Archives
September 2007
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What do saavy investors look for when buying a home?
In a nutshell, they look for the "right things wrong".
That is, there are things that will make an investment untenable, and other things that will make it attractive!
The home must have these things:
- a good floorplan
- good structure (roof, plumbing, foundation, electrical)
- good location
To get it at a good price, the home probably should have
these things:
- been overpriced and on the market awhile
- be structurally sound but ugly (wrong color carpet, paint)
- need simple fixes (change countertops, paint cabinets, change lights, floorcovering/paint, and landscape)
- be in an area with good appreciation (housing shortage)
Often when Realtors go shopping for their own homes, they consider houses that have been on the market too long, that are
really decent homes but simply ugly! It's easy to change paint and carpet, to add skylights and to fix landscaping. A home
like this that's been on the market will be a good buy - provided the seller is motivated to sell - in any market!
Going shopping? Ask your agent this question: "what home would YOU buy?"
Only thing is... to make the money, you have to be willing to do a little work!
This is true in Los Gatos, Saratoga, San Jose, Santa Cruz, or anywhere!
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My kids attended Casa Maria
Montessori (sadly, now closed) and St. Mary's Elementary School,
both in Los Gatos. Many, many times I took them from school to the
also-now-closed Good Earth Restaurant on North Santa Cruz Avenue to
enjoy hot cocoa and oversized cinnamon buns. It's been years since
that cheerful restaurant closed its doors, and my kids have not had
a place in which to feast upon huge, locally baked cinnamon rolls
since then.
Until now.
Thanks to Google Alerts, I see most articles and blog posts
that come out with anything about our fair town (including some
stupid stuff I could miss that actually has nothing to do
with the town of Los Gatos). Recently the San Jose Mercury News did a piece on
The Los Gatos Cafe Uptown
and it mentioned the restaurant's yummy
cinnamon buns.
The Handy teens, aged 18 and 16, had this to say about the rolls
after feasting on them last weekend:
"I'm not sure if I was just hungry or they were incredibly good,
but with every bite I just kept wondering if there was a way to get
more into my mouth, it was so good...."
and
"It is really, really good when you eat it with the cinnamon
butter..."
The Good Earth is gone, but the happy sentiments
aroused by their much loved cinnamon buns are definitely
back. It's a mouthful of nostalgia.
I'm sure that all of the food at "uptown" is good. I absolutely
love the original Los Gatos Cafe in downtown. I rather suspect that
the "uptown" branch will bcome my favorite of the two as it has the
great food but without the lines and crowds that I avoid
at all costs.
But wherever you go, do order (or take home) a cinnamon bun.
(This is not a paid blog post, and in fact the owners of this
restaurant do not know that this blog post was going to be
written.)
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In contrast
to much of Silicon Valley, the Los Gatos market is continuing to experience appreciation and is a fairly
"balanced" market overall.
I. Single Family Homes
Compared to last year, August's closed sales of single family homes were
smaller in number (off 6.5%) but up in price (median up 35.9%, average up 23.7%). Inventory is
far lower than last year too - listings were down 26.4% from last year. The lower inventory is helping to keep this market
balanced, as opposed to the buyers' market it is elsewhere.
Compared to last month, August's closed
sales of houses in Los Gatos were down 6.5%, listings were up 6.2%, and prices were up noticeably (4.8% for the
median and 7.2% for the average).
II. Condos and Townhomes
The condo market is somewhat similar in The Cats, with the numbers of
listings and sales falling, inventory shrinking, and prices rising.
Compared to last year, the closed sales were down by a whopping 66.7%, listings were down by 23.5%, and
prices were up strongly (28.2% median, 15% average). Normally, sales do fall off in August, so we expect to see a
month to-month drop, but to see a drop from one August to the next is very noteworthy.
Compared to last month, sales of townhomes and condominiums were down 69.2%
and listings were up 18.2%. Prices skyrocked though, up 45.7% for the median and 30.1% for the average.
III. Give me the Cliff Notes Version
For both single family homes, townhouses and condos, this summer has been a whole lot better a time in which to
sell than the year before. Inventory is down, prices are up. Sales are down tremendously, but fewer homeowners
are trying to sell now than a year ago. If you could not sell your home last year, try again - things are much improved!
Just make sure your price is realistic and the condition is top-notch.
Often the Los Gatos market follows a fairly predictable pattern for inventory, sales and
appreciation: in January there are more buyers than sellers, and prices get pushed up. This inequality of
supply and demand tends to remain (most years) through late spring or into summer as inventory rises.
Some years the balancing point is in May, others in July - it varies. By summer,
though, usually there are more listings than buyers and prices quit rising. In the second half of the year,
prices may be stable, they may drop slightly, or they may do some dropping in August and rising again between Labor Day
and Halloween, when we get a second burst of folks who want to get in before the year ends. Often inventory shrinks in
winter and again in late summer. In the first graph above, you can see that pattern roughly played out.
Where are we now? It is early September and if the market follows what is typical (which is what
we are seeing now), we will have a very healthy market this month and next. For buyers, there's usually more selection as
houses come on the market. For sellers, there's a renewed interest among buyers and well-priced, well-staged, and
well-marketed real estate sells well. Now is a good time to both sell and to buy in Los Gatos.
If you would like more information on the market (both condos and single family homes in Los Gatos,
Saratoga, San Jose and around Silicon Valley), please see my online
Silicon Valley real estate market report. Or call me at 408 204-7673 for a private and confidential
consultation.
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The fire in the eastern foothills of Santa Clara Valley began
almost 3 days ago and was first spotted from the James Lick
Observatory - so has been dubbed the Lick Fire. The first day and a
half, an enormous plume of
smoke could be seen rising in the hills by south San Jose and
Morgan Hill from Henry Coe State Park. Smoke and haze hung
over the eastern range; it was in contrast to the rest of the area
between there and the coastal foothills, where the
sky remained blue.
But chiarascura didn't last. For a day now, the haze has
thickened. Smoke is pouring in, and not much of it seems to be
escaping.
We can't see the plume anymore. We can't even see that bank of
hills anymore. Too much smoke.

This morning I drove my kids to
school in and near downtown San Jose (Notre Dame High School and
Bellarmine College Prep). Heading east on Blossom Hill Road, we
were shocked at the eeriely discolored sun hanging low in the sky.
It was a pinkish red, a look that you might see just at sunset
on a fall or summer evening - but not when the sun was so high in
the sky. (Photo above taken with Palm Treo.) It was just
creepy.
Because the fire is located in a remote region of the park, with
rough terrain and no roads, it's difficult to get close enough to
even fight it.
Often fires begin because of a cigarette tossed
carelessly. Earlier this summer, a fire ignited when
someone used a power mower to cut back brush and a spark it threw
ironically began the blaze that clearing the brush was intended to
prevent.
This fire was said to have been caused by a person burning
things in a barrell at a private hunting camp. No one has been
named, but this mishap turned nightmare could turn into a financial
liabilty approaching two million dollars. The fire may grow to
30,000 acres and will go down as one of the largest ever in the
Silicon Valley area.
Today the heat will be at a high for the week, which means that the
smoke will continue to accumulate, firefighters will still contend
with extreme conditions and the fire will have no natural incentive
to stop. When will it be contained? No one knows, but they
have a long way to go.
Rain would be good right about now.
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Date: Sep. 5, 2007
Tags: Home Buying, Loan, Where To Begin, Process, West Valley Communities, 95124, 95030, 95032, 95120, 95008
Each week, I
get inquiries from people who are thinking of buying a home here in Los Gatos or in Saratoga, San Jose or elsewhere in
Silicon Valley. Some of them are fairly local, and some are potentially relocating here. Sometimes they want to "start the
process" by having me show them homes. That's usually not the best way to proceed.
The trouble with starting by viewing homes is that such a buyer may or may not be looking in the right price range -
potentially wasting the time of everyone involved (themselves, their agent, and the people who clean up and leave their
home for an hour or two so they can see it). Open house viewing, of course, is another thing - it can be an easy way to
zip in and out of houses with little inconvenience to anyone. It can provide a sense of neighborhoods and what homes are
going for. But the home buyer could, of course, be looking at the wrong price range with this approach. Look too low, get
discourged. Look too high, and when the price range is later reset to what is realistic, everything will look awful.
So what is the most efficient way to investigate the possibility of home buying?
For most people, it's best to start with the budget. How much do you want to spend? What will be
comfortable for you and still help you to meet your needs? Often that's not the same thing as how much you
can spend.
That said, "it all depends". It depends on how much cash down you have, what kind of loan you are comfortable with,
qualify for or can accept.
There
are a few simple rules of thumb that can be a starting point. Some folks say that you can afford to buy 3-4 times your
annual income. So if you are making $50,000 per year and your spouse or home buying partner is making $75,000 per year,
together you'd qualify (using this rough rule of thumb) for $375,000 to $500,000. That won't buy you much in Silicon
Valley, so often people will use loan products that enable them to get more home for the budget by doing interest only
loans (the most common now) or a loan that's fixed for a few years and then converts to adjustible (with a lower interest
rate than a 30 year fixed loan).
Typically, if buyers come to me without having spoken in detail with a lender, I suggest that they speak to a
lender soon after our first meeting - I know lots of experienced, ethical lenders who will assist them in
choosing a loan type and setting up their target price range. Once that is established, they can start the
paperwork submission process and are free to go shopping - and if they find the ideal home, they are far closer to being
able to write an acceptable offer than if they were house-hunting "blind" to their true financial picture.
Getting the financing set upfront has several benefits to the buyer: no wasted time looking in the wrong price range, not
having to make the loan choices under pressure (once a home has been located and then the loan has to fit the home), and
the ability to line the financing up in advance so that the sellers will prefer to deal with them because the loan is not
nearly as much of a question.
To start with the budget, find an
excellent lender. There are many good ones, but not all lenders are equally good (or ethical, or experienced). If you're
thinking of homebuying in Los Gatos, Saratoga or San Jose - or anywhere in Silicon Valley - don't just pick a name out of
the phone book. Instead, call me and I'll happily give you the name of a good lender (or more if you want more).
Like a good Realtor, a good lender is your partner in homebuying. It's important to find the right match and to get the
ball rolling early in the process. You'll save time and heartache by lining your financing up early on.
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Los Gatos affords many nice places in which to be
pampered. I can't say I've tried them all, but one I return to time
and again is the Spa of Los
Gatos. Yesterday I enjoyed an hourlong massage there
(finally using a giftcard from Christmas!) and it occurred to me
that I might want to say a good word about this haven for folks who
are in need of some relaxation, as I have been. (This is not a
paid blogpost and the folks there do not even know that I am
writing this.)
Located across from the post office, near the Town Park Plaza, the
Spa of Los Gatos is easy to find and a relatively easy place in
which to find a parking spot, too. The folks there ask patrons to
arrive 15 minutes early - I suspect it helps to create a more
relaxed beginning when we don't arrive full of adreneline for being
late - but they do not take the time to make you wait in a long
line. Each time I've been there, I'm quickly escorted in, given a
locker and shown where to wait for the technician.
The setting is relaxing once the visitor gets past the frosted
glass door. There, lights are lower, the decor is a muted
Mediterranean, music is soft and an effort is made to slow the
tempo before the tecnician is even seen. The locker rooms are
well appointed (water, brushes, hair products, dryers etc.) and
comfortably private. Robes and sandals are provided, and patrons
are asked to make their way to a soothing lounge where they'll be
met by the technician.
With low music and lights, the waiting lounge is a funny kind of
tease because there are magazines to be read but the light's too
dim to actually read - at least for me. There are teas and
juices available, and water sprinkled with lemon juice too. Large
armchairs are the place to sip on a beverage and wait. Everyone's
in a terry robe and plastic sandals that have a lot of ergonomic
feeling bumps under one's feet. Some try to read but quickly give
up. Reading won't work. Sip on the beverage and try not to
look at the other patrons (like in an elevator). Soon your name
will be called. And by the time he or she calls your name, you'll
already be a step or two deeper into relaxation just because of the
setting.
The Spa of Los Gatos offers several
types of massages, and even if you always pick their sigature
Sweedish Massage (as I have done), it'll be a little different each
time. Over the years I have probably been there a half dozen times,
and each time has been enjoyable and relaxing - and a little
different, as each person giving the massage is different and reads
your needs a little differently too.
The rooms are very pleasant, with the same low light and quiet
music that sets a restful tone. There are always choices for the
massage oils (cocoanut vs lilac vs unscented, as I recall). And the
tecnicians I have had seem to be flexible with either conversing or
not depending on the customer's mood or personality. Some days I
haven't wanted to talk and other days I have - and it seems to me
that no matter my inclination, the people who worked on me made me
feel relaxed both physically and emotionally. And that was very
nice to be "met" where I was each time.
After the massage, the Spa offers a very nice, private steam
shower. Some resorts have a common, co-ed sauna (not for me!),
but here it's a private room with a shower that doubles as a steam
room. So you can have a steam bath for a few minutes, shut that
off, and then shower if you like. There is no sense of being rushed
either. The shower has a lot of pressure and an adjustable head to
vary the spray and that's nice too.
From start to finish, my visits
there have encompassed about two hours for a one hour massage. The
results tend to last awhile as the professionals there seem very
adept at slaying the knots in my back.
Other types of massages are available, involving heated stones and
water sprays and all kinds of interesting things which someday I'm
sure I'll try. And I know there are lots of other places in Los
Gatos where I could get a massage too, but so far, I've been so
happy here that I haven't ventured elsewhere.
Los Gatos: it's a great place to be pampered.
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Live in Los Gatos:
A blog about Los Gatos real estate, homes, houses, condos, townhomes, housing market, neightborhoods, history, events, businesses, parks, schools, photos, issues, and lifestyle.
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