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Live In Los Gatos

When is the Best Time to Buy or Sell a Home in Los Gatos?

Apr. 5, 2008
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market


Sold Sign - Mary Pope-HandyIs there a "best time" to buy or sell a home in Los Gatos, Saratoga, or San Jose?  That's a question I get a lot. The answer is not so clear as many people would like.

Often we have some seasonally predictable patterns. Let's look at them.

Winter: inventory tends to be very low in winter (from late November until somewhere between New Year's, the Superbowl, and Valentine's Day). Each year it's slightly different, but in that "dead of winter" (as much as we have it here in The Valley of Heart's Delight) is usually the time with the lowest number of sales, the best prices for buyers, the most "absorption" for sellers, the best interest rates, but the LEAST inventory to choose from. So you may get a good price as a buyer, but may not have much to choose from. Sellers may have the best odds of selling a home during this time because there are so few homes to choose from, and some buyers are anxious to close during the calendar year for tax or other reasons.

Spring: What's best for sellers? Most years (but not all) that "best window" is from February through April. On a good year, it may continue into May. Some years, that "best window" for sellers is just a couple of weeks in March. Other years, it moves around and could be earlier, later, longer or shorter. Or just not happen at all. For buyers, spring brings a new influx of inventory and often decent rates. As more buyers come on the market, interest rates tend to creep up most years (a supply and demand issue).

Calla Lily - photo by Mary Pope-HandySummer: Somewhere around June, though, the tide begins to turn and by mid to late summer, sales have slowed considerably and sometimes prices even drop by about August. It varies from year to year. This can be a great time for buyers - lots of inventory to choose from, Interest rates may not be their cheapest, though.

Fall: Many years, there is a second rally (besides the one that happens near March) with a mini flurry of activity between Labor Day and Halloween. That can often be an excellent time to sell or to buy (more inventory than August or November/December).

There are pros and cons to each time on the market for both buyers and sellers. Depending on your home, any time can work. Traditionally, spring is viewed as best for both because there is a good supply of inventory but it doesn't linger too long. So in some ways, spring is the most balanced market. Any time of year CAN work, though. So do not tie your buying decision soley to something like the school year, the interest rates, or the holidays. Call me if you'd like to discuss your individual situation.

Is Now a Good Time to Sell A Home in Los Gatos?
Is It A Good Time to Sell in Silicon Valley?

May. 26, 2007
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market
Tagged with: housing, market, real estate, timing

When is the best time to sell a home in Los Gatos, or Silicon Valley generally? 

Many people think it's spring, others summer.  But is there a best time?

The answer is: it depends. . . and it varies.

Usually there's a runup in real estate pricing from January to some point later in the year. Then it levels off. Sometimes it even declines a little. Sometimes not. Once in awhile, there's a second runup in the real estate market too. A couple of years ago, August saw a 2% increase in pricing (other years, we've seen a decrease in pricing then). It's actually hard to predict. But normally, things heat up in January, February, and March. That part is usually fairly predictable.

Some years, the "peak" of the pricing for the year is early (March, or close to it). Other years, it's later - sometimes as late as July.

Last year, the realty market began declining in March and that "correction" continued until September. Then home prices leveled off and skated along, pretty much holding value, until January. Then they took off like a rocket again in the higher priced homes of Silicon Valley. Not so for places on the east side, really.

Other years, we've seen the market stall out because of something like an earthquake (October 1989) or a terrorist attack (September 2001), These things cannot be predicted but they do impact the market.

Besides pricing, another consideration is the cost of money. That is, what are interest rates doing? Remember that you don't really "get" a loan, you "buy" one. You are purchasing a loan product.  It's a supply and demand issue. So when the demand is high, generally interest rates will be higher as compared to when the demand is low. Demand for loan products tends to be at a low point in the dead of winter.  Interest rates often start ratcheting up close to Valentine's Day (mid-February).

There are not a lot of easy answers. Selling your Silicon Valley house in the dead of winter can be very advantageous because interest rates are low, there's not much inventory, and the "absorption rate" (the rate at which inventory is "absorbed" by the market) is often better than it is in summer.

Another consideration is what you're planning to do once you sell your house or condo: cash out or buy another home. For move up buyers who are not picky but really want "a good deal", it may be best to sell first in spring or early summer and buy later, in late summer for instance, when the market may soften. For pickier buyers, it may be good to sell their property early in the year (or more in winter) and buy later (more in spring) because the rise in inventory will provide more choices - though usually at a steeper price.

No matter when you want to sell your home, there are some key things to keep in mind, including realistic, strategic pricing (overpricing is the number one reason why homes won't sell), good staging (knowing which improvements to make, decluttering, keeping the home clean), and good marketing (make sure it's on the web and in all the right places!) are all key. It is also very, very important to hire well. A poor agent can make or break your home sale from the start. A good agent will assist you - if you let him or her and follow the advice given - to maximize your place in the market.
Mary Pope-Handy's book, "Get The Best Deal When Selling Your Home In Silicon Valley"
A couple of years ago, I co-authored a book, "Get The Best Deal When Selling Your Home In Silicon Valley". The book covers a myriad of topics from how to choose your local agent to pricing and what to expect in escrow and how to do a move-up sale/purchase. The book is available at local public libraries (Los Gatos and San Jose), at Border's Books, at nearby Barnes and Noble, and via Amazon.com. Or you can ask me to view your home and talk about your plans or thoughts on selling and I'll bring you a copy when I visit. But in any event, I do suggest you read this book (no matter whom you hire to help you sell it) so that you go into the home selling process the wiser.

Your best timing depends on a number of things, but most of all, it depends on your particular circumstances. Beware the idea that there is "one right" month to go on the market. It just isn't so. In my practice, I have seen countless people try to time the market right, but fail to stage or price the home correctly - and so despite the timing issue, it doesn't sell. And conversely, I've seen others work hard to stage and price a home correctly and seen it sell under the most adverse of conditions.

Timing matters. But contrary to popular belief, timing isn't everything.  It's only one part of the puzzle.

If you do it right, you can be successful at selling your Los Gatos home at any time in the year.