wide variety of ingredients including shrimps, beancurd, tomato, onion, garlic, a variety of vegetables and of course egg noodles, which were thicker than those found in Chinese restaurants. This was absolutely as good as I had hoped for and the shrimp were full of flavor and fresh taste.
Neither of us had a dessert and although there were some desserts, the choice was sparse. Not that we felt any desire for more. The portion sizes were fine and we were well satisfied.
I should point out that the menu has some very interesting sounded dishes that I would certainly like to try at a future visit. Their signature dish is Kopitiam Organic Chicken Rice which I am told is phenomenal. They also have a big selection of small plates (mostly seafood based) and a wide range of vegetarian dishes.
Note that Kopitiam does not have a beer or wine license so if you want alcohol with your meal, you should take your own. Of course Trader Joe’s is next door. We took our own bottle of Chardonnay with us and were a little surprised to find that they had no wine glasses. Still it tasted fine out of Coca Cola mugs. I noticed other diners with beer that I imagine came from next door.
A final point I should make is that this place is such a bargain. Admittedly we took our own wine but even so… The total bill, including tax and tip came to just over $30. Now that’s what I call value! For more information visit their web site at www.kopitiamrestaurant.com

Kopitiam Restaurant, 3647 Mount Diablo Boulevard, Lafayette
 

It would be easy to walk by this tiny restaurant without even noticing it was there, located as it is, in a space right next door to Trader Joe’s in Lafayette.