Somerset County NJ Real Estate First Quarter 2008 |
The effect of the mortgage meltdown of 2007 is quite apparent in the real estate market numbers for the first quarter in Somerset County, New Jersey. The number of sales made during that period was down 25.5% over the same period in 2008 - 1059 made in 2007, 789 in 2008. Moreover, the number of sales closed in the first quarter of this year was down 33% over the same period in 2008. Interestingly enough, the difference in those categories from 2006 to 2007 was negligible.
The real estate market crisis in Somerset County tends is clearly one of volume, not price. Even thought there was a huge decline in number of closed properties this year over last, the average sale price for closed properties in the first quarter of 2007 was $456,672, while the average sale price in 2008 was $458,710.
Currently, the pending/active ratio in Somerset County is 19%, meaning there are four times as many actives as pendings. The market is said to be in balance when that ratio is 50%. Not much balance right now. The strongest price range, with a ratio of 24% is the entry level: less than $300,000. The weakest, not surprisingly, is the upper: $1,000,000+. That upper range is at 16%.
These numbers are all pointing to a slow improvement in Somerset County after the subprime mortgage crisis. Four consecutive months of absorption rate declines and supply/demand ratio increases bear substantiate that statement. Volume numbers will continue to be off year-to-year until the fall of this year, and prices may continue to stabilize in Somerset County overall. However, individual municipalities have their own characteristics. More about them later.
All real estate is local. Seek the advice of a knowledgeable Realtor® if you're thinking of buying or selling.
