National Numbers for May and the Role of Appraisers |
New national numbers were released by the National Association of Realtors® yesterday. Overall, sales (sales closed in May) were up, but not as much as had been expected. Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist noted that many sales written in earlier months failed to close because of poor appraisals. Lending institutions often have been sending in appraisers who were unfamiliar with areas, even entire towns, and properties failed to appraise and consequently failed to close.
This has always been a problem, especially when appraisers ignore information having do to with distressed properties. A property sold in foreclosure is not a valid comparative sale, since it is not between a "willing buyer and willing seller." Using such properties drives all values down. As values decline, the potential is for additional properties to fall into foreclosure - a downward spiral, not unlike Detroit over the past ten years.
In the Northeast region sales were up 3.9% over April, but still down 10.1% over a year ago, and prices were down 12.5% over a year ago. Somerset County New Jersey sales were off 17% over a year ago, but up 12.6% over April. Remember, all real estate markets are local, so make your real estate buying and selling decisions based on local, not the mythical national numbers.

1. RE: National Numbers for May and the Role of Appraisers
While we have seen an increase in business, there have been some cancellations that have occurred when clients appaissals have come in below expectations (according to the client).
It is dissappointing and I thing that common sense would agree with your assertion that foreclosures are not a valid comparitive. Unfortunately, after being chewed up in the recent housing meltdown, it will take some time for this problem to correct itself.