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June 2009

Jun. 29, 2009 - Extreme Home Inspection

When Home Inspections fail, it is usually because the participants didn't pursue the problem at hand to a satisfactory conclusion. No amount of money will resolve an unknown problem, as you can't determine if the amount is sufficient to cover that problem.

A recent example involves the buyer's home inspector determining that there was a higher than normal water reading inside the floor (underneath the hardwood floor) and in the wall (outside wall) of a cantilevered 1/2 bath (powder room). Now we know we have a problem, but we don't really know what that problem is.

The buyer submitted a request to have a contractor come in and make a hole in the exterior siding above the front door. Even if the seller is willing to allow this, it is not a good idea for a buyer to take on the cost and liability of making big holes in the seller's house that he may not buy once he sees what is inside that hole.

In most inspection negotiations, the contract would fail once the seller answered "no, you can't make a big hole in my house". Not many people would say yes to that. In the instant case I was the agent for the seller. I paid for a 2nd inspection, of that one issue, to see if there was any way to determine the cause, and thus the fix, without tearing the house apart. My partner Kim and I met the seller and my inspector (not the buyer's inspector) at the property. Because the higher level of moisture was not around the toilet, indicating the problem was the wax seal of the toilet (most obvious likely cause) we identified 3 or 4 possibilities. It could be the washer in the room above the 1/2 bath, as the plumbing pipes were stacked. It could be a roof vent leak, because the moisture could be coming down the wall and into the 1/2 bath floor, instead of from the floor and into the wall. It could be a leak in the window or siding in the outside wall of the half bath. Lots of "could be" and after about 30 minutes with the 2nd inspector, no clear definition of the problem.

My most excellent seller client grabbed a hammer and started making a whole in the siding covering the overhang under the toilet.  (see photo below) We were dumbfounded at his response. He will forever be one of my favorite clients as he chose "let's get to the bottom of this" vs. "how can we make this problem go away".

An inspector can't make a big hole in the house to see the problem. Having the best inspector in the world isn't always going to help you know everything you need to know about the house. The buyer, the seller, the agents and the inspector (and sometimes 2 or more inspectors) are sometimes needed to get to the real and right answer.

The seller then proceeded to make a whole in the wall in the powder room next to the toilet and near the window.  The seller and the inspector studied all of the wet areas under the toilet and in the wall, and still the likely cause of the problem could have been any of the above possibles except the window leaking. The area was dry closest to the window.  The inspector climbed up on the roof and the seller pulled out the insulation and studied the water marks on the insulation for pattern of water flow.  The roof vent was ruled out as the pattern of water on the insulation did not reach the top, and so could not have come from above. That ruled out the washer as well.

A wax seal is often an obvious answer, but this property was only 4 years old, so we were not satisfied with that conclusion for a number of reasons. The seller pulled out all of the fixtures and part of the wood floor. In the meantime the buyer via their inspector asked for a new wax seal as the remedy.

At that point the seller could have agreed, except we all knew the problem wasn't simply the wax seal. Here's the wonderful part of this inspection. The seller could have signed off on the wax seal and the contract would have proceeded to close. Instead, we (the seller's side of the fence) determined that a new wax seal would hold for a short time, as the original one did for a few years, but the REAL problem was the builder had cut the pipe to the toilet too short. If a builder doesn't allow for a hardwood floor thickness vs. a laminate floor, the pipe will be cut at the wrong height. That was the final determination of the problem, but not the end of the fix.

To understand why that is, you have to understand what "cantilever" means. There are very specific rules for cantilevered aspects of a home.  Usually the cantilever is a deck, and any time you see a short deck off a second floor, you automatically expect it to be a cantilever. When the bottom of any cantilevered area gets wet and is subject to rot, that rot can travel under the floor and inside the home floor joists. A cantilever, be it a deck or a part of the home, extends the floor joists on a 2/3 to 1/3 ratio as the support of the extended portion. All too often an inspection fix for "new wax seal" for the toilet does not address the areas damaged by water while the wax seal was failing. Subfloor, joists, behind baseboards, drywall...all potential mold issues causing further continued rot and mold contamination.

These issues are like a cancer. You have to address the area completely, or new issues will surface long after the buyer has a potential claim against the seller, especially if the seller MERELY does what the buyer asks for.

Instead of simply adding "new wax seal", the pipe was extended to its proper height by a plumber before the new wax seal was put on. Here's the hard part. We still didn't know if it was the toilet or the siding that failed. There is no way to know without testing it and there is no way to put the wax seal on without putting the toilet back and there is no way to put the toilet back without adjusting the flange to the hardwood floor level, so the hardwood floor has to go back.  The buyer is asking for their inspector to come back and look at the fix with everything open (don't put anything back into place). But there is no way to fix the problem and test it to see if it IS the problem (water stops leaking and starts drying out) without putting things back into place so you can flush the toilet repeatedly and see if any water is still leaking.

Sometimes an inspection phase will fail because the buyer is asking for the wrong thing, or something that is not possible or practical or even sensible. In the meantime the seller HAS to fix it correctly for several reasons. One, if the buyer does not close, the seller has to be assured the problem is fixed for the next buyer. Two, if the problem is fixed incorrectly, the buyer could have a problem a few years later and not know it, as the water travels in places that are not easily seen when the problem is easily fixed at the onset of water leaking.

There is no problem this big and complex without frustration from everyone, including both inspectors, both agents, the buyer and the seller. My job became managing everyone's emotional positions at each turn, while moving forward with the long process of finding and fixing this problem.  You have to keep things "open" so they dry out before you close them. NOW, how the heck do we get the buyer's appraiser through so the loan process and escrow can proceed, with big holes all over the place including above your head when standing at the front door.

Truth is, while all of this was a royal pain in the butt for a long time...I loved it.  I loved that we moved forward in a positive way that would really fix the problem, and not just "keep everyone happy". In fact, in most cases the process of fixing it right made no one happy, because it prolonged the inspection timeframe, it prolonged the loan timeframe, it required an extension of the close date as we had to delay the appraiser coming out until the fix was complete...but it was done well and done right. At one point we had to decide between fixing it right and maybe losing the buyer in the process, and just making the buyer and the buyer's agent happy. We chose fixing it right, and I am so proud of my seller client for making that choice. It then became my job to keep the communication level going, so that we both fixed it right and did not lose the buyer and escrow.  Mountains of extra work to do it well.

The seller thanked me at the end for my perseverance, as there were many times when the buyer wanted to just walk. There were many times when the seller wanted to tell the buyer to just walk. But my job is to be the glue that holds everything together, and get the job done well without losing the participants on all sides.

I'll take a minute to thank the nuns who pretty much raised me for 12 years. In my brain they branded this saying which never shakes loose: "Anything worth doing, is worth doing WELL." 

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Jun. 14, 2009 - How long does it take to sell a house

For the most timely data, I'm looking at the days on market of homes that are still pending and the median number of days from the time the homes was listed until it received an acceptable offer. If your home looks good and is priced right, it still isn't likely to sell in the first week...the odds are against that happening.  No impossible, but don't be dissapointed if it takes buyers awhile to look and decide.

Single Family Home in Redmond 98052 - 65 days.

Condo in Redmond 98052 - also 65 days.

Single Family Home in Kirkland 98033 - 45 days

Condo in Kirkland 98033 - 56 days

Single Family Home in Kirkland 98034 - 60 days

Condo in Kirkland 98034 - 49 days

Single Family Home in Bellevue 98007 and 98008 - 56 days

Condo in Bellevue 98007 and 98008 - 64 days

The papers are full of stories about the housing market woes, yet it seems people are still surprised when they don't get an offer the first week they go on market. Perhaps the above median timeframes will help people understand that buyers are really being careful, taking their time, and expecting a lot of value for their hard earned dollars.

 

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Jun. 14, 2009 - Pottery Barn Paint Color for Bathroom

Popular Sherwin Williams Pottery Barn paint colors. Blues are back!

Bathroom paint color:

Create upscale themes like the one below, without the expense of designer tiles, with paint! Same look and feel, and easier to change your mind a few years later.

aqua = water = bathroom

Benjamin Moore 2056-40 Cool AquaBenjamin Moore 2058-50 Aquarium Blue

The four Pottery Barn paint colors above, from left to right are Cool Aqua,Aqua Sky, Aquamarine Blue and Babylonian Aqua. When I last wrote about Pottery Barn Paint Colors, many people wrote indicating that they weren't good at picking the right color tone. 

Just take a picture of a bathroom you like from the internet, like the one above, and line up the possible matching colors under or around the photo as I have done above.  If you still have trouble matching, bring the picture with the color swatches that the get from MyPerfectColor to friends, or even strangers at the coffee shop. People will love to help you pick.

In this case Aquamarine Blue is the right color tone, but you don't want to paint a small room too dark, or it will close in on you and don't, don't ,DO NOT paint the ceiling the same color as the walls.

When you order the paint you can choose it darker, but not lighter. The smaller the room the lighter you want to go. If you don't want a white ceiling, put a little bit of the wall paint into white paint.  It will look more like the walls are reflecting in the ceiling than a colored ceiling.

In this case, none of the lighter paint colors are the same tone as that bathroom or Aquamarine Blue, so have the have the store make the color lighter for you first, so you have the formula in case you need more. Save some in a glass jar for touch ups over the years before adding white to do the ceiling.

Change your colors often. It's a lot cheaper than buying a new house :)

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Jun. 14, 2009 - Redmond Real Estate - Quick Facts - 98052

For Sale: 477 of which 297 are single family homes and 180 are condos

94 of the 297 homes are priced at $500,000 or less (31 are $400,000 or less)

23 of the 297 are over a million dollars

141 of the 180 condos are priced under $400,000

Pending: 139 of which 98 are single family homes and 41 are condos

42 of the 139 homes are priced at $500,000 or less ( 20 are $400,000 or less)

4 are over a million dollars

35 of the condos are priced under $400,000

Sold - SFH:

Jan - 20 , Feb - 20, Mar - 24, Apr - 21, May - 37 = 122

Sold - Condo:

Jan - 10, Feb - 9, Mar - 13, Apr - 16, May - 13 = 61

 

 

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Jun. 13, 2009 - True Pendings, Short Sales, etc...

I just finished a post on Rain City Guide as a beginning point (since 6/1/09) of tracking failure rate of Pendings. More detail in that post.

Here I am looking at the same data for North King County vs. South King County. You should find that definition in previous Tracking the Market and/or Sunday Night Stat posts in these links.

North King County:

Pendings since 6/1/09:

197 median price $499,000 - median ppsf - $237 (pending prices are always asking prices)

Of those 197, only 19 are marked as short sales with a median price of $471,500 and median price per square foot of $169 (large homes)

Huge variance in mppsf for short sales vs "normal" sales. An indication that the short sales in this category are not enough to drag down prices on the non short sales, overall.

Pending Back Up Requested"

136 with a median price of $403,500 and a median price per square foot is $201 (not big houses) and at least and likely more than 71 are short sales with a median price of $355,000 and a median price per square foot of $177. Looks like the pendings asking for backup are looking for higher offers than the one in escrow, hence the lower prices. They accepted a "lowball" but are hoping for a higher competing offer for a higher expectancy of lienholder approval.

Closed in the last 30 days - 611:

600 *not marked as short sales - median price $445,000, mppsf - $227

ONLY 11 of those 611 closings were short sales with a median price of $410,000 and a mppsf of $179

I was hoping to be able to separate "bank-owned" properties, but that is not a designated field.  We'll have to use the median price per square foot variance as a gude.

South King County:

Pendings since 6/1/09:

152 median price $349,475 (excluding short sales and bank owned properties) mppsf $179

Only showing 5 distressed pendings but the numbers are WOW $199,000 mppsf $124 - let's go straight to closed in 30.

Closed in the last 30 days

Noted as distressed = 11 - Sale Price $211,000 - mppsf $120 (selling for over asking prices)

104 $348,750 mppsf $174 not noted as distressed.

At the moment I'm studing the availability of data and relationship to decide how to track numbers going into the future as indentification of bank owned and short sales is improved.

*required disclosure Stats not compiled, verified or posted by NWMLS

 

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ARDELL DellaLoggia On Seattle Real Estate including Kirkland, Bellevue, Redmond, Green Lake and most areas around Lake Washington North of Downtown Seattle. Phone: 206-910-1000 - Mailto:Ardell@RainCityGuide.com

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