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New Jersey Real Estate

Hillsborough, New Jersey

Real estate information and opinions about residential real estate in Somerset, Hunterdon, Mercer and Middlesex Counties by a REALTOR� with over a quarter century of experience. COMMENTS ARE WELCOME. Please use the Add Comment link at the bottom of the posting.

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New Jersey Real Estate

April 2008

Real Estate Service

Apr. 17, 2008
Categorized in: Service

WARNING: I rarely blow my own horn in this space, but today is different, so if you can't stand bloviation, read no further.

One of the advantages of the real estate profession is that it allows for many different kinds of business models.  Most are based upon marketing methods - print advertising, Internet sites, virtual tours, promotion to every licensee in America, all that kind of stuff.  Although that is important (and I do all, except spamming licensees across the country), it is a very small part of a successful transaction for a seller.  As far as I am concerned, the real effort can begin when the sales contract is signed, especially in today's market of mortgage madness.

Today I did something I do for all my seller clients who have signed a contract with a buyer: I met the buyer's appraiser at the property.  The house is vacant, the sellers far away, and there is a lockbox on the house.  Why should I bother?  Perhaps the answer to that question is less obvious than you think.  I didn't just let the appraiser into the house. And for good reason.

This particular appraiser came from an hour away.  He was doing at least three appraisals this morning, each in a very different market area of New Jersey.  He need help to find this property.  I don't mean this as a criticism of the appraiser, by the way, but simply a statement of facts.  That is the life of an appraiser these days.

What I did was I provided him with objective data that would make his job a bit easier, and make him feel a bit more confident of his final product.  From me he got not only the MLS printout of the subject property and several closed comps, but a pending comp with contract price as well.  But that's not all (because he could get that with a few phone calls).  I also gave him the builder's floorplan of the subject property, a copy of the survey, a list of special features, the glossy brochure, and, perhaps most importantly, my market data spreadsheet for this town for the 2006, 2007 and 2008.

Not only will he know the property and where it fits into the comparables, but he will also know whether this market is declining, stable, or rising.  He can see the dynamic of a decreasing absorption rate over the past three months. 

I do this with every property I list that sells.  The last appraisal problem I had was five years ago.  This appraiser today, like virtually all the ones I've met over the past five years, was grateful for the data.  I expect every appraiser to "trust but verify" my proferred information.  They may measure every room, but they don't have to do a sketch.  Issues arise when an out-of-area appraiser is expected to seem knowledgeable about a local market.  All I want is for the appraiser to know at least as much about the market as I do.  Then I am confident I have provided a unique, high-value service to my client, the seller.

I know of no other Realtor® in my area who performs this service.  Do you think this service has value?

Somerset County NJ Real Estate First Quarter 2008

Apr. 16, 2008
Categorized in: Somerset County NJ homes

The effect of the mortgage meltdown of 2007 is quite apparent in the real estate market numbers for the first quarter in Somerset County, New Jersey.  The number of sales made during that period was down 25.5% over the same period in 2008 - 1059 made in 2007, 789 in 2008.  Moreover, the number of sales closed in the first quarter of this year was down 33% over the same period in 2008. Interestingly enough, the difference in those categories from 2006 to 2007 was negligible. 

The real estate market crisis in Somerset County tends is clearly one of volume, not price.  Even thought there was a huge decline in number of closed properties this year over last, the average sale price for closed properties in the first quarter of 2007 was $456,672, while the average sale price in 2008 was $458,710.

Currently, the pending/active ratio in Somerset County is 19%, meaning there are four times as many actives as pendings.  The market is said to be in balance when that ratio is 50%.  Not much balance right now.  The strongest price range, with a ratio of 24% is the entry level: less than $300,000. The weakest, not surprisingly, is the upper: $1,000,000+.  That upper range is at 16%. 

These numbers are all pointing to a slow improvement in Somerset County after the subprime mortgage crisis.  Four consecutive months of absorption rate declines and supply/demand ratio increases bear substantiate that statement.  Volume numbers will continue to be off year-to-year until the fall of this year, and prices may continue to stabilize in Somerset County overall.  However, individual municipalities have their own characteristics.  More about them later.

All real estate is local.  Seek the advice of a knowledgeable Realtor® if you're thinking of buying or selling.

Financial Reporting

Apr. 11, 2008
Categorized in: Media Distortions
I simply cannot resist pointing readers to what I consider the most apt political cartoon I've seen in a long time.  Click here.
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