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Live In Los Gatos

Are There Many Short Sale or Bank Owned Homes for Sale in Los Gatos?

Nov. 16, 2009
Categorized in: Short Sales & REOs

Are there bargain homes to be found in Los Gatos (and Monte Sereno), as in a lot of short sales or bank owned houses, condos & townhomes on the market? These types of properties have been in far shorter supply in the Los Gatos area than in most of Silicon Valley (San Jose, Santa Clara County).  Yesterday I logged onto MLSListings.com and did the research on the "Area 16" or Los Gatos - Monte Sereno real estate market - tedious, but interesting. (Area 16 includes Monte Sereno, consists of the 95030 and 95032 zip codes and a sliver of Campbell and San Jose, Cambrian Park - but is about 95% Los Gatos).  Results below:


Los Gatos home sale types: regular, short sale, bank owned (REO) houses, condos and townhomes as of Nov 15 2009

If you are a Los Gatos homebuyer, you'll find that there are not very many distressed properties on the market. 

Los Gatos Houses for Sale 

Of the 142 active listings in "area 16" (the Los Gatos area, including Monte Sereno and an exceedingly small sliver of Campbell and San Jose - Cambrian Park), only 10 are distressed homes for sale (short sales and REOs combined).  That's just 7% of the available pool of Los Gatos houses for sale are distressed properties (4% short sale, 3% bank owned).

Los Gatos Condos and Townhomes for Sale

Among the condo market, about 10% is short sales and none is a bank owned property.

Pending & Closed Sales of Homes in Los Gatos

The pendings show a lot more activity among short sales - but will they close escrow?  (Unfortunately a significant percentage of short sales never close.  Buyers get tired of waiting, banks request things that sellers won't do, such as sign a promissory note, or foreclosure happens prior to the short sale being completed - just a few of the reasons why the success rate is lower than with either regular sales or REOs.)  Although about half of all homes in escrow are short sales, a look at the closeds over the last month belies that most won't close - only about 3% of the combined closed sales in the last month are short sales. Fourteen percent are bank owned - still a small fraction of the combined market (12% are distressed properties).

Will the info (and percentages of sale type) be different if we view it "year to date"?

Los Gatos sold homes, year to date, by sale type (regular sale, short sale, bank owned) and home type (condo/townhome and single family home).

It's pretty similar in that the distressed homes in Los Gatos are a small pert of the market - among the single family homes sold in 2009 in Los Gatos, about 6% are short sales, 11% are bank owned homes (about 17% of the solds are "distressed" sales).  Interestingly, the amount of recently closed houses that are distressed is a lot less than the year-to-date. 

Among the condo and townhome market, year to date about 8% of the sales are short sales and about 5% are bank owned home sales (13% are distressed sales).  For the current month, it's a similar 12%.

The distressed element of the Los Gatos real estate market is significant but a minor part of the available, pending, and sold properties in the Los Gatos area.  The lower prices of short sales and bank owned homes will have a negative effect on home valuations, but not nearly so strong as is seen in most of the San Jose area.  Depending on your price point and location, there may be more or less of an impact on your home's value (or the value of the home you wish to buy). 

For more posts on short sales & bank owned homes in & near Los Gatos, please see:
http://www.realtown.com/LiveInLosGatos/blog/short-sales-and-bank-owned-homes

Monte Sereno Market Post on Valley of Hearts Delight Blog

Nov. 12, 2009
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

Today on my Valley of Hearts Delight blog, I posted a long article on the Monte Sereno real estate market.  In places I compared and contrasted it with the Los Gatos & Saratoga markets, so readers of this blog might find that piece interesting as well.

The Monte Sereno Real Estate Market Update, November 2009

Months of Inventory in Los Gatos Varies Widely Right Now

Aug. 24, 2009
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

Today in my "Valley of Hearts Delight" blog, I did a lengthy, detailed post on The Los Gatos Real Estate Market by Zip Code, School District and Price Point - August 2009.  Although the overall market in town is a buyer's market (with about 7 months of inventory or an absorption rate of 7 months), the subsets of the market range widely, from 3.75 months of inventory (a seller's market) to about triple that much!  Please visit http://www.SanJoseRealEstateLosGatosHomes.com to see the data!

Quick Comparative Update on the Real Estate Market in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and Saratoga

Jun. 26, 2009
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

The real estate market in the high-end communities of Los Gatos, Monte Sereno, and Saratoga has not been as hard-hit on pricing as in the entry level and more affordable areas like Blossom Valley and Cambrian Park, but not nearly as many homes are selling in these areas for that reason. Areas with huge (30-40%) price drops are seeing first time home buyers and investors swoop down, some paying "all cash" to get in on the fire sale pricing. That is just not happening in the tonier neighborhoods of Silicon Valley.

The west valley foothill communities aren't at these kinds of price drops, but if you're a home seller, you certainly aren't feeling like the real estate market is doing you any favors. Prices are down in varying degrees, but overall it is a "rollback" in sales prices of several years and the discount is perhaps 20-30% from the peak for most homes (worse for the luxury home market).

The charts below are from Altos Research (with whom I have a subscription) and prices are LIST prices, not sales prices. The black line represents Los Gatos, green is Saratoga, and orange Monte Sereno, and the timeframe for all charts below is the last 12 months. Properties are single family homes only (houses, not condos or townhomes).

Median list price in Monte Sereno, Los Gatos and Saratoga over last 12 months

Monte Sereno tends to have the most expensive homes generally of the three communities, and this small city has been hit the worst with price drops because higher priced homes generally have had the biggest damage done to pricing, and more affordable homes have been less hurt by the price cuts.


Average days on market in Monte Sereno, Los Gatos, and Saratoga over last 12 months

Again, Monte Sereno has the biggest struggle with the longest days on the market. Saratoga is experiencing a better market.  This does not surprise me because I have some homebuyers for that city and we are having a hard time finding much that's within their budget and meets their needs. In Los Gatos, where I also have buyers (different from Saratoga), we are finding a lot of homes are still priced too high for the market, so the buyers continue to wait.

Percent relisted in last 12 months in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and Saratoga

The relisted homes chart is a reflection of how many sellers were unsuccessful the first time around, but the owners really do want or need to sell, so they get the house back on the market.  Sometimes it's with a new coat of paint and far better staging, sometimes a much better price, sometimes a new agent and brokerage - or maybe all three.

. Inventory last 12 months Saratoga, Monte Sereno and Los Gatos

Inventory levels are climbing in all three of these expensive Santa Clara County areas.  Buyers are having a hard time in most cases because if they're moving up, it's difficult to sell the home they already own due to negative equity and it's also very difficult to get a loan for high end real estate.  If sellers can offer financing, that could be very helpful to a lot of buyers (get professional assistance from your Realtor, CPA and attorney before attempting this, though).

Sellers:

Most often, when a home doesn't sell, it's the pricing that is incorrect
for the market, though condition (and staging) can have a big impact too. While a few buyers may be willing to pay "top dollar" for a home in average or worse condition, the majority of home buyers will not. Pricing & condition need to be aimed at the bulk of likely purchasers of the property, not the unlikely, rare homebuyer. In this market, when most homes are not selling in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and Saratoga, that means staging and pricing aggressively.  If there's a "better deal" than your home, that's the one the buyer will choose. In this market, the lowest price and best condition "wins" with a sale.

There are things you can do to increase the odds your home will sell and even make your home sell for more:

  • get the home cleaned, cleared of clutter, and nicely staged (get help and professional advice on this)
  • make the front yard appealing with colorful annuals, nicely trimmed bushes, and a healthy green lawn - if the front yard looks bad, the buyers will not even get out of their car to see inside your home
  • make the home easy to show, use a lockbox, do NOT make showings appointment only through the listing agent or yourself
  • when the home is being viewed by potential buyers, do not be home - your presence will make the buyers uneasy and unable to speak frankly about the house
  • price your home in the lowest 20% of available homes that are similar to yours - all the marketing in the world cannot sell an overpriced home

Buyers:

While the majority of homes are "sitting" and not selling, the best properties are actually selling quite fast. So if something comes on the market that interests you, don't wait. It may not be there on the weekend for the scheduled open house!

Today's post is general in nature for each of the towns discussed. The market will vary from one price point to the next, one school district to the next etc. Please contact me for assistance with your own particular situation.
Some homes have been on the market and sellers won't reduce the listing price but may entertain an offer significantly lower that the list price.  So have your agent inquire or just "write it up" if you like a home.

Listing Agreement, Purchase Agreement Forms: Consumers, You May Have a Choice

May. 24, 2009
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

Most consumers don't realize that there are two sets of real estate forms used by Realtors and other real estate professionals in Silicon Valley and nearby areas.  The California Association of Realtors provides the paperwork found throughout most of the state ("CAR forms").  The Peninsula Regional Data Source authors a more regional set ("PRDS forms").

Did you realize that they are a little different, and each provides different protections and "teeth"? 

Here are a couple  of the key differences within the purchase agreement between buyer and seller:

  • The CAR purchase agreement is an "as is" form; the PRDS purchase agreement states that the home will have certain basic conditions met (no leaks, all systems functional)
  • The CAR purchase agreement allows repairs to be done by a handyman; the PRDS form requires that repairs be done by a licensed contractor
  • One has more penalties built in for defaults; one allows the seller to cancel more easily on a buyer who's not performing

The listing agreements vary too - one protects the agents' position better than another.

There are pros and cons to each of these sets.  When you go to list, sell, or purchase a home, be sure to discuss the plusses and minuses of each with your agent. One set is not 100% better for you as a buyer or a seller. There are clauses in each, though, which may protect your interests best. 

One caveat: if you are buying a bank owned home, it is very likely that the bank will require you to use the CAR form.  They cannot get up to speed on regional contracts and they will insist on the "as is" nature of the CAR form (PRDS can also be "as is" if a box for that is selected).  Some banks may use their own forms, or send back an extremely lengthy addendum that may cancel out half the clauses in whichever purchase agreement you use.  Don't be afraid to seek out a good real estate attorney if that is the case.  Realtors and other real estate salespeople are not attorneys and this would be an ideal time to call in professional legal help.

Something else to consider is that you may be able to use some paperwork of each set.  CAR has a myriad of forms for realty transactions, many more than PRDS does. One of the best addenda in use today is the CAR short sale addendum.  It is exceedingly clear about timeframes and responsibilities.  Just because you are working with a PRDS purchase agreement does not make a CAR addendum unusable in most cases. 

Buying and selling real estate in Los Gatos, Monte Sereno, Saratoga, and San Jose does involve a lot of options and decision making.  This is another element to consider because just like all the other choices you face in home buying or selling in Santa Clara County, the choice you make on the forms you'll use may impact your outcome.  Hire a good agent who works with both sets, can explain the pros and cons of each in terms of your position, and is not dependent on just one of them alone. 

How many short sales and bank owned properties are there in the west valley?

May. 3, 2009
Categorized in: Short Sales & REOs

Sometimes I get calls from people wanting to get a "steal of a deal" on higher priced Silicon Valley real estate by purchasing short sales and bank owned properties in  areas with great public schools like Cupertino, Saratoga, Monte Sereno, Los Gatos, and Almaden Valley.

Unfortunately for bargain hunting home buyers who are seeking premium school districts in Santa Clara County, there just aren't that many of them. 

It's very easy to find distressed properties for sale in less expensive areas. In fact, for the first quarter of 2009, 95% of all sales in the Alum Rock area of San Jose, which is one of the poorest areas of Silicon Valley, were either short sales or bank owned properties. 

It's a different story in most of the expensive west valley markets, though. We see far fewer of these in places like Palo Alto or Los Altos (or Los Gatos, Monte Sereno and Saratoga).  There's a very direct correlation between the best  public schools, low crime, higher income, and higher education levels of homeowners with lower numbers of foreclosed homes. 

Here are the numbers of available homes for sale, which I've culled from our MLS, without further elaboration:

MLS Area - info as of 5/3/09 Type Active Listings Short Sales Bank Owned
         
16 (Los Gatos/Monte Sereno) SFH   200 11 4
  Condo/TH    52 5 1
         
17 (Saratoga) SFH   172 10 2
  Condo/TH     20 1 0
         
14 (Cambrian Park)  SFH   129 28 11
  Condo/TH     38 12 4
         
13 (Almaden Valley) SFH 124 6 3
  Condo/TH 19 2 0
         
18 (Cupertino) SFH 162 2 1
  Condo/TH     62 5 0
         
15 (Campbell) SFH  155 26 11
  Condo/TH   70 17 5

So, bargain hunters, what CAN you do to maximize your potential in this market?

Easy: don't go after the turnkey home.  The perfect home with everything remodeled is getting lots of attention because most buyers want exactly that.  Aim for the home that needs updating and remodeling, though, and you will have a far better chance to make a great deal because you won't be trying to outbid every other buyer.
 
For the most recent posts on short sales and bank owned homes in & near Los Gatos, please see:
http://www.realtown.com/LiveInLosGatos/blog/short-sales-and-bank-owned-homes

Late April 2009 Los Gatos Real Estate Market Update

Apr. 29, 2009
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

The real estate market seems to be turning, but primarily in the lower priced areas of Silicon Valley.  The single family homes in the lowest price points seem to be flying off the market.  In some areas, the majority of houses that fit that description are bank owned and short sale properties (such as the Alum Rock district of San Jose, where all but 5% of home sales in the first quarter were distressed property sales).

But what about Los Gatos?

At this point there are 254 homes for sale (single family homes, condos and townhomes), 56 pending sales and 29 which have closed in the last thirty days. That represents an inventory of 8.75 months (listings divided by closed sales).  It's also evident that not everything which sells actually closes since the ratio of pendings to list prices is stronger than the ratio of closeds to list prices.

The lowest priced homes in Los Gatos are faring better than more expensive homes in Los Gatos, which is also the case throughout Santa Clara County.

Here are some graphs to help Live in Los Gatos readers to see what's happening in Los Gatos:

Inventory in Los Gatos

Average Price per SF in Los Gatos listings

List price April 08 to April 09 in Los Gatos

Absorbed Listings in Los Gatos

As you can see from the graphs, the condos (representing the lowest price points in Los Gatos) seem to be faring better than the single family homes.

Below is a chart of the list prices for single family homes in Los Gatos with 95030 and 95032 zip codes ("in the town") as well as 95033 (county area in the mountains).  In all cases, the market is more favorable in the lowest price points.