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Jack Harper and J S Harper Real Estate

Blog by Jack Harper
California

We are all about consumer choice - unlike the typical "LSDB" (limited service discount broker) we offer almost total control to consumers who want to take an active role in their real estate sales and purchases. This blog is a part of that effort.

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The pure reality of reality - or "it's about the value perception!"

Jul. 3, 2008

Once in a while, I like to look at the facts to see if they relate at all to our perceptions. One of the ways I do this is by comparing market-to-market numbers to compare the reality they present against what we hear and think about real estate markets in general.

Perception 1: "We are in the middle of a severe downturn in real estate and prices are dropping by the minute."

Perception 2: "It is harder to make a living in residential real estate than any other time in the last XX number of years."

Perception 3: "Buyers just are not buying - they are waiting for some mythical bottoming out of the market."

Facts, as based on first half year sales reported to the BayEast MLS (my home MLS):

Sales data for homes sold between Jan. 1 and June 30 2008 

 

LIST PRICE:

SOLD PRICE:

DOM:

HIGH

LOW

AVERAGE

MEDIAN

TOTAL PRICE

LISTING COUNT

$1,900,000

$1,800

$568,248

$539,000

$152,858,783

269

$1,800,000

$1,800

$554,462

$525,000

$149,150,294

282

0

49

36

 

 

Sales data for homes sold between Jan. 1 and June 30 2007

 

LIST PRICE:

SOLD PRICE:

DOM:

HIGH

LOW

AVERAGE

MEDIAN

TOTAL PRICE

LISTING COUNT

$999,999

$174,500

$418,375

$399,000

$163,166,430

390

$868,761

$171,000

$407,058

$399,000

$158,752,629

361

1

64

38

 

 

What we see is the following:

 1. Sold listings are up about 40%

2. Median Sales Price is down about 26%

3. Total closed dollar volume increased by some $5+ million.

4. List vs Sold price numbers indicate a slight increase in the price gap (between ask and sell)

5. A lot more that I would probably get wrong - I am obviously not an economist. (but you can see that)

OK - so what does this do to our perception vs reality question?

Reality 1: Yep - prices have dropped significantly (maybe still are)

Reality 2: If you call an additional 121 sales harder to make a living. . . what more can I say?

Reality 3: Buyers are buying! They did so 390 times in this case - myth busted!

So the bottom line seems to be this: Sellers need to be realistic about their pricing. Buyers are buying, but for a significantly lower price than a year ago. Realtors need to stop listening to the pundits and go out there and help sellers sell and buyers buy. They are doing it with, or without you.

 

 

 

 

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