I have watched many struggle through this latest recession and real estate downturn, and I am reminded of what has always followed downturns in the past…upturns. I have heard many real estate professionals over my 35 years in this industry; as a broker, office manager, investor and educator, pray to be granted "one more boom." So many agents and brokers in the industry fail to take advantage of the "good times" and only come to the realization that they missed those good times after they are over. So have faith, the market will turn. That is not in question. What is in question is will you be ready to take advantage of the next swing up, for yourself and for your clients?
What makes me so confident that the good times are coming? History. Historically, real estate downturns lead recessions and lag behind in recovery (Real Estate and Business Cycles by Fred E. FoldVary). I have personally experienced this a number of times as a real estate broker. One of the most memorable was in the early 1980's. We had a "Savings and Loan Crisis," The government created the RTC (Resolution Trust Corporation), and folded one Savings and Loan into another…taking over massive amounts of properties and managing (or mismanaging) and disposing of them.
The conventional wisdom at the time was that interest rates would never go below 10% again and that real estate was grossly overpriced and only fools would dare to buy. Most people now wish that they had purchased more real estate in the 1980s and held on to it through a few up turns since then. While we may not be at the bottom of the market yet, we are more likely than not, close to the bottom…taking into account geographic differences, in some areas, we may be at the bottom. Now is the time for many to buy…low prices, motivated (desperate) sellers, historically low long term interest rates, and for first time homebuyers, an $8,000 bonus from "Uncle Sam."
Not convinced? Let's examine the record. Tracking of business cycles began in the 1800s and there have been close to 30 measured cycles since the measuring and recording began. As sure as I have lived through downturns in the economy, I expect an upturn. I can't tell you when, but I am confident it will happen. Will you be ready for it?
Success requires planning. Old news. "Not having a plan is planning to fail." Do you have a business plan for your real estate business? Does it contain the essential elements such as a Sales Plan, a Technology Plan, a Marketing Plan, a Website Plan and a Budget? If not, your plan for success is, not uncommon unfortunately in this business, HOPE.
HOPE is not a conscious choice, but absent real planning, it is the default choice…the choice you made by not planning. For many real estate professionals, they:
HOPE they will succeed
HOPE they'll get a listing
HOPE the buyer will make an offer
HOPE their sales skills will improve
HOPE their website is visited and generates leads
HOPE they close enough sales to pay the bills this month
While HOPE has its place, it is too passive a way to approach an aggressive, competitive business. Deliberate planning, discipline and commitment are essential elements for anyone who wants more out of a real estate career than a few sales a year…and yet many whom you meet in the business cannot articulate anything close to a systematic approach to selling.
Real estate is a sales business, and sales is all about numbers, ratios, and percentages. What systems and methods do you have in place that will allow you to improve your efforts and your results, week after week, month after month, year after year?
Here are a few HOPEFULLY helpful hints:
1. Create a business plan that is specific…specificity is the key to execution. Begin with your annual goals and break it down into the daily tasks required to get you to where you want to be at the end of the year.
2. Create a Sales Plan - How many contacts are required for each closing? If you are unaware of this personal statistic, you should begin to determine just what it is for you, and then, what you can do to improve on it. "Contacts Create Contracts," so set about creating a plan that will maximize the number of contacts and the number of communications with each.
3. Create a Technology Plan that is consistent with your Business Plan. Be sure to establish a budget and a timeline for the integration of the technology into your daily practice.
4. Create a comprehensive, integrated Marketing Plan that includes conventional marketing and is tied to your internet marketing.
5. Create a Website Plan that takes advantage of the marketing power of your listings. A listing is a marketing asset and can be used to bring you buyers as well as other listings.
6. Create Budgets - for your business in general and for each listing.
7. Be Found. Create profiles on social networking sites such as Facebook and MySpace. Use the power of the Internet to connect and reconnect you with people…"Contacts Create Contracts."
8. Take the new NAR Web 2.0 & Social Media Course for REALTORS® online course and begin the transition to a consumer population of Gen X and Gen Y buyers and sellers.
9. Differentiate yourself from the competition. Your choice is "Be Different or Charge Less."
10. Become an e-PRO® and join a resource and referral network 40,000 strong.
11. Take advantage of NAR's Program Right Tools/Right Now. Amazing tools and values offered at discounts and in many cases, for free. Check it out.
I HOPE this has been helpful.
Saul
Saul Klein ePRO/GRI/CFP



















Comments
Comment by: Barbara Foy e-PRO
- Jul 29, 2009 8:46:07 AMPrinted-posted on wall in front of me-read daily-especially in winter so I can be ready for the spring push!!!
Thank you!!!!!!!
Comment by: Doris Barnett-e-PRO Trainer
- Jul 29, 2009 12:11:33 PMOne of the best reasons to become an e-PRO or even look at the class is the fact that it is presented with a real estate perspective and is technically sound. I have had many people tell me that it explains the how to do real estate for a new technically savvy REALTOR's standpoint and explains a lot about the technology for an experienced "old Pro" REALTOR who understands the business.
I think "Essential Systems" should be the title of the next book! Thanks again Saul so many have benefited from you and your friends experiences and the tools you have given us.
Comment by: Woodrow J. Jones
- Jul 30, 2009 3:37:44 AMReally good information ! Thanks a lot for this useful post !Good post!
Comment by: Shirley Dabringhaus
- Jul 30, 2009 12:41:42 PMI, too, have seen the downs of previous Real Estate market years. Over 20 years in the business, but this downturn will be remembered as the worst because of the multiple greed factors involved. Also, one has to remember, we are in a post 9-11 global economy. "Big Brother" is getting bigger, and that will make the buyer less likely to take on multiple property ownerships. Mr. Saul is correct about the HOPE factor. But Realtors need to replace HOPE with EDUCATION. In fact, if the agent/broker is to remain an important factor in the RE market, NAR needs to enhance its RE licensing requirements. These sales persons need to show a marked level of education before qualifying for the licensing course in the first place. Through education, we will be able to impress upon the customer that by using a Realtor, they are doing the right thing. We need to earn their trust again.
Comment by: J Percival Borja
- Aug 4, 2009 8:07:46 AMThe Nuggets of Wisdom that Mr Saul Klein possesses will always serve as our GPS to REal Estate Success. But HOPE is still in!
H - Harnessing
O - Optimal
P - Productive
E - Education
Kudos to Saul and his breed of men and women who are always there to give wise counsel whenever and wherever one needs them!
Comment by: Giorgio Britenc
- Aug 20, 2009 6:38:01 AMI agree with this post. I have experienced a very simmilar situation described here.
Thanks
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