Last week, I blogged about the direction of our market since
2002. It definitely shows a slowing market, but I thought it would be useful to break 2006 and 2007 into a month-by-month
chart.
The following charts were created with pretty simple criteria -- the number of detached homes listed each month and the
number of contracts written each month on detached homes. Obviously, this month hasn't been completed yet, but the trend
is pretty clear. With only 10 days to go, we're not likely to set any records.
Anyway, here goes. 2006 showed a fairly typical spring market, with a spike in both listings and sales. The summer and
fall markets didn't show the usual fall spike, but it wasn't horrible.
2007 has been atypical all year. It started out weak and flat-lined through the spring. It's the first time in years that
we just plain didn't have a spring market. Part of the problem was that we had so many overpriced houses on the market.
Houses that were priced well and attractively presented still sold for decent prices and in a reasonable amount of time.
However, as you can see, aside from a tiny spike in March, it's been downhill ever since. Look at the number of sales in
October of last year and then look at our numbers so far this year. It's not a pretty picture.
Unfortunately, I believe strongly that this market is media-driven. Everytime we hear someone say that housing prices are
going to drop further, it's a signal to buyers to wait. Talk about a self-fulfilling prophecy!
I have one other set of charts that we'll look at tomorrow. | 
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