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Los Gatos Home Sales Trends

Mar. 14, 2008
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

Los Gatos Home Sales Trends

The following chart shows median and average price trends plus sales in the Los Gatos real estate market of single family homes (this is for the zip codes 95030 and 95032, not the mountain areas of 95033). The chart uses a 12-month moving average to eliminate any seasonal variation. Note that overall, prices of sold homes continue to rise, even as the number of sales has been declining.

The next chart is the same as above but uses a 3-month moving average. This smoothes out month-to-month variations yet shows seasonal variations. What is unusual here is that the number of sales is not rebounding as much as is seasonally normal.

This chart shows the current inventory of homes for sale compared to the number that have sold. The larger the gap between inventory and sales, the harder it is to sell, of course. So it is a little amazing that prices are rising at all.

The next series of charts shows the same real estate data as above but for condominiums and town homes in the Town of Los Gatos. As you can see, it's a little harder on the condo and townhome market in Los Gatos. Prices do not appear to be rising in this segment of the market.

For detailed information on specific homes or neighborhoods, contact me.. And to see more neighborhoods and more data, please visit my online report: http://www.rereport.com/sj/winmph/

Data collected from MLSListings.com (REInfolink), compiled by ReReport.com - used by permission (I am a subscriber)

Mary Pope-Handy
Realtor,  CRS, ABR, e-PRO, SRES, ASP, RECS, CNHS, ACRE

Forbes Mill Steakhouse:
Great Dining in Downtown Los Gatos

Mar. 12, 2008
Categorized in: Great Places in Los Gatos


Forbes Mill Steakhouse in Los Gatos: great food, great service.Saturday night, Jim and I enjoyed a "date night" out in Los Gatos. He'd been given a very nice gift certificate to Forbes Mill Steakhouse for a talk he gave on semiconductors some months ago, and finally we were able to enjoy it. This had been on my list of "want to try" restaurants so I was very excited about it.

The building itself is nothing like its prior incarnations as a short lived pizza parlor or the longstanding, much beloved (and still missed) Good Earth Restaurant. Elegant, tasteful and not imposing, the Forbes Mill ambiance is relaxed and upscale but without being the slightest bit pretentious.

From the moment we arrived until the time we left, the service was exceptional. Our waitress was friendly and helpful, she stopped by often enough without hovering. The bus boy, too, checked in on us just often enough. Water was refilled frequently, which we appreciated.

How about the menu?  How was the food?

With no apologies, this is a steakhouse - and the menu is, of course, very heavy on red meat dishes.  (I would tell a vegetarian not to bother - unless dropping by for dessert.) Before the main course, we had a little wine, some tasty salads and warm rolls. As I recall, they had three chardonnays by the glass - not a huge selection, but I was happy with the one I got. (I asked if they had Cinnabar Chardonnay, which is my favorite, but unfortunately it is not offered that way.)  I ordered rack of lamb and Jim a kobe beef steak. Both were fantastic. 

I'd never tasted kobe beef before but swaped forkfuls with my better half and could not believe how tender and flavorful his meat was. It wasn't just delicious, it was an experience!  The vegetables and savory bread pudding were good too - but I'll remember the evening mostly for the meat. 

Since we were lingering over a nice meal, we stayed on a bit longer to enjoy a dessert sampler and coffee too. That was a treat. I wish more restaurants would offer dessert samplers - they are fun and no matter what, you'll have to like some of the dishes, if not all of them!  I particularly loved the cheesecake with the mango topping. Yum!

All in all, it was a very enjoyable evening with great food, service and ambiance. Would I go back? Well, I'd like to. But it's the kind of place where it's very easy to drop $100 per person (if not more) by the time the evening's over, and with our two kids almost in college, that kind of spending is not something we'll do often at this point in our lives. But it was sure good, from start to finish, and truthfully, I do not think it was too expensive for what you get.

The Verdict: Two thumbs up!

A word on the portions is in order. The serving sizes were generous, and I'd misread the menu and ordered side dishes of two more veggies, so we had a lot of extra food when it was over. I did ask for a "doggie bag".  Our bus boy kindly took my plate away and returned with the food in a single box. Unfortunately, that meant that my creamed spinach, asparagus, green beans, carrots, bread pudding and 2 lamb chops were all mushed in together as a soggy mess. If I could suggest something to the good folks at Forbes Mill Steakhouse, it would be to not throw all the leftovers together in one big box, but perhaps to use the styrofoam containers which have sections in them instead.

And finally...do you know why the place is named Forbes Mill?  It was around this first mill in town that the current town of Los Gatos grew up!

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NB: This is not a paid post, nor did the proprietors ask me to do a review.

Forbes Mill Steakhouse
206 N. Santa Cruz Avenue
Los Gatos, CA 95030
Tel 408 395-6434
http://www.ForbesMillSteakhouse.com

Forbes Mill Steakhouse in Los Gatos

Can a Real Estate Agent Help You to Buy a Distressed Home or Pre-Foreclosure in Los Gatos?

Feb. 24, 2008
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market


Short sale rider signs seen in south San JoseLately, in my practice as a Silicon Valley Realtor, I've been showing a lot of short sale houses and a few bank owned properties (known as REOs or "real estate owned" by the lender). They have been in entry level, single family homes close to $500,000 in Blossom Valley, Santa Teresa and south San Jose. In fact, the majority of homes that I've been showing there consists of distressed sales. Since that is the case, it is pulling prices down in those areas very dramatically. Homes bought two years ago for about $640,000 are now selling for about 80% of that recent sales price.

That's not happening in Los Gatos.

Yes, our prices are soft and inching down a bit, but not by 20%. If you own a home in any part of town, that should make you happy. If you are trying to buy a home in Los Gatos, that may not seem like good news at first, but actually it is - for the long haul. It's good that our values are more insulated than that.

There are a few pre-foreclosures here, a few going to auction, and a few that are bank owned. (Those are the three main stages.)  Can a real estate agent, preferably a Realtor, help you to buy one of them?

It depends. If you are an investment buyer, and don't intend to live at the property you are purchasing, and the home is owner occupied, and a notice of default has been filed, the answer is no. This is a consumer protection situation, intended to keep a distressed homeowner from suffering at the hands of unscrupulous, wealthy buyers.

If you are planning to buy and live at the residence (a 1-4 place such as a duplex, triplex, fourplex, condo, townhome, patio home, or house), then an agent can assist you with either a pre-foreclosure purchase OR a bank owned sale. There is really no role for a Realtor in helping you buy at auction.

Let's talk about the three main stages:

(1) Pre-foreclosure: the homeowner is unable to continue making payments to the bank or lending institution. This may be due to illness, job loss, divorce, or other problems. The owner may or may not have had a "Notice of Default" filed. If the NOD has been filed, the clock is ticking and a "trustee" at the bank has begun foreclosure proceedings. If not, you only have to worry about the loss mitigation department. The two divisions may or may not be talking to each other, so it gets trickier after the NOD has been filed, (If there is a NOD, it is recorded and may show up on a preliminary title report or property profile.)

If a seller wants to sell during this time, a real estate agent can help by listing the home at a realistic price and procuring a buyer. Hopefully, the home can sell, the debt can be paid in full, and the owner's credit is not harmed.

Often sellers will contact an agent to sell the home, but sometimes they don't. For whatever reason, most owners in trouble never call the lender at all (big mistake, the lender could potentially wait for a few payments, called forbearance, or modify the loan, but without placing that call, it will surely go from bad to worse). But a large portion of sellers in trouble do list their homes and they can be found on the regular multiple listing service, or MLS.

Sometimes, sellers need to unload a property but the market will not bear enough to pay the bank off. That's what I've been running into in parts of San Jose. In those cases, the home goes on the market as a "short sale" and the agent tries to assist the owner in obtaining permission from the bank to sell and tranfer home without the bank being paid off in full. This is a short sale (and it does damage the seller's credit, but not as much as a foreclosure).

The vast majority of short sales do not go to closing, but proceed to foreclosure. The reasons are enough to fill a book, but sometimes because the homes are overpriced and sometimes because the bank does not respond fast enough. Some lending institutions are better than others. In one case I heard about recently, a listing agent obtained an offer just 1% below list price, but the lender took 3 months to respond. By that time, prices had dropped between 5 and 10% in that neighborhood, so the buyers no longer wished to pay the amount they originally offered. The list price was then dropped by about 8% and the agent had to obtain offers all over again. Who lost? The bank lost more than anyone else: a straight 10% cost for dawdling. (In fairness, they are massively understaffed and overworked. They are kicking themselves by not hiring more qualified people to stem the losses).

So a Realtor could help a buyer in this short sale scenario - to a degree. A buyers agent cannot make the bank hurry up and respond. The buyers agent cannot even talk to the bank. The listing agent may do so only after the seller has signed an authorization form. So there's some frustration and a sense of being out of control that goes with the territory.

Mary Pope-Handy's for sale signMany listing agents don't know how to do short sales. I cut my teeth on a few in the early 90s and they weren't a lot of fun. But now there are huge numbers of them so it's a different game. In response to this crisis, a new business has emerged: short sale intermediaries. These folks have created a niche market of doing the go-between from the agent to the bank. They are the ones who stay on hold half the day, who specialize in knowing what the lenders need and require before someone actually verbalizes it. Because they specialize in this, their closing ratios are far higher (but still not guaranteed). (Call or email me if you would like more information on this.)

(2) Auction: if a home doesn't sell in pre-foreclosure or as a short sale, then the foreclosure process moves forward and the home will be offered for sale at auction. An agent can't help you here. If you wish to purchase a home at auction, realize that it will be offered at a price to cover all leins or debts, and it is often placed at a price the regular market will not bear. The auction situation presents special difficulties too. First, you cannot inspect it - you may look from the outside, but that is it. Second, unlike with the first or third scenarios (pre-foreclosure or bank owned), there is no contingency period in which you can change your mind and back out of the deal. Third, you need cash!  And fourth, if you buy it and it is still occupied by the former owner or tenants, you will be responsible for the eviction process. For all these reasons, homes rarely sell at auction. They usually move on to REO, and are back on the market, placed on the multiple listing.

(3) Bank owned properties offer the opportunity to inspect but do not provide most disclosures since the bank is not a seller who's lived at the property. When a property is REO, an agent will handle it very much like a regular listing and it will be available to view. Banks are highly motivated to unload these properties but like any seller, will not go for an offer half the value of the property. Homes are virtually always sold "As Is".

If you are wanting to buy a home in Los Gatos, and you want the help of a real estate professional, that is possible with the short sale or preforeclosure situations, and it is possible with REOs too. There are not a lot of these distressed properties on the market here right now, but there are a few and some of them are quite nice and are listed on the MLS. There are pros and cons to buying at each stage, risks and benefits. If you attempt to purchase a short sale, realize that you may or may not be able to close - through no fault of your own. If you buy a bank owned home, you may not learn everything you'd have liked to know (for instance, if there was a death on the property, problems with neighbors etc.). And understand that a Realtor cannot help you at auction, or if you are an investment buyer trying to purchase an owner occupied home in which a notice of default has been filed.

Would you like to talk more about buying or selling your home? Please call or email me. I'm here to help.

Mary Pope-Handy, Realtor,  CRS, ABR, e-PRO, SRES, ASP, RECS, CNHS, ACRE
Helping Nice Folks to Buy & Sell Homes Since 1993 - 15 Years Experience
Co-Author: "Get The Best Deal When Selling Your Home In Siicon Valley"
Keller Williams, Cupertino, CA  (Silicon Valley)
877 397-5391 (Direct/Toll-Free/Fax);   408 204-7673 (Cell)
www.PopeHandy.com    www.ValleyOfHeartsDelight.com   
Mary@PopeHandy.com

Los Gatos Real Estate Market Review for December and 2007

Jan. 9, 2008
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

The numbers are in for December 2007 and the real estate market in San Jose, Santa Clara County, Silicon Valley, and Los Gatos, to name a few areas.



Cliff notes version: prices are holding, or even going up in areas year over year (this last December compared to the one before). But sales are decidedly down. So again, if most homes are NOT selling, it's not much consolation that values are rising. It's a mixed message, but that's precisely what is happening. A great home in a great area with a great price (low) will sell and for "top dollar". Anything less, no such luck!

If you would like DETAILED information on San Jose (and by district, such as Almaden Valley, Cambrian Park, Evergreen, Willow Glen, West San Jose, etc.) and the cities and towns that comprise Silicon Valley or Santa Clara County, including Los Gatos, Saratoga, Campbell, Santa Clara, Los Altos, etc., please visit my just-updated Real Estate Report. You will find monthly and annual information on all of these areas and more. And if you'd like a commentary on how to make sense of it, please download my newsletter, which is 18 pages long and in pdf format:
http://rereport.com/scc/print/MaryPopeHandySCCannual.pdf

Right now it's quiet for many of us on the real estate front - and that is not untypical though I usually am busier in January than I am now! Things often pick up in February just after the SuperBowl. (At my house, we are cheering on the Patriots - you may know that I'm related to the QB there, so we are perhaps biased, but not too much.)

I would say to buyers: prices are NOT going down in the best parts of Santa Clara County. Interest rates are good. Inventory favors you. BUY NOW. Homes are not going down in price while you wait!

And to sellers I would say this: yes, prices are going up, but still most homes are not selling. If you wait, you risk having much more competition in the marketplace. If you're ready to sell, get your home on the market NOW.

Each situation is different. Please email or call me for specific input and assistance. I do offer a free one hour consultation to prospective clients.

Happy New Year!

Mary



Is Now a Good Time to Buy or Sell a Home in Los Gatos?

Jan. 4, 2008
Categorized in: Homes & Housing Market

Is January a good month to list your home, or to make an offer on one, in Los Gatos? When is the best time to buy or sell?

In auto sales, it's said that making an offer on a car the last day of the month, especially if it is a rainy, "slow day", can result in a good bargain. Is that true in buying a house in Los Gatos too?

Auto sales and real estate sales are not the same, but they can respond to the same economic factors, among others.  Predictions for 2008 are very mixed. The weather, though, also impacts sales in both areas.

What about the weather? As I type this, it's pouring rain, the wind is howling and my power here in Belwood has browned out 3 times in the last 2 minutes. This is not the kind of weather that brings most buyers out to shop! So competition will be less for the best homes. Interest rates, too, often rise in mid-February as demand increases.  There's not a ton of inventory at the moment, but it's very possible that the "best deal of the year" for getting that condo, townhome or house here in the west valley will be had right now.
No one can say with any certainty whether the realty market will be more or less favorable in a month, but I would say to buyers who are serious about purchasing a home this year: do look now. If you see a home you like, make an offer. And sellers, most of your competition will wait for fairer days. Right now, that's not much of an issue.

What's the inventory? And sellers, is this a good time for you? Right now,inventory is low: there are exactly 95 single family homes that are on the market in the 95030 and 95032 zip codes. There are just 22 condominiums or townhouses in the same parts of town. Winter is not usually known as the best season to sell, but there is also far less competition now than there might be later in the year. And buyers who come out to view homes in the middle of January's weather are usually very serious about writing a contract to purchase a house.

What about pricing? Home sales have been plummeting for 34 solid months. Most homes in most parts of Silicon Valley are not selling. (Believe it or not, even in a hot sellers market, not all homes sell. A percentage are always overpriced, in poor condition, or marketed so badly that they do not procure an offer that goes through.) Los Gatos, and neighboring Monte Sereno, Saratoga, and Almaden Valley, are stronger than many parts of the valley - in large part because of the quality of life in these areas, the low crime, the well-kept neighborhoods, and the great school scores.  Those factors make some areas desirable in any market. So while you might find a foreclosure emporium in some parts of Santa Clara County, you won't find it in this part of the Valley of Heart's Delight!  Short sales and foreclosures pull prices down, perhaps by as much as 10 percent, in areas where those occur. But prices in the town of Los Gatos and the lovely areas adjacent are continuing to rise.

The future of real estate sales in Silicon Valley is a bit uncertain for this new year, perhaps especially since it is an election year. We truly don't know how long the sales slump here will last. If homeowners need to sell, it is probably best to get the home on the market sooner rather than later since the competition is not very great at the moment. Buyers can gain on this market now by purchasing when no one else is looking and while interest rates are good and before prices rise any more. (I have often heard buyers say  "I'm waiting for prices to go down" but in most markets within Los Gatos, they are simply not falling.)

"The Market" is a broad term, and really even within our fair town, there are micro-markets from east Los Gatos to downtown to the areas bordering Monte Sereno, and that is also true as relating to school districts and price points.

Right now - even with this inclement weather - can be a great time to buy and sell in Los Gatos or anywhere in the west valley areas of Silicon Valley.

Please call or email me if you'd like to discuss your particular circumstances.

Best regards,

Happy New Year!

Jan. 1, 2008
Categorized in: Photos of Los Gatos
Yesterday my family and I hiked through Belgatos Park in Los Gatos and the weather was so amazingly clear that I wish I had brought my "real camera". But I did have my Treo along, and it can take photographs, so I snapped a few.

This is a view of downtown San Jose through some oak trees on one of the crests in the park. All of Silicon Valley can be seen - and more!  In fact, we could make out San Francisco in the distance (not shown). It truly was picture perfect.  Enjoy, and Happy New Year!

View of San Jose and Silicon Valley from Belgatos Park in Los Gatos. Photo by Mary Pope-Handy

Merry Christmas, Los Gatos...and everyone else too!

Dec. 24, 2007
Categorized in: LG Lifestyle


A candle of hope in this season of hopeIt's been a little busy for blogging lately but I didn't want the holiday season to go by without sending my warmest wishes to my friends and readers.  Many of our friends celebrate Hanukkah - and I hope it was a happy one for each and every one of them. What a beautiful festival, a true festival of lights.

We celebrate Christmas in our home, and the days leading up to it can be a bit hectic for us, as they are for many of you. (On top of that, this blogger was sick for about 10 days and also changed brokerages mid-month. So lots was going on!) It can be hard to catch your breath and think about the deeper meanings to all of it. . . .

But now, it's Christmas Eve. Everything is really done. Life is quieting down at the Handy household in Belwood, and we get to just enjoy the next couple of days and reflect on why they are so important to us. If you celebrate Christmas, I hope that for you these days will be meaningful, peaceful and fun. Merry Christmas!  (And if not, I hope the days will bring helpful R & R for you, and a chance to visit friends or get in some skiing or other fun.)

Merry Christmas from Mary Pope-Handy (Los Gatos, CA)And for everyone...Happy New Year! 

2007 was challenging for those of us in real estate and related fields. Too many people lost their jobs or were harmed by a difficult market this last year (a story that I think was underreported). We are hopeful that 2008 will be stable and maybe even improved here in Silicon Valley. Hope is an important part of this season for all of us, no matter what we celebrate specifically.

May the coming year bring you happiness, good health, a sunny disposition, and many, many blessings. And above all, may it bring you a deep and joyful sense of hope.

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