Los Gatos, California
Los Gatos real estate, neighborhoods, condos, houses, homes, market trends, history, events, lifestyle, parks, events, businesses, home, Mary Pope-Handy
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May. 3, 2009
Sometimes I get calls from people wanting to get a "steal of a deal" on higher priced Silicon Valley real estate by purchasing short sales and bank owned properties in areas with great public schools like Cupertino, Saratoga, Monte Sereno, Los Gatos, and Almaden Valley.
Unfortunately for bargain hunting home buyers who are seeking premium school districts in Santa Clara County, there just aren't that many of them.
It's very easy to find distressed properties for sale in less expensive areas. In fact, for the first quarter of 2009, 95% of all sales in the Alum Rock area of San Jose, which is one of the poorest areas of Silicon Valley, were either short sales or bank owned properties.
It's a different story in most of the expensive west valley markets, though. We see far fewer of these in places like Palo Alto or Los Altos (or Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and Saratoga). There's a very direct correlation between the best public schools, low crime, higher income, and higher education levels of homeowners with lower numbers of foreclosed homes.
Here are the numbers of available homes for sale, which I've culled from our MLS, without further elaboration:
| MLS Area - info as of 5/3/09 |
Type |
Active Listings |
Short Sales |
Bank Owned |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 16 (Los Gatos/Monte Sereno) |
SFH |
200 |
11 |
4 |
| |
Condo/TH |
52 |
5 |
1 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 17 (Saratoga) |
SFH |
172 |
10 |
2 |
| |
Condo/TH |
20 |
1 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 14 (Cambrian Park) |
SFH |
129 |
28 |
11 |
| |
Condo/TH |
38 |
12 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 13 (Almaden Valley) |
SFH |
124 |
6 |
3 |
| |
Condo/TH |
19 |
2 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 18 (Cupertino) |
SFH |
162 |
2 |
1 |
| |
Condo/TH |
62 |
5 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| 15 (Campbell) |
SFH |
155 |
26 |
11 |
| |
Condo/TH |
70 |
17 |
5 |
So, bargain hunters, what CAN you do to maximize your potential in this market?
Easy: don't go after the turnkey home. The perfect home with everything remodeled is getting lots of attention because most buyers want exactly that. Aim for the home that needs updating and remodeling, though, and you will have a far better chance to make a great deal because you won't be trying to outbid every other buyer.
Oct. 2, 2008
Trulia is a great source for real estate information, but when it reports on the distressed housing sector, it relies on Realty Trac, which I have found to be inaccurate and unreliable much of the time. Twice I've had a subscription to Realty Trac and seen homes showing up on their database which were long since closed, for instance (so the numbers were inflated). If you are visiting these sites to get a sense of the distressed housing market in Los Gatos, please allow me to provide you information from our MLS as of today. You may be surprised that it's not quite as bad as it may appear on that site.
A couple of disclaimers: first is that not all distressed homes are for sale. The first step in the foreclosure market is receiving a Notice of Default. Some people do "catch up" and that NOD never turns into a foreclosure.
In other cases, the home may be on the market with a NOD but is not actually a short sale - there's enough equity in the home so that when it sells, the bank will be paid off in full. Those types of sales are "under the radar" as our MLS only tracks homes identified as short sales and those known to be bank owned (which the agents are required to disclose).
That said, here's the information as of today on homes in Los Gatos which are short sales or bank owned. I am including the Santa Cruz mountain areas as well (95033). These numbers are far lower than in much of Silicon Valley:
| Los Gatos |
Total for sale |
# Short Sale |
# Bank Owned |
| |
|
|
|
| 95030 Houses |
57 |
0 |
1 |
| 95030 Condos |
7 |
0 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
| 95032 Houses |
96 |
5 |
5 |
| 95032 Condos |
38 |
3 |
0 |
| |
|
|
|
| 95033 Houses |
18 |
1 |
0 |
| (no condos) |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
| totals |
216 |
9 |
6 |
One extreme, in these times of financial chaos nationwide, is to assume that Los Gatos is "tanking". That is one extreme that I hope I have helped to dispell here. The other extreme is to assume that we are somehow so insulated in our beautiful haven that we are not impacted by the crisis at all. Make no doubt, Los Gatans are feeling the effects of the mortgage meltdown and the crisis in our economy overall. The lack of available credit is hurting home buyers and home sellers, but also those who work in any industry where having credit matters or where spending is a matter of discretion. So Los Gatans who sell automobiles are hurting right along side those who sell houses or have anything to do with the Silicon Valley real estate market. The lack of available money to loan is part of the formula which is pushing house prices down, of course.
So yes, Los Gatos is impacted by the mortgage crisis and general roller coaster on Wall Street. Some homeowners are in real trouble with their mortgages. Many residents who work in credit-dependent fields are making much less then they used to and in some cases have walked away from careers in lending and selling altogether. But the sky isn't falling on our housing market. The numbers, above, are proof enough of that.
Apr. 22, 2008
How's the real estate market in Silicon Valley? One way of knowing is to keep a pulse on the number of short sale listings.
Los Gatos, Saratoga, Monte Sereno, Cupertino, and Los Altos all continue to feature very few short sale listings, and these markets remain stronger. They are still "buyer's markets", as is all of Siicon Valley, but prices are rising even as the number of sales is low.
In Silicon Valley's entry level real estate market, though, such as Blossom Valley, east San Jose, south county and south San Jose, is another story. There, it is a deep buyer's market. Prices are dropping. Blossom Valley's home values have been plummeting in recent months.
Where there are a lot of short sales, values decline. Where there aren't many short sales, prices appear to be holding or rising.
But the good news is this for all of Santa Clara County: overall, it does not appear that there is a sharp increase in the number of short sales for now. Have a look at this week's snapshot of Silicon Valley short sales and see. It is fairly flat overall. Perhaps the worst of it is behind us?
| Active Listings of Short Sale Single Family Homes, Condos, Townhouses |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
3/26/08 |
4/8/08 |
4/15/08 |
4/22/08 |
|
|
| Los Gatos |
5 |
8 |
9 |
9 |
|
|
| Monte Sereno |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
| Saratoga |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| Los Gatos Mtns |
3 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
| Cambrian Park |
59 |
73 |
53 |
54 |
|
|
| Santa Clara |
56 |
68 |
59 |
60 |
|
|
| Campbell |
13 |
23 |
28 |
19 |
|
|
| Cupertino |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
| Los Altos |
0 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
| Sunnyvale |
50 |
69 |
54 |
59 |
|
|
| Blossom Valley |
196 |
251 |
200 |
202 |
|
|
| San Jose (all) |
1534 |
1882 |
1667 |
1674 |
|
|
Feb. 24, 2008
Lately, in my practice as a Silicon Valley Realtor, I've been showing a lot of short sale houses and a few bank owned properties (known as REOs or "real estate owned" by the lender). They have been in entry level, single family homes close to $500,000 in Blossom Valley, Santa Teresa and south San Jose. In fact, the majority of homes that I've been showing there consists of distressed sales. Since that is the case, it is pulling prices down in those areas very dramatically. Homes bought two years ago for about $640,000 are now selling for about 80% of that recent sales price.
That's not happening in Los Gatos.
Yes, our prices are soft and inching down a bit, but not by 20%. If you own a home in any part of town, that should make you happy. If you are trying to buy a home in Los Gatos, that may not seem like good news at first, but actually it is - for the long haul. It's good that our values are more insulated than that.
There are a few pre-foreclosures here, a few going to auction, and a few that are bank owned. (Those are the three main stages.) Can a real estate agent, preferably a Realtor, help you to buy one of them?
It depends. If you are an investment buyer, and don't intend to live at the property you are purchasing, and the home is owner occupied, and a notice of default has been filed, the answer is no. This is a consumer protection situation, intended to keep a distressed homeowner from suffering at the hands of unscrupulous, wealthy buyers.
If you are planning to buy and live at the residence (a 1-4 place such as a duplex, triplex, fourplex, condo, townhome, patio home, or house), then an agent can assist you with either a pre-foreclosure purchase OR a bank owned sale. There is really no role for a Realtor in helping you buy at auction.
Let's talk about the three main stages:
(1) Pre-foreclosure: the homeowner is unable to continue making payments to the bank or lending institution. This may be due to illness, job loss, divorce, or other problems. The owner may or may not have had a "Notice of Default" filed. If the NOD has been filed, the clock is ticking and a "trustee" at the bank has begun foreclosure proceedings. If not, you only have to worry about the loss mitigation department. The two divisions may or may not be talking to each other, so it gets trickier after the NOD has been filed, (If there is a NOD, it is recorded and may show up on a preliminary title report or property profile.)
If a seller wants to sell during this time, a real estate agent can help by listing the home at a realistic price and procuring a buyer. Hopefully, the home can sell, the debt can be paid in full, and the owner's credit is not harmed.
Often sellers will contact an agent to sell the home, but sometimes they don't. For whatever reason, most owners in trouble never call the lender at all (big mistake, the lender could potentially wait for a few payments, called forbearance, or modify the loan, but without placing that call, it will surely go from bad to worse). But a large portion of sellers in trouble do list their homes and they can be found on the regular multiple listing service, or MLS.
Sometimes, sellers need to unload a property but the market will not bear enough to pay the bank off. That's what I've been running into in parts of San Jose. In those cases, the home goes on the market as a "short sale" and the agent tries to assist the owner in obtaining permission from the bank to sell and tranfer home without the bank being paid off in full. This is a short sale (and it does damage the seller's credit, but not as much as a foreclosure).
The vast majority of short sales do not go to closing, but proceed to foreclosure. The reasons are enough to fill a book, but sometimes because the homes are overpriced and sometimes because the bank does not respond fast enough. Some lending institutions are better than others. In one case I heard about recently, a listing agent obtained an offer just 1% below list price, but the lender took 3 months to respond. By that time, prices had dropped between 5 and 10% in that neighborhood, so the buyers no longer wished to pay the amount they originally offered. The list price was then dropped by about 8% and the agent had to obtain offers all over again. Who lost? The bank lost more than anyone else: a straight 10% cost for dawdling. (In fairness, they are massively understaffed and overworked. They are kicking themselves by not hiring more qualified people to stem the losses).
So a Realtor could help a buyer in this short sale scenario - to a degree. A buyers agent cannot make the bank hurry up and respond. The buyers agent cannot even talk to the bank. The listing agent may do so only after the seller has signed an authorization form. So there's some frustration and a sense of being out of control that goes with the territory.
Many listing agents don't know how to do short sales. I cut my teeth on a few in the early 90s and they weren't a lot of fun. But now there are huge numbers of them so it's a different game. In response to this crisis, a new business has emerged: short sale intermediaries. These folks have created a niche market of doing the go-between from the agent to the bank. They are the ones who stay on hold half the day, who specialize in knowing what the lenders need and require before someone actually verbalizes it. Because they specialize in this, their closing ratios are far higher (but still not guaranteed). (Call or email me if you would like more information on this.)
(2) Auction: if a home doesn't sell in pre-foreclosure or as a short sale, then the foreclosure process moves forward and the home will be offered for sale at auction. An agent can't help you here. If you wish to purchase a home at auction, realize that it will be offered at a price to cover all leins or debts, and it is often placed at a price the regular market will not bear. The auction situation presents special difficulties too. First, you cannot inspect it - you may look from the outside, but that is it. Second, unlike with the first or third scenarios (pre-foreclosure or bank owned), there is no contingency period in which you can change your mind and back out of the deal. Third, you need cash! And fourth, if you buy it and it is still occupied by the former owner or tenants, you will be responsible for the eviction process. For all these reasons, homes rarely sell at auction. They usually move on to REO, and are back on the market, placed on the multiple listing.
(3) Bank owned properties offer the opportunity to inspect but do not provide most disclosures since the bank is not a seller who's lived at the property. When a property is REO, an agent will handle it very much like a regular listing and it will be available to view. Banks are highly motivated to unload these properties but like any seller, will not go for an offer half the value of the property. Homes are virtually always sold "As Is".
If you are wanting to buy a home in Los Gatos, and you want the help of a real estate professional, that is possible with the short sale or preforeclosure situations, and it is possible with REOs too. There are not a lot of these distressed properties on the market here right now, but there are a few and some of them are quite nice and are listed on the MLS. There are pros and cons to buying at each stage, risks and benefits. If you attempt to purchase a short sale, realize that you may or may not be able to close - through no fault of your own. If you buy a bank owned home, you may not learn everything you'd have liked to know (for instance, if there was a death on the property, problems with neighbors etc.). And understand that a Realtor cannot help you at auction, or if you are an investment buyer trying to purchase an owner occupied home in which a notice of default has been filed.
Would you like to talk more about buying or selling your home? Please call or email me. I'm here to help.
Mary Pope-Handy, Realtor, CRS, ABR, e-PRO, SRES, ASP, RECS, CNHS, ACRE
Helping Nice Folks to Buy & Sell Homes Since 1993 - 15 Years Experience
Co-Author: "Get The Best Deal When Selling Your Home In Siicon Valley"
Keller Williams, Cupertino, CA (Silicon Valley)
877 397-5391 (Direct/Toll-Free/Fax); 408 204-7673 (Cell)
www.PopeHandy.com www.ValleyOfHeartsDelight.com
Mary@PopeHandy.com
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